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The Dayton Flyers (22-5, 12-3 A-10) and Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (20-8, 12-3) are lined up for a Friday night Atlantic-10 tussle at Joseph J. Gentile Arena. The opening tip will be at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dayton vs. Loyola-Chicago odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Dayton, ranked No. 20 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has lost its last 2 road conference games. But the Flyers are coming off a solid performance on home hardwood. On Tuesday, UD covered a 10 1/2-point spread in taking down Davidson 80-66. The Flyers made a dozen 3s in that game and have shot 42.6% from distance over their last 2 games.
Loyola-Chicago had a 7-game win streak straight up and against the spread (ATS) snapped with a disappointing Tuesday setback at St. Bonaventure. The 3-point underdog Ramblers shot 38.2% from the floor in a 79-64 loss to the Bonnies. That percentage gets filed as Loyola’s lowest single-game mark since Nov. 14.
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Dayton at Loyola-Chicago odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:48 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Dayton -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Loyola-Chicago +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
- Against the spread: Dayton -1.5 (-118) | Loyola-Chicago +1.5 (-104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Dayton at Loyola-Chicago picks and predictions
Prediction
Dayton 69, Loyola-Chicago 66
Moneyline
PASS. A Dayton lean has more relative value against the number at these prices.
Against the spread
The Loyola won-loss record does not stand up to analytic scrutiny. A high turnover rate and a shaky 69.3% mark from the foul line are factors that don’t bode well for the home team in this one.
UD has the defense at the rim and on the perimeter to keep the Ramblers at arms length. Flyer 3-point shooting of late has been strong, and Loyola’s recent win streak was likely embellished by a relatively weak February slate.
BACK DAYTON -1.5 (-118). Paying into a 22-cent play takes away from the leverage here: consider a partial-unit play.
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Over/Under
The Under has cashed in 10 of Dayton’s last 14 road games.
UD plays at a glacial pace, often beating the shot clock by a tick or two after probing the defense. The Ramblers play at an above-average speed but can defend well.
PASS on the current total, but look to bet the Under if the total reaches 138.5.
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