DeMar DeRozan thinks James Harden could score 100 in a game

Spurs forward DeMar DeRozan says he thinks Rockets guard James Harden could score 100 points in a single NBA game, if he put his mind to it.

If Houston Rockets star James Harden is hot enough to score 60 points in just three quarters — as he did Saturday versus Atlanta — just imagine what might he could do at that efficiency over a full game.

Fellow NBA star DeMar DeRozan, who became a childhood friend of Harden when both players were growing up near Los Angeles, may have an idea. With Harden’s Rockets visiting DeRozan’s San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night, the four-time All-Star made quite a proclamation to San Antonio Express-News beat writer Jeff McDonald.

Speaking of Harden, who like DeRozan is now 30 years old, DeRozan said:

I’m pretty sure if he put his mind to it, he could score 100.

100 points, of course, stands as the all-time high for points in a single game by an NBA player — set by Wilt Chamberlain on March 2, 1962. The more modern record is 81 by Kobe Bryant on Jan. 22, 2006.

As wild as it might sound, DeRozan isn’t alone in his thinking. Former NBA player and current ESPN analyst Jalen Rose recently predicted that Harden would score 90 points in a game this season.

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Beyond just getting hot in a given game, there are some statistical reasons to believe Harden could pull it off. Consider that last year, Harden didn’t reach peak form until his legendary 32-game streak of scoring 30+ points, which began Dec. 13. Prior to that date, Harden averaged 30.0 points per game. From Dec. 13 onward, he averaged 38.7 points.

If Harden improves at a similar rate as the 2019-20 season progresses, there’s no telling what he might be able to do. Entering December, he’s already averaging a league-leading 38.9 points per game, which is even higher than his torrid stretch to finish last year. Should he improve at anything close to a similar rate, it would be silly to rule anything out.

Opponents reacted to Harden’s epic scoring run to begin the 2019-20 season with more frequent double teams, but the Rockets have recently had more success countering those — as we saw early versus Atlanta.

In turn, that might lead to more isolation opportunities for Harden in the games ahead. That certainly happened after halftime Saturday, when Harden scored 29 points in the third quarter alone.

Harden’s current career-high scoring mark is 61 points. He last set that in March against, of all teams, DeRozan and the Spurs. That could make for a fun matchup Tuesday in San Antonio, as far as scoring potential.

At the moment, the Spurs (7-14) rank No. 26 in defensive rating, while the Rockets (13-6) are No. 2 in offensive rating. Harden attempts more three-pointers than any other NBA player, and the Spurs’ current mark of 39.1% allowed on threes is second-worst in the league. Furthermore, Harden and the Rockets will enter the game on two days of rest.

There are no guarantees, but on paper, it certainly looks like a favorable matchup for the former Most Valuable Player (MVP). DeRozan obviously hopes that history won’t be made against his team, but it doesn’t sound as if he’d be shocked if it somehow was.

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What is the trade value of DeMar DeRozan? We asked a bunch of NBA executives

HoopsHype speaks to executives around the NBA to determine what they think about San Antonio Spurs guard DeMar DeRozan’s trade value.

Last week, the 2019-20 San Antonio Spurs earned the dubious distinction of becoming the first Gregg Popovich-led team to lose eight games in a row. And although they finally got off the schneid on Saturday, they wound up dropping their next game against the Los Angeles Lakers, giving them nine losses in 10 games, a 6-12 record and the league’s 10th-worst net rating.

San Antonio’s slow start has led many to quietly begin to wonder if the Spurs might consider changing things up in the form of a deal. The two likeliest trade candidates are their two highest-paid players, DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge, simply because it wouldn’t make much sense for the Spurs to ship out any of their promising young talents who are on cheap contracts, especially since it looks like this is a rebuilding season for the club.

For the purposes of today’s article, we focused on what DeRozan’s trade value might look like if San Antonio did start shopping him and asked several executives for their input.

On the year, DeRozan is averaging 22.2 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists per contest while shooting 53.3 percent from the floor and 82.7 percent from the foul stripe. The advanced numbers may not like him much (and that’s putting it kindly, as DeRozan doesn’t rank higher than 100th in any of Box Plus/Minus, Value Over Replacement Player or Win Shares per 48 minutes), but he’s just one of 11 players putting up a 22/5/4 stat line this year, along with elite talents like LeBron JamesLuka DoncicJames Harden and Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Surely, then, a team lacking scoring and playmaking on the perimeter would be interested in acquiring DeRozan if he were to be put up on the trade block… right?

