Denver Broncos prop bets: 3 best picks and predictions for Week 1

Analyzing the 3 best prop bets for the Denver Broncos in their Week 1 matchup with the New York Giants.

The Denver Broncos visit the New York Giant Sunday at MetLife Stadium with the game set for a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we look at the Broncos vs. Giants prop bets, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Broncos enter the 2021 season with former Pro Bowl QB Teddy Bridgewater leading the way. Bridgewater was announced as the starter over QB Drew Lock.

Getting star WR Courtland Sutton back will also be a huge boost for Denver. TE Noah Fant and WR Jerry Jeudy should also be active and impactful.

Also see: Broncos-Giants picks and predictions

Week 1 Broncos prop bets

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater OVER 246.5 passing yards (-114)

Bridgewater will have more weapons than he did last season in Jeudy, Fant and Sutton. With RB Christian McCaffrey out for much of his 2020 season with the Carolina Panthers, Bridgewater still threw for over 250 yards in nine of the 15 games he played.

He’s not a superstar quarterback, but he’s certainly competent enough to move the chains consistently. With weapons and a good defense, sign me up to bet on him topping 246 yards.

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Also see: Giants prop bets

Broncos RB Javonte Williams OVER 7.5 rushing attempts (-156)

The Broncos staff is comparing Javonte Williams to Hall of Famers.

That’s just a glimpse of the praise he’s being given. For this bet, that’s really all you need to know. Williams is listed as the backup to Melvin Gordon on the depth chart, but he should see plenty of work.

Williams was the team’s second-round pick out of North Carolina. A second-round pick used on a running back typically comes with the understanding they’ll get some run.

Expect Williams to be used for at least a couple of drives, and if those are extended by Bridgewater, Over 7.5 attempts could hit with ease. It’s more of a risk without a complete understanding of how the split with Gordon will come, but it’s one worth taking.

Also see: Week 1 best bets

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Broncos WR Noah Fant OVER 4.5 receptions (+128)

If the Broncos are going to move the ball, they’ll need Fant to be involved.

When Bridgewater had his Pro Bowl campaign with the Vikings, TE Kyle Rudolph had the second-most receiving yards on the team. As noted, Bridgewater can get the chains moved consistently, and it’s not by cooking cornerbacks deep.

With a massive 6-foot-4 tight end that acts more like a receiver, adding Fant’s Over on receptions is a smart move.

He would’ve hit this Over in just six of 15 games last season but the change in quarterback should mean more Fant and more accurate throws to him as well.

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New York Giants prop bets: 3 best picks and predictions for Week 1

Analyzing the 3 best prop bets for the New York Giants in their Week 1 matchup with the Denver Broncos.

NFL football is back and the New York Giants host the Denver Broncos Sunday at MetLife Stadium with the game is set to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the top Giants pop bets, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Giants will be looking forward to getting RB Saquon Barkley back in action. He played in just two games in 2020. Just his presence on the field should help. WR Kenny Golladay is also a go and will make his Giants debut.

Broncos OLB Bradley Chubb and DE Von Miller will make life difficult for them.

Also see: Week 1 best bets

Week 1 Giants prop bets

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Giants WR Kenny Golladay OVER 43.5 receiving yards (-118)

The Giants signed Golladay late in the offseason, and he is arguably the best receiver Jones has ever played with.

The 27-year-old struggled to stay on the field last season with the Detroit Lions but the season before, he was 10 yards shy of 1,200 and had a league-high 11 touchdowns.

If he’s as involved as a top threat should be, Over 41 yards should be seen as good value.

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Also see: Broncos-Giants picks and predictions

Giants RB Saquon Barkley UNDER 13.5 rush attempts (-130)

The Giants had Barkley listed as questionable on the final injury report but cleared him to play in time for Sunday. He’ll be in the lineup after tearing his ACL just two games into the 2020 season.

Denver’s opponents averaged 27 rushing attempts per game last season, but with Barkley, the Broncos will likely stack the box if he’s in the backfield, making screenplays more advantageous for getting the star involved.

