UFC on ESPN 16: Yorgan De Castro vs. Carlos Felipe odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 16 fight between Yorgan De Castro and Carlos Felipe, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In a heavyweight bout, Yorgan De Castro and Carlos Felipe lock horns at UFC on ESPN 16 Saturday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

De Castro (6-1), who represents Cabo Verde, is looking to rebound after a unanimous-decision setback at UFC 249 to former NFL linebacker Greg Hardy on May 9, 2020. Since arriving at the UFC level, he has a KO/TKO victory to his credit over Justin Tafa, and the loss to Hardy. He has just 2.19 significant strikes landed per minute, but a 41.96 to 36.36 significant strikes-accuracy percentage over his counterpart.

Felipe (8-1) had won his first eight professional MMA bouts, including six via TKO. However, Serghei Spivac beat him by majority decision on July 18, 2020 in his UFC debut. Now Felipe heads into this one as a decisive underdog against “The Mad Titan.”

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Yorgan De Castro vs. Carlos Felipe betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

De Castro (-250) is a little too expensive on the 2-way fight result line, so get specific. Take DE CASTRO BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (-121) for a lot less risk. While it’s a little more expensive than I normally care to wager, go with UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-209) rather than playing No (-286): “Will the fight go the distance?” I also like the fight to end in ROUND 2 (+330) for a solid little payday.

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