In a welterweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Demian Maia and Belal Muhammad meet at UFC 263 at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Below, we analyze the UFC 263 Maia vs. Muhammad odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card beginning at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.
UFC 263 Maia vs. Muhammad: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Maia +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Muhammad -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +145)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +125)
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UFC 263 Maia vs. Muhammad: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Maia 28-10-0 | Muhammad 18-3-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Muhammad (-225) is on a mission heading into this bout against Maia (+190). The Palestinian’s most recent fight ended at UFC Fight Night 187 when Leon Edwards inadvertently poked Muhammad in the right eye. It was a rather severe injury with blood seeping out, as well as immediate swelling. “Remember the Name” actually wept a bit, too.
While Muhammad was quite disappointed not to get a rematch with Edwards, and this card would have been great for a redemption fight, expect him to come out angry against Maia.
I love MUHAMMAD BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+280) on the 5-way line for a chance to potentially triple up.
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Over/Under (O/U)
This fight isn’t going to go the distance. Therefore I really like NO (+125): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? at plus money. Muhammad is on a mission, and you can expect Maia to eat plenty of elbows early on.
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+145) is also worth a roll of the dice, as if Muhammad gets the finish it will be in one of the first two rounds. As such, taking MUHAMMAD IN ROUND 1 (+600) and MUHAMMAD IN ROUND 2 (+850) is a good play. You’ll lose one side in this two-round block, even if Muhammad wins in one of the first two rounds via stoppage, but you’ll still be quite a bit ahead.
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