Want to win your survivor pool? Who to take in Week 2

Breaking down the best strategies of how to win your NFL survivor pool, starting with who to pick in Week 2.

What a showing we had in Week 1. An NFL survivor pool can be a fickle thing. With all the upsets, you might be one of the last people standing in your pool. If this is the case, congratulations.

I am in a pool with 491 other participants. Because of the Denver and Cincinnati losses combined with the tie from Indianapolis, we are down to 153 left. If you were able to take one of the teams, we highlighted last week in Baltimore or Kansas City, you are sitting pretty. So, now we can look ahead to some plays for Week 2.

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All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

The chalk: Denver Broncos

Who they play: Home vs. Houston Texans, 4:25 p.m.

Houston jumped out to a big lead in Week 1 against the Indianapolis Colts. If you followed our NFL parlay article you would have seen how much we loved the Texans in that spot. This week is different.

Denver QB Russell Wilson went into Seattle Monday hoping to beat his former team. Instead, after a shocking decision to attempt a 64-yard FG, the Broncos came up just short. Coach Nathaniel Hackett has already come out and admitted his mistake and he will not make the same mistake again. But, in this game, it will not come down to an FG attempt at the end. Denver will jump all over Houston and will be relentless on defense. The Broncos might give up 17 points again. But they will score 28. Much like Baltimore last week, I see this as a double-digit win for Denver. This makes DENVER MY FAVORITE SURVIVOR PLAY of the week.

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Off the board: Baltimore Ravens

Who they play: Home vs. Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m.

Miami had a nice showing against the New England Patriots in Week 1. They covered the -3.5 spread while the defense, or really, the lack of New England offense, allowed the game to hit the under.

QB Lamar Jackson, TE Mark Andrews, and a renewed RB Kenyan Drake are quite different from Patriots QB Mac Jones and … no one else. The Dolphins defense will not have the same success against the Ravens in their home opener.

CB Kyle Fuller is gone for Baltimore after suffering a torn ACL in Week 1. But the team still has elite cover corners in Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters to match with WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. But the real key will be Baltimore running the ball and milking the clock. Doing so keeps the Miami offense off the field and unable to score. I do not see this game getting out of hand. But I do see the Ravens winning to start the season (2-0).

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Others to consider

Cincinnati Bengals: At Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m.

Green Bay Packers: Home vs. Chicago Bears, 8:20 p.m.

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Denver Broncos at Houston Texans odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Denver Broncos at Houston Texans odds and lines, with Week 14 NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Denver Broncos (4-8) visit the Houston Texans (8-4) at NRG Stadium at 1 p.m. ET Sunday of Week 14. We analyze the Broncos-Texans odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Broncos at Texans: Week 14 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • QB Drew Lock looks to lead the Broncos to victory in his second career start. He completed 18 of 28 attempts for 134 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s 23-20 win over the Chargers.
  • The Texans are coming off an impressive 28-22 victory over the Patriots Sunday night, maintaining their one-game lead over the Titans in the AFC South.
  • The Texans have won four straight home games, and are 5-1 on the year at NRG Stadium. The Broncos are just 1-5 straight up on the road, and 2-4 against the spread.
  • The Texans are 2-4 ATS at home and have won just two games by double digits this season: a 26-3 win at Jacksonville, and a 53-32 drubbing of the Atlanta Falcons in Week 5.
  • The Texans allow the fifth-most passing yards in the league. The Broncos may not be able to take full advantage, though, as they are 29th in passing yards, and may not want Lock to air it out just yet.

Broncos at Texans: Key injuries

Broncos LB Von Miller (knee) missed last week’s game, but returned to practice Wednesday, and appears to be on track to return this week.

Broncos at Texans: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Texans 27, Broncos 16

Moneyline (?)

The Texans should win this game, but -435 seems like a pretty steep price to pay. New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Texans to win outright returns a profit of $2.30. A $10 bet on the Broncos at +330 would yield a profit of $33. PASS.

Against the Spread (?)

The TEXANS (-7.5, -125) have covered only two of six games at home this season, but they look like a good bet to win by more than a touchdown this week. After scoring a total of just 23 points in their first two home games, they have put up totals of 53, 27, 20, and 28 in their last four, and they should be able to hold the inexperienced Denver signal-caller in check.

Over/Under (?)

This total (41.5) is the lowest in any Houston game all season. The under has hit in seven of 12 games for both teams on the year, and is 8-2-1 in Denver’s last 11 road games, but this one could really go either way. PASS.

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