Big East Tournament: Creighton vs. Xavier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Creighton vs. Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 3rd-seeded Creighton Bluejays (21-11) and No. 2 Xavier Musketeers (24-8) tussle in a Big East Tournament semifinal Friday in New York. Tip time at Madison Square Garden is slated for 9 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Creighton vs. Xavier odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Creighton, ranked 22nd in the nation, beat 6th-seed Villanova 87-74 Thursday as a 4.5-point favorite to advance. No. 15 Xavier escaped an upset with an 89-84 win over 12-point underdog DePaul. The highest-scoring team in the Big East (82.1 points per game), Xavier has tallied 78 points or more in each game of a current 4-game win streak.

The teams split their reguIar-season meetings. Xavier won 90-87 as 2.5-point home favorites on Jan. 11 as the 151.5 Over cashed. Creighton won 84-67 as 5.5-point home favorites on Jan. 28 while the 157.5 Under hit. Creighton’s win snapped a 4-game losing streak against the Musketeers.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Creighton vs. Xavier odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Creighton -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Xavier +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton -3.5 (-110) | Xavier +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Creighton vs. Xavier picks and predictions

Prediction

Creighton 75, Xavier 73

Moneyline

Worth a line watch: Xavier at +155 would be worth some partial-unit action. Otherwise, PASS.

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Against the spread

This series has produced 4 Xavier ATS wins in the last 6 meetings. The Musketeers are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams playing .600 basketball.

This Xavier team appears to play to its level of competition and has fared well against the best teams in the Big East.

Creighton had a sloppy stretch early in the season but then went 11-2 from Dec. 22-Feb. 11. But the Bluejays have faltered in a few spots against tough foes.

Consider a partial-unit play on XAVIER+3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Under is 10-2-2 in Xavier’s last 14 against winning teams and 8-2-2 in Creighton’s last 12 against winning teams. The Under is also 2-1 in the last 3 games of this series.

Expect a cranked-up pace and a fair number of triples. But other spiral factors may not be too prevalent. In the neutral building, BACK THE UNDER 152.5 (-105).

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Creighton at Xavier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Creighton at Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Creighton Bluejays (9-7, 3-2 Big East) and the No. 11 Xavier Musketeers (13-3, 5-0) battle Wednesday in Cincinnati. The opening tip at Cintas Center will be at 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Creighton vs. Xavier odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Creighton is coming off a 69-60 loss at UConn Saturday, failing to cover as a 7.5-point underdog and snapping a 3-game win streak. The Bluejays shot just 32.8% from the floor and were just 2 of 16 from distance (12.5%). CU had shot a robust 48.6% on 3s during its win streak.

The Musketeers lost 5 straight conference games late last season, but they have won 6 straight Big East games since. That streak includes an 88-80 win as a 2-point underdog at Villanova Saturday. Xavier owns the nation’s 5th-best mark (40.8%) from beyond the arc.

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Creighton at Xavier odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Creighton +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Xavier -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton +2.5 (-110) | Xavier -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Creighton at Xavier picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 77, Creighton 76

Moneyline

Creighton figures as somewhat undervalued comparing key analytics to surface performance. The opposite holds true for Xavier, which has had closer shaves than recent winning scores show.

However, for some acceptable leverage, it’d be optimal to get at least +135 here. PASS.

Against the spread

The underdog has gone 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings in this series.

For Creighton, 7-foot-1 C Ryan Kalkbrenner was out (illness) for the back half of a stretch that saw the Bluejays drop 6 in a row from Nov. 23-Dec. 16. Kalkbrenner has been back the last 4 games and has averaged 12.3 points and 3.3 blocks per game. The latter figures to loom large against a Musketeers offense that generates a lot of looks in close.

Peg Xavier as having some distance shooting numbers ripe for regression. The Bluejays are a solid shooting team from the perimeter and are up against an XU unit lacking in defense thereabouts.

Figure this contest as being a near-pick-’em. BACK THE BLUEJAYS +2.5 (-110) on a partial-unit play. Go in full should the spread get to +3.

Over/Under

Expect a fast pace but more than a couple of slow-the-score elements causing a muddled picture. PASS.

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