WATCH: Dallas Cowboys Key Facts, Stats For 2021 NFL Season

The Dallas Cowboys’ over-under for regular-season wins in 2021 is nine. How realistic is that number? Here’s context.

The Dallas Cowboys went 6-10 in 2020, and have failed to make the playoffs in three of the past four seasons. Will Mike McCarthy lead his team to a playoff berth in his second season as head coach? Can they reach nine regular-season wins? These facts may inform your decision. Go to Tipico Sportsbook for the most updated odds:

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How many games will the Dallas Cowboys win in 2020?

Assessing the Dallas Cowboys’ projected 2020 win total, with best bets for their Over/Under, win range and exact win total.

How many games will the Dallas Cowboys win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.

Also see:

Dallas Cowboys’ 2019 season

Dallas was in control of the NFC East but lost four of its final six games to finish the 2019 season 8-8 and miss the postseason, despite having the league’s No. 1 offense and No. 9 defense by yards per game.

They finished 9-7 against the spread and 10-6 on the Over/Under.

Dallas Cowboys’ 2020 offseason changes

The Cowboys parted ways with former head coach Jason Garrett and hired Mike McCarthy. They re-signed WR Amari Cooper to a huge contract and QB Dak Prescott will play the season on the franchise tag.

CB Byron Jones left in free agency but they signed S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and defensive linemen Dontari Poe and Gerald McCoy in free agency. In the draft, they added WR CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma), CB Trevon Diggs (Alabama) and defensive lineman Neville Gallimore (Oklahoma).

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Dallas Cowboys’ 2020 schedule

Week 1: at Los Angeles Rams

Week 2: vs. Atlanta Falcons

Week 3: at Seattle Seahawks

Week 4: vs. Cleveland Browns

Week 5: vs. New York Giants

Week 6: vs. Arizona Cardinals

Week 7: at Washington Football Team

Week 8: at Philadelphia Eagles

Week 9: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 10: BYE

Week 11: at Minnesota Vikings

Week 12: vs. Washington Football Team

Week 13: at Baltimore Ravens

Week 14: at Cincinnati Bengals

Week 15: vs. San Francisco 49ers

Week 16: vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Week 17: at New York Giants 

Dallas Cowboys’ 2020 win total: Best bet

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Thursday, Aug. 6 at 9:55 a.m. ET.

Projected wins: 9.5 / OVER: -164 / UNDER: +135

Dallas should have one of the most explosive offenses in the league with their talent and a new offensive scheme. They should have a stouter defense up front and in the back end with their free-agent additions. They will be in a two-team race for the NFC East title with the Philadelphia Eagles.

They do have a tough schedule, having to play teams like the 49ers, Seahawks and Ravens, but they get to beat up on teams like Washington and the Giants, as well as play the Bengals. If they don’t win at least 10 games, it will be a failure. Take the OVER 9.5 WINS (-164).

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Over will profit $6.10 if the Cowboys win at least 10 games.

Exact season wins: Bands

0-4 wins: +5000

5-8 wins: +240

9-12 wins: -278

13-16 wins: +1100

The betting favorite is for the Cowboys to win 9-12 games at -278. That doesn’t give you good value, but things have gone very wrong if they win fewer than nine games and winning at least 13 seems unlikely. It is probably their ceiling, but everything has to go right. Your best bet is 9-12 WINS (-278).

Exact wins: Best bet

The betting favorites for exact wins are between 9-11 wins. Ten wins is +270, 9 wins is +300 and 11 wins is +340. This is your sweet spot, stick to this range. My pick for them this year is to finish with 11 wins, so go with that at +340.

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