Backup Devontae Booker is not Barkley, but he’s a competent back. I wouldn’t be surprised if he nabs some attempts while Barkley works to get back into the speed of things.

Barkley had at least 13 attempts in 11 of 13 games during his last fully healthy season; however, this is more of a play against his heavy involvement and the Giants staff easing him back into the lineup.

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Giants WR Sterling Shepard UNDER 4.5 receptions (-137)

The Giants actually have …. multiple decent threats. That doesn’t feel like something anyone has said since Odell Beckham Jr. was in the Big Apple.

Barkley and Golladay will eat up a good chunk of the targets and Darius Slayton may be the Giants best long threat. Shepard is a great receiver and should have a solid season but to think he’ll hit 5 receptions when Jones went over 25 completions just once last season just doesn’t seem right.

The return of Barkley, the addition of Golladay and the struggles of Jones should limit Shephard’s involvement.

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Denver Broncos short home favorites vs. Las Vegas Raiders in Week 17

The Denver Broncos are the betting favorites in their Week 17 home game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Denver Broncos (5-10) host the Las Vegas Raiders (7-8) to close out the regular season Sunday of Week 17 at 4:25 p.m. ET. Here’s a look at the early Raiders-Broncos betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Raiders were eliminated from postseason contention Saturday night with a crushing, last-second 26-25 loss to the visiting Miami Dolphins. The Silver and Black seemingly put the wraps on a big victory with PK Daniel Carlson’s 22-yard field goal with 19 seconds remaining, but a 34-yard desperation connection between Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and WR Mack Hollins with a Las Vegas 15-yard facemask penalty tacked on, set up PK Jason Sanders’ improbable, game-winning 44-yard field goal with only a second remaining.

It was the Raiders’ fifth loss in their last six games, and it ensures they will miss the playoffs for the 17th time in the last 18 seasons. QB Derek Carr completed 21 of 34 passes for 336 yards and a touchdown while adding a 1-yard rushing score. WR Nelson Agholor caught five passes for 155 yards and a TD.

The Broncos also are struggling of late, having dropped two straight, and six of their last eight following Sunday’s 19-16 road loss against the Los Angeles Chargers. QB Drew Lock completed 24 of 47 passes for 264 yards and rushed for 15 yards and a TD but failed to throw a scoring pass while being picked off twice. PK Brandon McManus connected on 3 of 4 field-goal attempts, but a second-quarter try that clanged off the left upright proved to be the difference in the end.

The Raiders dominated the visiting Broncos 37-12 in Week 10, easily covering as 3.5-point favorites as RBs Josh Jacobs and Devontae Booker each rushed for a pair of touchdowns, while Lock tossed a career-high four interceptions. The final score, though, slid Under the 50-point total.

Raiders at Broncos: Betting odds, spread and total

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Sunday at 11:33 p.m. ET

  • Money line: Raiders +105 (bet $100 to win $105) / Broncos -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Against the spread/ATS: Raiders +1.5 -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Broncos -1.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 50.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Bet now

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Raiders 8-7 | Broncos 8-7
  • O/U: Raiders 11-3-1 | Broncos 7-8

New to NFL betting?

At +105 on the money line, Las Vegas has an implied win probability of 48.78% or 21/20 fractional odds. To cover the spread, the Raiders must win outright or lose by a point for a Raiders +1.5 (-110) ATS wager to win.

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At -120, the Broncos have an implied win probability of 54.55% or 5/6 fractional odds. Denver must win by 2 or more points for a Broncos ATS -1.5 (-110) ticket to cash.

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Denver Broncos slight road underdogs at Los Angeles Chargers in Week 16

The Denver Broncos are the betting underdogs in their Week 16 road game at the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Denver Broncos (5-9) visit the Los Angeles Chargers (5-9) Sunday of Week 16 Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET. Here’s a look at the early betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Broncos are coming off a 48-19 debacle in a Saturday home loss to the Buffalo Bills. Denver was more than doubled up in yardage 534 to 255 as the Broncos lost for the third time in their last four games. The Denver defense – which ranks 27th in the NFL in points allowed (28.2 per game) – has coughed up 30-or-more points six times in the last nine weeks. The Bills passed for 352 yards and rushed the ball for 7.6 yards per carry in scoring the most points against the Broncos since Nov. 5, 2017 (51 by the Philadelphia Eagles).

