[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Dayton Flyers (22-6, 12-4 Atlantic-10) and Saint Louis Billikens (11-18, 4-12) tussle Tuesday night. Tip-off from Chaifetz Arena will be at 9 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dayton vs. Saint Louis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Dayton lost at Loyola-Chicago Friday and has dropped out of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll after spending 7 weeks mostly ranked in the teens. The favored-by-1 Flyers were undone by 20 turnovers in a 77-72 loss to the Ramblers. UD has lost 3 straight road games.
Saint Louis snapped a 4-game against-the-spread (ATS) losing streak Saturday. The Billikens, who were 2½-point underdogs, won 94-91 at the Rhode Island Rams.
SLU heads into Tuesday’s contest looking to avenge a 70-65 loss in Dayton Jan. 16.
Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+
Dayton at Saint Louis odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Dayton -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Saint Louis +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dayton -8.5 (-110) | Saint Louis +8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Dayton at Saint Louis picks and predictions
Prediction
Dayton 81, Saint Louis 67
Moneyline
Avoid the extra juice here; PASS.
Against the spread
SLU covered as a +12 in the Jan. 16 contest at UD and defeated these Flyers 65-61 at home March 3, 2023. But the public looks to be overvaluing the Billikens in this spot and over-weighing Dayton’s recent road setbacks.
Across its last 20 games against teams with losing records, UD is 14-6 ATS. SLU is 5-11 ATS in A-10 games and 0-5 ATS when looking to avenge a road loss.
The 3 recent road losses for the Flyers are marked — in order — by outlier poor distance shooting, outlier poor shooting inside the arc and outlier ballhandling. After its last 3 road losses, Dayton has responded with an ATS win.
Recent double-digit home losses to VCU Feb. 16 and Richmond Wednesday don’t bode well for Saint Louis. The Rams and Spiders are outside the KenPom top 75; UD currently sits at No. 27.
BACK THE FLYERS -8.5 (-110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
This series has seen 3 straight Unders and the Under going 5-1 across the last 6 meetings.
SLU plays at a fast pace, and UD plays at a slow one. Both teams can drill 3s at a healthy rate, but peg the Billikens as being due some accuracy regression in that department. Look for the Flyers to button up on turnovers, especially against a Saint Louis 5 that ranks as bottom 60 in frequency of turnovers forced, according to BartTorvik.com.
Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 151.5 (-110).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin /
College Sports Wire: Men’s hoops / Women’s hoops / High School
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1667]
