Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves odds predictions pick betting line spread

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves welcome the Dallas Mavericks to Target Center for Game 5 of the best-of-7 Western Conference Finals Thursday. The Mavericks lead the series 3-1. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks ripped off 3 straight wins to open this series, covering in each. They did come up short in Game 4, though, losing 105-100 Tuesday after closing as 1.5-point favorites. G Luka Doncic ended with a team-high 28 points but hit just 7 of 21 from the field.

Dallas beat the LA Clippers in 6 games in the 1st round and also won its 2nd-round series against the Oklahoma City Thunder in 6, covering 7 of 12 before the conference finals. The Mavs are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) on the road in the playoffs.

G Anthony Edwards, who leads the Wolves with 27.5 points per game in the playoffs, had his best performance of the series in Game 4, ending with 29 points and 10 rebounds.

As for Minnesota, the Wolves took down the defending champs, the Denver Nuggets, in 7 games in their 2nd-round series and swept the Phoenix Suns in the 1st round. They are 9-6 ATS through their 15 postseason games and 3-3 ATS as favorites.

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:58 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +166 (bet $100 to win $166) | Timberwolves -198 (bet $198 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +4.5 (-108) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-114)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) questionable
C Dereck Lively II (neck) questionable

Timberwolves

G Mike Conley (Achilles) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 107, Mavericks 105

Moneyline

PASS.

Unless one would rather back the Mavs on the moneyline than the spread, there’s not much value here. The Wolves (-198) are too pricey, and the Mavs have had each of their 1st 2 series end in 6 games.

Expect Minnesota to come out on top here, but avoid taking it at -198.

Against the spread

LEAN MAVERICKS +4.5 (-108).

In NBA standards, these games have had ultra-close finishes. All 4 games have been single-digit victories, and 3 of the 4 have been won by 5 or fewer points. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS as underdogs in the postseason, and they are 4-0 ATS through their last 4 games on the road.

Minnesota had a perfect style of play to down Denver and throttled a disoriented Phoenix team. While those were impressive, the Mavs have shown to be a more challenging matchup, and this should continue to be a hard-fought series. Since May 10, the Wolves have been favored 5 times and are 1-4 ATS in those games.

Back MAVERICKS +4.5 (-108).

Over/Under

BET OVER 209.5 (-110).

Both teams are trending towards the Over, as is the series as a whole.

The Wolves have gone Over in 6 of their last 9 and are 5-2 O/U in their 7 home playoff games this season. Similarly, the Mavs have gone Over in 8 of their last 13 games and are 4-2 O/U in their last 6 on the road.

Three of 4 games in the series have gone Over, and in the lone one that didn’t, the Mavs shot 42% while G Kyrie Irving and Doncic combined to hit just 13 of 39 from the field. The superstars should play better in their 2nd potential close-out game.

Back OVER 209.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet in Game 2 of the best-of-7 Western Conference Finals at Target Center Friday. The Mavericks lead the series 1-0. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks covered as 5-point road underdogs in a 108-105 win in Game 1 Wednesday as the Over (207) hit. According to ESPN, Dallas had just a 21% win probability with 3:19 remaining, but G Luka Doncic led a strong close for the Mavericks with 15 of his 33 points coming in the 4th quarter.

The Timberwolves were outscored 62-38 in the paint. G Anthony Edwards was limited to just 19 points, and F Jaden McDaniels (24 points) scored 20 or more for a 3rd straight game.

Minnesota won 3 of 4 regular-season meetings between these teams. The home team went 3-1 against the spread (ATS), and the Under hit in each meeting.

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Timberwolves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +5.5 (-110) | Timberwolves -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 207.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee) probable

Timberwolves

G Mike Conley (Achilles) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 101, Timberwolves 100

Moneyline

The MAVERICKS (+180) continue to be undervalued by the market in road games. Dallas is 3-0 straight up/ATS in its last 3 away games and is holding opponents to just 102.3 points per game over that stretch. A veteran team that is fully committed on the defensive end of the court should be pretty consistent on the road.

The Timberwolves’ best player is a 22-year-old in Edwards. He seems worn down after a 7-game series against the Denver Nuggets, while G Kyrie Irving (30 points in Game 1) seems to just be getting started after conserving energy and picking his spots against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

BET MAVERICKS (+180).