The Chargers defeated the Las Vegas Raiders 30-27 in overtime in the Thursday Night Football game. QB Justin Herbert logged two touchdown passes and a running TD in a game that saw him register 300 or more passing yards (314) for a seventh time in 2020. The victory marked the second straight for Los Angeles – both were three-point margins. The Chargers’ last three wins have been decided by 7 points or less. They went 1-6 in their first seven such games that were decided by 7 points or less this season.

Broncos at Chargers: Betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 7:37 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Broncos +155 (bet $100 to win $155) / Chargers -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Broncos +3, -105 (bet $105 to win $100) / Chargers -3, -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 49.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Bet now

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Broncos 8-6 | Chargers 7-7
  • O/U: Broncos 7-7 | Chargers 8-6

New to NFL betting?

At +155 odds, the Broncos have an implied win probability of 39.22% or 31/20 fractional odds. Denver must win outright or keep the game within 2 points in a loss for a Broncos +3 (-105) ATS ticket to cash. A loss by 3 equates to a push, or tie.

Place your legal, online NFL bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

At -185, the Chargers’ money line represents an implied win probability of 64.91% or 20/37 fractional odds. Los Angeles must win by 4 or more points for a Chargers -3 (-115) ATS wager to win.

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Buffalo Bills road favorites at Denver Broncos in Week 15

The Buffalo Bills are the betting favorites in their Week 15 road game at the Denver Broncos.

The Buffalo Bills (10-3) visit the Denver Broncos (5-8) Saturday of Week 15 for a 4:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Here’s a look at the early Bills-Broncos betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Bills beat the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers 26-15 in the Week 14 Sunday Night Football game. The Bills, who were 2-point favorites, won their third in a row and sixth in their last seven games. QB Josh Allen threw for 238 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. WR Stefon Diggs was Allen’s top target, finishing with 130 receiving yards and a score on 10 receptions. On defense, S Taron Johnson returned an interception 51 yards for a score.

The Broncos won 32-27 at the Carolina Panthers as 4-point underdogs last week. QB Drew Lock threw for 280 yards and a career-high 4 TDs with no interceptions as the Broncos snapped a two-game losing streak, WR KJ Hamler had only 2 receptions, but both were touchdowns – a 37-yarder on Denver’s first possession of the second half for a 19-7 lead, and a 49-yarder for a 32-20 lead with 3:54 to go. WR/KR Diontae Spencer returned Carolina’s first punt 83 yards for a first-quarter touchdown to open the scoring.

Bills at Broncos: Betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Tuesday at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills -275 (bet $275 to win $100) / Broncos +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Bet now
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills -6.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Broncos +6.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 49.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Bet now

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Bills 8-5 | Broncos 8-5
  • O/U: Bills 8-4-1 | Broncos 6-7

New to NFL betting?

At -275 odds, the Bills have an implied win probability of 73.33% or 4/11 fractional odds. Buffalo must win by 7 or more points to cover the spread and for a Bills -6.5 (-110) ATS wager to win.

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The Broncos +225 money line represents an implied win probability of 30.77% or 9/4 fractional odds. Denver must win outright or keep the game within 6 points in a loss for a Broncos +6.5 (-110) ticket to cash.

