Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (14-8) square off against the Washington Wizards (2-17) Thursday. Tip-off from the Capital One Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Wizards odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dallas won 2-0 last season

The Mavs won their fifth straight Tuesday night with a 121-116 cover over the Memphis Grizzlies as 4.5-point faves. G Luka Doncic had 37 points and 12 boards while shooting 5-for-9 from distance. C Dereck Lively II broke out with 17 points, 11 boards and 3 blocks.

The Wizards have yet to unveil many magic tricks to put them into the win column. They were smoked 118-87 by the Cleveland Cavaliers Tuesday for their 15th consecutive defeat. C Jonas Valanciunas did some good work in the paint with 13 points and 11 boards. There wasn’t much else to write about in the laugher.

Mavericks at Wizards odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100) | Wizards +675 (bet $100 to win $675)
  • Against the spread: Mavericks -13.5 (-115) | Wizards +13.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mavericks at Wizards key injuries

Mavericks

  • F Naji Marshall (illness) out

Wizards

  • G Saddiq Bey (knee) out
  • C Malcolm Brogdon (knee) questionable
  • F Kyle Kuzma (ribs) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 121, Wizards 96

Moneyline

It’s a long, regular season, and anything can happen. However, I don’t expect the Mavs to overlook the Wiz so much that they drop this one in DC.

Instead of taking the astronomical -1100 ML, let’s focus on Lively here. The Wizards are tied for 25th with a 44% field goal percentage. They kick it down to Valanciunas underneath when they get in trouble, which is why he’s averaging 12.1 PPG in just 19.9 minutes per game.

Lively has 2+ blocks in 8 of 10. He’ll be ready to use his advantage in athleticism. Take DERECK LIVELY OVER 1.5 BLOCKS (-145).

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Against the spread

The Mavs are 9-1 in their last 10, but they’re also 9-1 ATS. Meanwhile, the Wizards are pretty hapless, and they’re just 5-13-1 ATS on the season.

I see no reason to doubt MAVS -13.5 (-115) covers.

Over/Under

The Wizards are going to have to eclipse 100 to cash an Over here, and I just don’t see it. They’ve cashed Unders in 5 of 6 games, and the Mavs will pull their starters if this is a joke by the end of the third.

Take the UNDER 232.5 (-115).

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Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (6-4) are set to face the Washington Wizards (5-6) Thursday at Capital One Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Wizards odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back following a 94-87 loss to the Orlando Magic Wednesday where they were unable to cover as 8.5-point road favorites. Dallas was on a 4-game win streak before the loss.

The Wizards are coming off a 108-100 win over the Charlotte Hornets Monday where they covered as 2-point road underdogs. Washington has lost 5 of its last 7 games after starting the season with a 3-1 record.

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Mavericks at Wizards odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Wizards +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -3.5 (-110) | Wizards +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Mavericks at Wizards key injuries

Mavericks

  • Not yet submitted

Wizards

  • G Bradley Beal (health & safety protocols) out
  • G Delon Wright (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 112, Wizards 105

Moneyline

The Mavericks (-155) are slightly favored on the road, but the odds for them to win aren’t worth taking straight up. I’ll go ahead and PASS on taking the moneyline in this game unless I’m including Dallas in a parlay.

Against the spread

MAVERICKS -3.5 (-110) is where I’m leaning in this game despite Dallas losing to Orlando Wednesday. G Luka Doncic had his 1st game where he scored fewer than 30 points against the Magic and Beal is sidelined for Washington.

The Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings against the Wizards in Washington.

Over/Under

Even with the Wizards having the 6th-worst offensive rating in the NBA, OVER 208.5 (-108) is an enticing wager. The Mavericks have the 8th-best offensive rating in the league and Doncic could be in store for a special performance Thursday.

The Over has hit in 6 of the 8 meetings between the Mavericks and the Wizards in Washington and has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings overall.

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Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (48-29) visit the Capital One Arena Friday to take on the Washington Wizards (33-43). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Wizards odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks come into the game on a 3-game winning streak and have won 5 of their last 6. They’ve also covered 5 of their last 6, pushing the Mavs’  against the spread (ATS) record to 43-33-1.

Dallas is led by superstar G Luka Doncic who averages a team-high 28.1 points, 8.6 assists and 9.2 rebounds per game. The Mavs sit in third place in the Western Conference.

Washington, once looked at as a playoff-caliber team, has slipped to 12th in the Eastern Conference and trail the 10th-place Hawks by 6.5 games.

