Creighton at Villanova odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Creighton at Villanova odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Creighton Bluejays (22-8, 13-6 Big East) visit the Villanova Wildcats (17-13, 10-9) Saturday afternoon. Tip from Wells Fargo Center is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Creighton vs. Villanova odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Creighton has won back-to-back games after beating Marquette 89-75 last Saturday to cover as an 8-point home favorite. G Baylor Scheierman scored a game-high 26 points and grabbed 16 rebounds for a double-double. G Trey Alexander (18 points, 11 assists) also had a double-double. The Bluejays shot 54.1% from the field in the win.

Villanova snapped a 2-game winning streak with a 66-56 loss against Seton Hall Wednesday while failing to cover as a 1-point road underdog. F Eric Dixon scored a team-high 14 points while G TJ Bamba (11 points) was the only other Villanova player to score in double figures. The Wildcats shot 35.2% from the field in the loss.

Creighton is No. 10 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Creighton at Villanova odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Creighton -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Villanova -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton -1.5 (-105) | Villanova +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Creighton at Villanova picks and predictions

Prediction

Creighton 69, Villanova 65

Moneyline

PASS.

There is more money to be made betting on the Creighton (-115) spread.

Against the spread

BET CREIGHTON -1.5 (-105).

Creighton is 7-3 straight up in its last 10 games and 6-4 ATS in that span. It has won and covered in 6 of its last 7 games overall and is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 as a favorite. Each of its previous 9 wins have been separated by more than 1 point. The versatility of the Bluejays offense will be the difference maker Saturday afternoon that will propel them to a win and cover.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 137.5 (-110).

Creighton has held opponents under 66 points in 3 of its last 5 games and 72 or fewer in 5 of its last 7.

Villanova has hit the Under in 8 of its last 10 games while scoring 56 or fewer points in 2 of its last 4. It has held opponents to 66 or fewer points in 8 of its last 9.

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Big East Tournament: Creighton vs. Villanova odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Creighton vs. Villanova odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The fourth-seeded Creighton Bluejays (22-10) and the second-seeded Villanova Wildcats (25-7) tangle Saturday for the Big East Tournament Final in New York. Tip-off at Madison Square Garden is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Creighton vs. Villanova odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Creighton has advanced to the final of the Big East bracket after its defense stymied top-seeded Providence in a 85-58 win and fifth-seeded Marquette in a 74-63 triumph. CU held opposing shooters to a mere 35% mark from the field over the two victories — the Bluejays’ eighth and ninth in their last 11 games.

Villanova — the No. 8 team in the nation — split a pair of regular-season blowout games with Creighton. The Wildcats eked by seventh-seeded St. John’s and third-seeded Connecticut to get to Saturday’s action at MSG. ‘Nova won those two games by a combined 4 points.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Creighton vs. Villanova odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Creighton +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Villanova -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton +6.5 (-112) | Villanova -6.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 128.5 (O: -120 | U: -113)

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Creighton vs. Villanova odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Villanova 69, Creighton 65

Money line

Creighton filed a flew clunkers in a mid-winter slump, but the Bluejays have been sharp of late. CU is a young team perhaps ready to once again fire at top-25 levels like it did for many weeks from 2013-21.

The ‘Jays can be loose with the basketball, and the Wildcats figure to have the edge on boards in this match-up. However, Creighton’s defense gives the Bluejays a puncher’s chance in this game, and CU needs the tourney crown to advance to the big dance while ‘Nova can afford bowing out of the Big East bracket a day early.

BACK THE BLUEJAYS (+230).

Against the spread

Bluejays are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs. Villanova covered a 2.5-point spread in its win over Connecticut but has not won back-to-back games ATS since mid-January.

SIDE WITH CREIGHTON +6.5 (-112).

Over/Under

Villanova’s ability to drain 3s has to be respected, and Creighton’s shooters have thus far enjoyed the MSG environment (50.9% on 2s, 40% on 3s against Providence and Marquette which are both Big East top-4s in field-goal defense).

BACK THE OVER 128.5 (-120).

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Creighton at Villanova odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Creighton Bluejays at Villanova Wildcats odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Creighton Bluejays (17-6 overall, 13-5 Big East) travel to meet the Villanova Wildcats (15-4, 10-3) Wednesday at Finneran Pavilion in Bryan Mawr, Penn., for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Creighton-Villanova odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Creighton at Villanova: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Creighton +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Villanova -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Creighton +5.5 (-115) | Villanova -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Creighton at Villanova: Three things to know

  1. The Wildcats enter this game looking for redemption after a 73-61 loss at Butler Sunday. While the Wildcats are 0-3 straight up and ATS in their past three road games, they’re money at home. Villanova is 8-0 SU and 4-3-1 ATS in their eight home outings this season.
  2. The Bluejays were also tripped up last time out, falling 77-69 at Xavier as 4-point favorites. While they lost that one, they’re still 4-1 SU (2-3 ATS) across their past five games on the road. Creighton is just 2-6 ATS in its past eight games on the road, including 1-4 ATS in the past five on the road against teams with a winning home record.
  3. Villanova is a good offensive club, going for 77.2 points per game to rank 56th in the country. The Wildcats are also a good free-throw shooting team at 78.2% to rank 15th in the country. Defensively, the Wildcats have struggled against 3-pointers, allowing opponents to hit 35.9%, good for just 295th overall in the nation.

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Creighton at Villanova: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Villanova 81, Creighton 74

Money line (ML)

VILLANOVA (-225) is over my usual money line limit of -180, but the Wildcats are a solid bet on their home floor. The Wildcats haven’t lost in eight games at home, and they will have revenge on their minds after losing at Creighton Feb. 13.

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Against the spread (ATS)

VILLANOVA -5.5 (-105) is a good bet on its home floor, especially since Creighton has struggled so much on the road, at least against the number.

You’ll be betting against some serious trends, as the road team has cashed in four of the past five games in this series, with the underdog going 6-0 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 146.5 (-110) is the best play on the board. Villanova has been crushing Overs lately, going 6-1 in its past seven at home, and 9-4 in its previous 13 games overall.

Creighton has rolled up 78.6 PPG on offense, ranking 39th in the nation, so they can hang with anyone. They will make you pull your hair out with their struggles at the free-throw line, as they hit just 65.7% of free throws, but we should see the Over inch across the line regardless.

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