Also see:

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Denver Broncos huge SNF road underdogs at Kansas City Chiefs in Week 13

The Denver Broncos are betting underdogs in their Week 13 Sunday Night Football road game at the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Denver Broncos (4-7) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) in the Week 13 Sunday Night Football game at 8:20 p.m. ET. Here’s a look at the early betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Broncos (+17) completed just one pass in a 31-3 loss to the visiting New Orleans Saints in Week 12. The day before kickoff, the NFL ruled starting QB Drew Lock and backups Brett Rypien and Blake Bortles ineligible as high-risk contacts of No. 3 QB Jeff Driskel, who tested positive for COVID-19 Thursday. The league denied Denver’s request to move the game, so the Broncos called up rookie WR Kendall Hinton from the practice squad to make the spot start at quarterback. Hilton, who played QB at Wake Forest his first three seasons before being moved to WR, completed just 1 of 9 passes for 13 yards with 2 interceptions vs. the Saints.

The Chiefs (-3.5) ran their win streak to six with a 27-24 victory at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 12. QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 462 yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions. All 3 TD passes were to WR Tyreek Hill (13 catches, 269 yards), who scored on receptions of 75, 44 and 20 yards. KC led 17-0 after one quarter, 20-7 at the half and 27-10 after three before Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 27-24 with 4:10 to go. The Chiefs – who improved to 6-0 on the road this season and 9-0 dating back to last year – were able to run out the clock as the Bucs never got the ball back. Kansas City has won its last 10 vs. Denver, which last won in the series in 2015.

Broncos at Chiefs: Betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Sunday at 10:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Broncos +600 (bet $100 to win $600) / Chiefs -834 (bet $834 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Broncos +13.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Chiefs -13.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 48.5, Over -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Under -110 (bet $115 to win $100) | Bet now

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Broncos 6-5 | Chiefs 6-5
  • O/U: Broncos 5-6 | Chiefs 5-6

New to NFL betting?

The Broncos +600 money line represents an implied win probability of 14.29% or 6/1 fractional odds. Denver must win outright or keep the game within 13 points in a loss for a Broncos +13.5 ATS ticket to cash.

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At -834 odds, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 89.29% or 3/25 fractional odds. To cover the spread, Kansas City must win by 14 or more points for a Chiefs -13.5 (-110) ATS wager to win.

Also see:

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New Orleans Saints road favorites at Denver Broncos in Week 12

The New Orleans Saints are the betting favorites in their Week 12 road game at the Denver Broncos.

The New Orleans Saints (8-2) visit the Denver Broncos (4-6) in Week 12 Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET. Here’s a look at the early betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The NFC South-leading Saints ran their win streak to seven with a 24-9 victory at home vs. the Atlanta Falcons in Week 11. QB Taysom Hill, filling in for an injured Drew Brees, completed 18 of 23 pass attempts for 233 yards and 2 TDs against no interceptions in his first career start. Plus, he added 2 scores on the ground, finishing with a game-high 51 rushing yards on 10 carries. WR Michael Thomas was Hill’s top target with 9 receptions for 104 yards. Meanwhile, the defense only allowed 248 total yards, including just 52 rushing, and finished with 8 sacks.

The Broncos upset the Miami Dolphins 20-13 in Week 11 as 4-point underdogs – with a +170 money line. Denver snapped a four-game skid as RB Melvin Gordon (game-high 84 rushing yards) ran for 2 scores, PK Brandon McManus kicked 2 field goals and S Justin Simmons intercepted a Ryan Fitzpatrick pass in the end zone with 1:03 left to seal the victory. QB Drew Lock finished with 270 passing yards, no touchdowns and 1 pick.

Saints at Broncos: Betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 1 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Saints -264 (bet $264 to win $100) / Broncos +215 (bet $100 to win $215) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Saints -6, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Broncos +6, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 45.5, Over -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Under -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now

Gambling stats

  • ATS: Saints 5-5 | Broncos 6-4
  • O/U: Saints 7-3 | Broncos 5-5

New to NFL betting?

The Saints -264 money line represents an implied win probability of 72.5% or 25/66 fractional odds. New Orleans must win by 7 or more points for a Saints -6 (-110) ATS wager to win.

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At +215 odds, the Broncos have an implied win probability of 31.8% or 43/20 fractional odds. Denver must win outright or keep the game within 5 points in a loss for a Broncos +6 ATS ticket to cash.