The Wizards been playing solid basketball of late and have won 3 of their last 4 games (3-1 ATS). Washington is 5-3 ATS in its last 8 games and 30-44-2 ATS on the season.

This will be the first time these two teams have met since their blockbuster trade, sending G Spencer Dinwiddie to Washington for F Kristaps Porzingis, among other moving parts in that deal.

Mavericks at Wizards odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Wizards +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -8.5 (-110) | Wizards +8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Wizards key injuries

Mavericks

  • G Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

Home

  • F Kyle Kuzma (knee) out
  • G Bradley Beal (wrist) out

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Mavericks at Wizards odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 109, Wizards 104

Money line

PASS.

The Mavericks are the far better team and are trying to lock up the third spot in the West. Betting on them at -450 on the road still makes little sense given the potential return.

The same can be said about betting the Wizards to win without Beal. Ultimately, the money line is a strong pass.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the WIZARDS +8.5 (-110).

The Wizards have been playing well lately and they’ve done it behind Porzingis, who scored 35 points and shot 11-for-18 from the field in Wednesday’s 127-110 against the Magic.

With F Deni Avdija, F Rui Hachimura and G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, the Wizards should have enough talent to keep this game close. While the Mavs have been good the last 3 games, they’re just 5-4 ATS in their last 9.

Given that Doncic should be followed by a defensive-minded player and the Wizards have both length and size to throw at the Dallas star, they should be able to keep this one within single digits.

Per pregame.com, 73% of the tickets and 77% of the handle is on the Mavericks, so expect the line is continue to move in the Wizards favor. I would wait to play this closer to tip to ensure you get the best line possible.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 217.5 (-110).

If there’s one thing Doncic and the Mavericks do not do, it is play with pace. They rank 30th in pace in the league. G Jalen Brunson and Doncic prefer half-court offense over transition.

Along with a defense that ranks second in opponents’ points per game, I expect them to slow down a Wizards team without its top scorer. The Mavs are 2-4 O/U in their last 6. Washington is also 2-4 O/U.

Lastly, this is a “pros vs. joes” game with over 90% of the money on the Under yet 62% of tickets on the Over. Betting with the money is typically the more profitable angle, and it’s the best bet in this game as well.

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Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Washington Wizards (17-30) host the Dallas Mavericks (26-21) Saturday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off at Capital One Arena. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Wizards odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

This is Dallas’ final contest in a five-game road swing. The Mavs won and covered the spread in each of their previous three games with the latest being a 99-86 beatdown on the New York Knicks Friday.

After a slow start, Dallas has quietly been climbing the Western Conference standings and sit in 7th (the first postseason tournament play-in seed) entering Saturday.

Washington lost back-to-back games coming into today including a 114-104 loss to the Charlotte Hornets as a 4.5-point home underdog Tuesday and a 120-91 blowout by the Detroit Pistons as a 1-point road dog Thursday.

The Wizards have been without leading scorer SG Bradley Beal for the past three games and have lost five of their past seven games while going 3-4 against the spread.

These teams split last year’s regular-season series 1-1 but Washington covered the spread in both games despite Beal shooting .340/.190/.727 with a 91 offensive rating in those meetings.

Mavericks at Wizards: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Wizards +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -4.5 (-110) | Wizards +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Wizards: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG JJ Redick (heel) out
  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

Wizards

  • SG Bradley Beal (hip) questionable
  • Daniel Gafford (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Wizards: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Wizards 119, Mavericks 114

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to WIZARDS (+155) for a quarter-unit if Beal can play. Wait until as close to tip-off as possible to get a final injury report because if he cannot play then just stick with Washington plus the points.

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Against the spread (ATS)

While Wizards PG Russell Westbrook is regularly dogged online for his reckless play, Mavericks All-Star PG Luka Doncic is averaging 6 turnovers per game and Westbrook is averaging 3 steals per game in their four head-to-head meetings to date.

Westbrook out rebounds and throws more assists per game when playing against Doncic.

Furthermore, this would be considered a “bad spot” for the Mavs since they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on no rest and the Wizards are 9-7 ATS as a home dog this season.

Finally, nearly 90% of the market is betting the Mavericks to cover here (according to Pregame.com) yet bookmakers are bringing the line down from Dallas being favored by 6 points on the opener.

The only reason why the House would make Dallas cheaper ATS is to goad bettors into taking action on the Mavericks.

Take WIZARDS +4.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Since Dallas is 9-4 O/U as a road favorite, Washington is 11-5 as a home dog and there are offense-focused superstars on the floor tonight, I “LEAN” OVER 226.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

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