It’s not so clear.

“It’s a difficult valuation,” one Western Conference executive told HoopsHype. “You’d think that any team that trades for him either has plenty of three-point shooting elsewhere or they’re desperate for a player who can create his own shot. I’m not sure off the top of my head which team makes sense as a suitor.”

Perhaps a team like the Orlando Magic, who rank 11th in defensive rating but dead last in offensive rating, would make sense as a potential DeRozan suitor.

According to Synergy, the 10-year veteran presently ranks in the 72nd percentile as a pick-and-roll scorer, 86th percentile as an iso scorer and 87th percentile in scoring out of the post. The Magic’s ranks in those three play-types as a team? Out of the pick-and-roll, Orlando scorers rank 15th in the NBA in production, 27th in isolation scoring and 25th in post-up scoring.

DeRozan would give the Magic offense a huge boost, one that it desperately needs.

And, for what it’s worth, Orlando has reportedly expressed some interest in DeRozan. One of the executives who spoke to HoopsHype said that they’ve also heard the DeRozan-to-Orlando rumblings, while another mentioned both the Magic and the Sacramento Kings as sensible suitors for the All-Star 2-guard: “A landing spot for DeRozan is probably a team that badly wants to make the playoffs and, right now, they’re in the 7-to-10 range in their conference. The Magic, the Kings and other teams like that would make sense. What the Spurs could get back really depends on if they’re willing to take back money in the deal.”

Other teams mentioned by league execs as theoretical landing spots for DeRozan include the Houston Rockets, the Detroit Pistons and even… his former team.

“It sounds crazy, but Toronto actually makes a lot of sense as a landing spot for DeRozan,” another Western Conference executive said. “As far as what Toronto is giving up, it would probably have to be a first-round pick plus Serge Ibaka or Marc Gasol.”

That theory might seem far-fetched but with DeRozan cast as the team’s third fiddle behind Pascal Siakam and Kyle Lowry, and surrounded by the Raptors’ other promising young pieces like Fred VanVleet, his second go-around with Toronto could go even better than the first.

Of course, we would be remiss not to mention DeRozan’s enormous contract, which has an uncertain future, as a potential stumbling block in trade talks.

That same Western Conference exec shared the following on how teams view DeRozan’s deal: “With a player option next year, the team that’s trading for him has to be comfortable with him potentially leaving a couple months later, or having to re-sign him to a new long-term deal. Maybe this turns into an opt-in-and-trade scenario, so there’s more security for the team and they know what they’re trading for contractually.”

DeRozan’s contract pays him $27.7 million both this season and in 2020-21, with the latter campaign containing a player option, meaning that whichever team does theoretically acquire him would do so without knowing whether he’ll be on their roster next season.

One NBA executive pointed out that perhaps an extend-and-trade involving DeRozan would benefit all parties involved: “He wants an extension, so maybe we see an extend-and-trade. As for how much he’d get, the extension can’t go above 105 percent of his current contract. But maybe that’s a possibility.” 

But the concern is stymied a bit by the fact that it likely wouldn’t cost a team all that much to land DeRozan, not with a contract that hefty for a player in his 30s.

“I don’t think DeRozan or Aldridge are worthy of getting two assets back in return,” another Western Conference executive said.

Would a single protected first-round pick not be worth it for a couple of years of DeRozan, particularly for an offense-needy team fighting to make the playoffs?

If the Spurs’ struggles continue, we may get a better idea of San Antonio’s asking price and whether teams are willing to meet it based on how they perceive DeRozan and his contract situation.

HoopsHype’s Alex Kennedy contributed to this article.

You can follow Frank Urbina on Twitter: @FrankUrbina_.

Lonzo Ball says DeMar DeRozan gave him his ‘Welcome to the NBA’ moment

Lonzo Ball’s first taste of the NBA came during a summer run against DeMar DeRozan.

As one of the better defensive point guards in the Western Conference, Lonzo Ball has been tasked with guarding some of the best offensive talent the league has to offer. It’s for that reason Ball teamed up with The Players’ Tribune to write a list of the five toughest players he’s guarded in his first two years in the NBA.