Against the spread

The Mavericks +5.5 (-110) should hit, but Dallas ML at plus money is the better opportunity if you’re looking to take advantage of a higher payout.

PASS. Bet Dallas ML and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Under hit in all 4 regular-season meetings and wasn’t far from cashing in Game 1 despite a 60-point 1st quarter. The Timberwolves were the No. 1 defense in the NBA this season, and the Mavericks seem to be getting better defensively throughout the playoffs.

Nothing about this game screams Over to me, especially if Conley isn’t available to facilitate the Timberwolves offense.

BET UNDER 207.5 (-110).

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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Wednesday for the opener of their best-of-7 Western Conference Finals. Tip-off from Target Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas came away with a 117-116 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder to close out their 2nd-round series in 6 games Saturday. While the Mavs advanced, they did fail to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The Mavs held the Thunder to only 36.6% (15-for-41) shooting from deep while having 3 starters score over 20 points in the win.

Minnesota beat the Denver Nuggets 98-90 in Game 7 Sunday, covering as a 4-point road underdog to move on to the West Finals. The Wolves, who trailed by 20 points early in the 3rd quarter, outscored the Nuggets 60-37 in the 2nd half. Minnesota won back-to-back games vs. Denver after losing 3-straight and falling behind 3-2 in the series.

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Timberwolves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) probable

Timberwolves

G Mike Conley (lower leg) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 105, Mavericks 99

Moneyline

PASS.

Look for the Timberwolves (-185) to ride the momentum from their Game 7 win at the Denver Nuggets when they rallied from 20 down against the defending champs. However, the juice doesn’t make a Minnesota ML bet worth the risk. Back the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN TIMBERWOLVES -4.5 (-105).

Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 contests, including covers in its last 2 games vs. Denver.

The T-wolves are 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ATS in the last 5 head-to-head meetings vs. the Mavs. Plus, Minnesota is 3-2 ATS in the last 5 at home vs. Dallas.

The last time they met, the Timberwolves covered as 13-point home favorites in a 121-87 rout in late January.

While he’s listed as probably, Doncic’s health and continued questions about G Kyrie Irving and his 1st-half scoring struggles for Dallas supports this play on Minnesota even more.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 207.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 of Dallas’ last 4 overall and is 2-1 in its last 3 road games in these playoffs.

For Minnesota, the Under has hit in back-to-back games. The Under has also hit in each of the last 4 Minnesota-Dallas matchups and is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings, dating back to 2021.

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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (45-28) play the Minnesota Timberwolves (42-32) Friday for the second time this week. Tip-off at the Target Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks held off the T-Wolves Monday in a 110-108 win in Dallas as 1-point home favorites. Dallas is 2-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) versus Minnesota this season.

In the last two weeks, the Mavs are 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS with the latest being a 110-91 home win versus the Houston Rockets Wednesday without Luka Doncic.

Following a 4-game winning streak, Minnesota has lost back-to-back outings to the Mavs Monday and the Phoenix Suns Wednesday (125-116). But, the T-Wolves are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games.

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:38 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mavericks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Timberwolves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-108) | Timberwolves -3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

None

Timberwolves

C Karl-Anthony Towns (forearm) questionable

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Mavericks at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 113, Timberwolves 109

Money line

According to both Pregame.com and VegasInsider.com, a vast majority of the action is on the Timberwolves (-160).

I’m assuming this is based on the public seeing Minnesota lose by 2 points to the MAVERICKS (+130) in Dallas earlier this week and figure the T-Wolves won’t lose a second straight to the Mavs, this time at home.

But, that’s what will happen. Dallas played with their food against Minnesota and should have comfortably won that game. The Mavs were up as many as 16 points versus the T-Wolves Monday and held a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter.

Also, this is a bad matchup for Minnesota since it feasts on forcing turnovers and crashing the glass. However, Dallas has one of the best offensive turnover and defensive rebounding rates in the Association.

I’ll SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+130) only because Dallas’s spread is the much sharper play.

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-108) heavier than or instead of their ML based on the previous analysis and as a fade against a market that’s barrelling into the T-Wolves -3.5 (-112).

The bottom line is the market has lazy analysis of this matchup and just figures Dallas cannot beat Minnesota twice in the same week. But the Mavs have a better winning percentage, adjusted net rating and ATS margin versus top-10 teams than the T-Wolves, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, Dallas is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 road games, 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings with Minnesota and 11-6 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record.

