In a women’s flyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Montana De La Rosa and Mayra Bueno Silva meet at UFC on ESPN+ 50 – also known as UFC Vegas 20 and UFC Fight Night 186 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 50 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
De La Rosa vs. Bueno Silva: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:48 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): De La Rosa +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Bueno Silva -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -225 | Under +190)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +165)
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De La Rosa vs. Bueno Silva: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: De La Rosa 11-6 | Bueno Silva 7-1
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
BUENO SILVA (-140) is worth backing as the moderate favorite on the 2-way line. She enters with just one loss in eight professional career bouts, and is coming off a round-1 submission victory over Mara Romero Borella last time out (Sept. 19, 2020). She has lost two of her past three outings, all decisions. De La Rosa went the distance against Romero Borella and won by a decision.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Play NO (+165): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” as it’s a nice value. Yes, the past four fights for MDLR have gone all the way to the judges, but just one of Bueno Silva’s past four outings have been a decision. She holds a 4.44 to 3.03 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and will be looking for the early finish.
In addition, playing BUENO SILVA IN ROUND 2 (+850) and BUENO SILVA IN ROUND 3 (+1300) is a great value play if she can get the finish. Yes, if she wins in round 1 or it goes the distance, you lose. However, if she wins in round 2 or 3, you lose one end and win the other, and you’ll be well ahead.
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