While some of the names like Kyrie Irving, James Harden and Kevin Durant, were obvious, others like DeMar DeRozan were less so. DeRozan is undoubtedly a talented offensive player, but he’s rarely ever in the “top-five” conversation. In context, though, DeRozan’s place on the list makes a ton of sense.

In his article, Ball talked about the first time he ever went against DeRozan during a summer run a few months before the start of his rookie season, and he said it’s a moment he’ll never forget:

He put like 40 on me that day. It was definitely my “Welcome to the NBA” moment. So out of all the guys in the league, I gotta respect Demar DeRozan, because he was the first one who showed me the level I needed to be at to compete in this league.

That’s something I’ll never forget.

Ball has played DeRozan five times since then. As a matter of fact, the Spurs were one of the few teams Ball played a full season against during his injury-riddled sophomore season.

Ball and the Pelicans won’t see DeRozan and the Spurs until January, so Ball has plenty of time to watch film and make sure DeRozan doesn’t light him up for 40 points again. Even if both teams are well outside of the playoff picture by then, someone will get to leave with bragging rights.

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How would Spurs’ DeMar DeRozan fit on the Orlando Magic?

The Orlando Magic are reportedly interested in acquiring DeMar DeRozan. How would he fit with their current players and offensive system?

DeMar DeRozan is the main asset the San Antonio Spurs received when they traded Kawhi Leonard, but he may not be in their long-term plans.

As noted by The Athletic’s Sam Amick, the four-time All-Star was “quite a ways apart” from agreeing to a contract extension with San Antonio before the season. As such, it remains possible that the Spurs decide to trade the 30-year-old wing before the deadline in February to get something back for the veteran shooting guard.

According to The Ringer’s Kevin O’Connor, one team that has expressed interest in DeRozan is the Orlando Magic (via The Ringer):

“The Spurs could always deal him sooner rather than let him walk for nothing. Multiple league sources say the Magic are scouring the trade market for scoring help and have already expressed interest in trading for DeRozan. It would surprise none of the front-office executives I’ve spoken with if the Spurs did move DeRozan.”

Orlando would certainly not be willing to part with Nikola Vucevic or Aaron Gordon for a 30-year-old DeRozan. But perhaps for one of the Magic’s more ancillary pieces, a deal would be realistic.

Considering that DeRozan is one of the most prolific mid-range shooters of the last decade, the first question is whether the Magic would allow him to play that style if such a transaction occurred.

First, to properly contextualize just how important this is to his offensive role, the San Antonio wing is currently averaging more mid-range field goal attempts per game (7.0) than any other player in the league. In fact, he has connected on more mid-range field goals (33) than six different NBA teams have so far this season.

Orlando would be a natural fit in this regard considering they rank third among all NBA teams in frequency of mid-range shots, per Cleaning the Glass.

Last season, Magic wing (and former DeRozan teammate) Terrence Ross ranked ninth in mid-range field goals attempted. Considering that coach Steve Clifford allowed Ross to fire so often in this zone, the expectation should be that DeRozan would be given a similar green light.

When including passes, DeRozan has finished nearly half of his offensive possessions as the ball-handler in the pick-and-roll. That would also make him a strong fit alongside Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic, who leads all active players in scoring (6.6 ppg) from these sets.

Vucevic ranks Top 5 in total scoring on pick-and-pop opportunities and just a few slots behind current DeRozan teammate LaMarcus Aldridge. The two-man offense of Vucevic and DeRozan is quite a bit better than anything else Orlando has on their roster.

But perhaps the biggest need that the Magic have right now is a lack of any one-on-one scoring threat. The team currently ranks 29th in isolation points, averaging just 3.1 ppg.

DeRozan ranks Top 20 among all NBA players on ISOs (2.5 ppg), more than doubling the output of Orlando’s current isolation-scoring leader DJ Augustin (0.9 ppg). For context: DeRozan has finished Top 20 in isolation-scoring each season since 2012-13.

In fact, he averaged almost exactly as many points (4.1 ppg) on ISOs as the entire Magic roster (4.2 ppg) last season. When including his passes in 2018-10, only Houston’s James Harden produced more points per game on this play type.

For the Magic to return to the playoffs after making it last year, a scorer like DeRozan would go a long way. If San Antonio is willing to accept a discount on a trade just so they don’t lose him for nothing as a free agent in July, he could be an interesting addition for Orlando.

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