The MAVERICKS PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 228.5 (-110) because Dallas is 13-21 O/U versus teams with a winning record, the Mavs are 9-11 O/U as road underdogs and the T-Wolves are 10-14 O/U as home favorites.

Also, Dallas plays at the slowest pace in the NBA so if they control the tempo there should be fewer possessions.

But, I’m not as confident in the Under as I am about Dallas and the Over has cashed in five of the past six Mavericks-Timberwolves meetings.

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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (14-14) travel to Target Center Sunday to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (14-15). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Mavericks at Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks are coming into this game having won 2 of their last 4. They’re just 2-5 this season without Luka Doncic, and they’ll be down far more than just him Sunday.

The Mavs have been unprofitable to bet on this season, just 13-15 against the spread. The Wolves aren’t much better at 14-15. Minnesota will be without phenom Anthony Edwards in this one.

They’ll still be solid favorites as the far healthier side. The Wolves are just 4-6 ATS this season as home favorites.

Mavericks at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Timberwolves -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -3.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

G Reggie Bullock (health and safety protocols) out
G Luka Doncic (ankle) out

Timberwolves

G Anthony Edwards (health and safety protocols) out

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Mavericks at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 112, Mavericks 103

Money line

PASS on the money line. The Wolves are riding high after a solid home win over the Lakers. At -150, I would rather look toward the points to find value on the healthier side.

Against the spread

BET on the TIMBERWOLVES +3.5 (-107) as the Mavericks haven’t been able to find much offense without Doncic.

Bullock is also out, a player that typically helps create without their star. The Wolves have the 8th-best defensive rating, so they should be able to tame Tim Hardaway Jr.

With the marginally worse record, the Wolves have the better net rating of the two teams, suggesting they’re a touch better than their sub-.500 record indicates.

The Wolves rank 4th in offensive rebounding rate while the Mavericks are just 14th in defensive rebounding rate. I’ll take the more aggressive, healthier side in this one.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 213.5 (-108) as the better of the two sides. The Wolves have been a competent scoring team without Doncic, having topped 103 points in their last three games.

Jalen Brunson has stepped up nicely to command the offense. Similarly, the Wolves have big-time shot makers and have scored 110 or more points in 3 straight games.

The Over is the better play here.

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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (42-29) drop by Target Center Sunday to play the Minnesota Timberwolves (22-49) in each team’s regular-season finale. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas can clinch the 5-seed with a victory against a Minnesota team it has beaten five straight times while going 4-1 against the spread in those games.

The Mavs are trending up entering the postseason as they’ve won back-to-back games, six of seven and eight of their last 10 (6-4 ATS).

The T-Wolves have taken back-to-back double-digit losses against the Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets. They’ve lost five of their last seven games while going 2-5 ATS. Minnesota is eliminated from postseason contention.

Mavericks at Timberwolves: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Timberwolves +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -7 (-110) | Timberwolves +7 (-110)
Over/Under: 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Timberwolves: Key injuries

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) doubtful
SG JJ Redick (heel) out

Timberwolves

None.

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Mavericks at Timberwolves: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Timberwolves 121, Mavericks 115

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Timberwolves (+225) since I “like” Minnesota plus the points and question Dallas’ motivation to win this game.

What’s the Mavs’ incentive for winning? To play the Los Angeles Clippers in the first round? Dallas probably isn’t ducking anyone, but the Mavs could certainly be looking ahead to the postseason.

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Against the spread (ATS)

A lot of people think the T-Wolves should be in “tank mode” but they’ve instead opted to see what the future looks like with PG D’Angelo Russell, No. 1 overall pick Anthony Edwards and C Karl-Anthony Towns. When they’ve been on the floor together, the T-Wolves are playing well.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Minnesota has a plus-5.2 points per 100 possessions differential with those guys on the floor. The ‘Wolves are also in the 98th percentile of lineups in offensive efficiency and 97th percentile of effective field-goal shooting.

Minnesota has been playing harder than pundits want to admit and I’ll BET the TIMBERWOLVES +7 (-110) and their young core play the Mavs tough in the regular-season finale.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 230.5 (-110) for a half unit because the Over has cashed in four of the last five Mavericks-Timberwolves meetings and in Dallas’ past four.

Also, the T-Wolves have one of the worst defenses in the league and I don’t see the Mavs getting after it defensively.

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