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Miami Dolphins favored over host Denver Broncos in Week 11

The Denver Broncos are home underdogs in their Week 11 game against the Miami Dolphins.

The Denver Broncos (3-6) host the Miami Dolphins (6-3) in a Sunday afternoon (4:05 p.m. ET) Week 11 game at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we take a look at the early Dolphins-Broncos Week 11 betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Dolphins defeated the Chargers, 29-21, on Sunday. The Miami defense allowed just 270 total yards in the contest and has now held opponents under 300 total yards in three games this season. The Dolphins head to Colorado on a three-game road winning streak; Miami’s lone road loss this far was on Sept. 13 at New England.

The Broncos were routed, 37-12, by the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday. Denver heads into Week 11 having yielded 30-plus points in four straight games, and at 28.2 points per game, the Broncos defense now ranks 26th in the league. The offense hasn’t helped of late and turnovers have bled into Denver being on the minus side of the field-position equation in most weeks. QB Drew Lock threw four interceptions against the Raiders, and he has now been picked off 10 times in the Broncos’ last five games.

Dolphins at Broncos betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 2:25 p.m. ET. 

  • Money line: Dolphins -150 (bet $150 to win $100) / Broncos +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Dolphins -3, -106 (bet $106 to win $100) / Broncos +3, -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 46.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now

New to NFL betting?

The underdog Broncos, at +125 odds, have an implied 44.4% chance of winning, or 5/4 fractional odds. If Denver wins outright or loses by 2 points or less, the Broncos +3 (-115) bet wins. A Miami-by-3 result nets a push.

Place your legal, online NFL bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

At -150 odds, the Dolphins have an implied 60% chance of winning or 2/3 fractional odds. Miami must win by 4 or more points for the Dolphins -3 (-106) ATS ticket to cash.

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Las Vegas Raiders favored at home vs. Denver Broncos in Week 10

The Las Vegas Raiders are the betting favorites in their Week 10 home game with the Denver Broncos.

The Las Vegas Raiders (5-3) host the Denver Broncos (3-5) in Week 10 Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET. Here’s a look at the early betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Broncos lost at the Atlanta Falcons 34-27 in Week 9 (Sunday), failing to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. QB Drew Lock (25 of 48 passes, 313 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT) came up short in trying to lead a consecutive fourth-quarter comeback. Trailing 27-6 after three quarters, Lock threw two TDs and ran for another, but his interception when the game was 27-13 that led to a Falcons scoring drive and made the deficit too large to overcome. Lock led Denver in rushing with 47 yards on 7 carries, while rookie WR Jerry Jeudy was the top receiver with 125 receiving yards and a TD on 7 receptions.

The Raiders won at the Los Angeles Chargers 31-26 in Week 9 (Sunday). Los Angeles seemed to have scored a game-winning, 4-yard touchdown pass on the final play, but it was overturned after a replay review. Down 17-14 at the half, QB Derek Carr (13 of 23 passes, 165 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) threw 2 touchdowns on the Raiders’ next two possessions to take the lead for good. Led by RB Devonte Booker’s 68 yards on 8 carries and RB Josh Jacobs’ 65 yards on 14 carries, the Raiders rushed for 160 yards and averaged 6.2 yards per carry. Las Vegas, which was a 1-point favorite, won a second in a row and improved to 4-1 on the road.

Broncos at Raiders: Betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Broncos +190 (bet $100 to win $190) / Raiders -228 (bet $228 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Broncos +5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Raiders -5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 50.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now

New to NFL betting?

At +190 odds, the Broncos have an implied win probability of 34.48% or 19/10 fractional odds. To cover the spread, Denver must win outright or keep the game within 4 points in a loss for a Broncos +5 ATS ticket to cash.

Place your legal, online NFL bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

The Raiders’ -228 money line represents an implied win probability of 69.51% or 25/57 fractional odds. Las Vegas must win by 6 or more points for a Raiders -5 (-110) ATS wager to win. A 5-point Las Vegas win would make the spread a push, returning your money.

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