The Chicago Cubs (27-20) and Milwaukee Brewers (20-23) put a lid on a three-game Miller Park series Sunday afternoon at 2:10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Cubs-Brewers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Cubs at Brewers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Alec Mills vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Mills has registered a 4.74 ERA and 1.21 through eight starts this season.
- 27-year-old who has logged a 4.19 ERA over 27 career games over parts of four seasons.
- Went 6 IP, allowing 4 ER against Milwaukee in a Wrigley Field start on Aug. 14.
Houser owns a 5.48 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over 8 GS (43 IP).
- Has deserved a better fate than a mid-5s ERA. Has been beaten up by unkind rates around the margins (64% LOB, .331 BABIP, 28% home-run rate on fly balls).
- Has coughed up 18 ER over his last 21.2 IP.
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Cubs at Brewers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Brewers
- OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Cubs at Brewers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The Cubs (+115) and Brewers (-129) have split the first two games of this NC Central series. The games have been pitcher’s duels: Just seven combined runs were scored over Friday and Saturday. That fits with recent struggles for the Chicago offense, which is usually the better of these two. The Cubs are just 5-6 with a .618 OPS over their last 11 games.
Milwaukee has the better bullpen but its not well rested among the high-leverage guys. Mills has tremendous stuff against right-handed batters (career .568 OPS allowed) and a shaky line against lefty bats (.939). Milwaukee’s lineup skews leans left and has been improving of late against right-hander pitchers. BREWERS (-129) is the play.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Houser is way undervalued coming in on such a slump. But his support numbers aren’t far off from what held up a 3.72 ERA a year ago. He does a credible job in limiting hard contact and may well be worth a run of differential here all by himself. Take that extra margin and make a play on the BREWERS -1.5 (+150).
Over/Under (O/U)
The game has a high-ish total, and there’s a slight lean on the Under, but likely not a playable lean unless a favorable price pops into the equation. Sit out the UNDER 9.5 (-110).
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