In a featherweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Darren Elkins and Darrick Minner meet at UFC on ESPN 27 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 27 Elkins vs. Minner odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims start at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the main card starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Elkins enters the octagon standing three inches taller than Minner with a 2.5-inch reach advantage. However, he also enters with a 1-4 record across his past five bouts. Although he did earn a third-round submission victory against Eduardo Garagorri last time out, Nov. 7, to stop the tailspin.
Minner has won two straight fights and four of his past five overall, including a solid unanimous-decision win over Charles Rosa Feb. 20. He has registered a strong 79.21 significant strikes accuracy percentage in his three fights at the UFC level.
UFC on ESPN 27 Elkins vs. Minner: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Elkins +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Minner -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -120 | Under +100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +105 | No -125)
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UFC on ESPN 27 Elkins vs. Minner: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Elkins 26-9-0 | Minner 26-11-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
MINNER (-155) is the play in this potential Fight of the Night. This bout has the potential to be a good one with Minner tremendous in the ground game, and Elkins (+130) sharp in the technical aspects, wowing the judges.
I think Minner’s ground game wins out, however. In 37 career professional fights, he is 22-8 via submission. His signature moves are the guillotine and rear-naked choke while he is susceptible to the triangle armbar. Since arriving at the UFC level, he has 3.60 submission average and a 62.50 takedown accuracy percentage, too.
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Over/Under (O/U)
I also like MINNER BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+165) at plus money on the 5-way line.
In addition, UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+100) at even money is also a good bet as well as NO (-125): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?
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