Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Cowboys (6-3) are coming off a road loss at Green Bay, yet will be road favorites when they meet the Minnesota Vikings (8-1) in one of the best Week 11 games. Kickoff Sunday at US Bank Stadium at 4:25 p.m. ET  (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cowboys vs. Vikings odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Cowboys have 1 of the most complete teams in the NFL, but currently find themselves in 3rd place in the competitive NFC East — making this a must-win game to keep pace in their division.

The Vikings have won 7 straight games – all 1-score games – and have found ways to erase deficits of 10 points in the 4th quarter in 3 of those games. They play up and down, but when the game is on the line, they have consistently found ways to win and keep momentum rolling.

With 5 of their next 6 games at home, Minnesota has a chance to cement its playoff positioning by taking care of business in front of their home fans.

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Cowboys at Vikings odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cowboys -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Vikings +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cowboys -1.5 (-112) | Vikings +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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Cowboys at Vikings key injuries

Cowboys

  • P Bryan Anger (illness) questionable
  • CB Anthony Brown (concussion) questionable
  • LB Anthony Barr (hamstring) questionable
  • RB Ezekiel Elliott (knee) questionable
  • DE DeMarcus Lawrence (foot) questionable

Vikings

  • LB Za’Darius Smith (knee) questionable
  • DT Dalvin Tomlinson (calf) out

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Cowboys at Vikings picks and predictions

Prediction

Vikings 27, Cowboys 24

Moneyline

VIKINGS (+105)

The Cowboys are viewed as the primary competition for the Eagles to be the Super Bowl representative from the NFC, but they have lost their last 2 road games and are heading into Minnesota, where the US Bank crowd can be deafening.

This is a close spread for a reason because the Cowboys have the better top-to-bottom roster, but Minnesota has found the formula to keep games close and play their best when the game is on the line.

Against the spread

PASS.

You’re investing in the potential that there could be a tie or a Cowboys win by 1 point. Considering that I’m taking the Vikings to win outright, I would avoid this bet and take the moneyline bet. However, I wouldn’t blame anyone for taking a little less return to get the insurance of not necessarily having to win — especially given Minnesota’s inexplicable struggle kicking extra points.

Over/Under

OVER 48.5 (-109).

I’m not a fan of the number, but this is the style these 2 teams are playing.

During their current 7-game winning streak, the Vikings have gone over this number in 5 of 7 games. The Cowboys started the season keeping teams without posting big point totals, but have gone way over this number in their last 2 games (against the Chicago Bears and Packers).

It may take 1 team getting ahead by double digits early to force the issue, but both teams can make a case to make that happen. Dallas has the biggest 1st-quarter scoring margin (+31) in the NFL and Minnesota has scored touchdowns on their 1st drive in 6 of 9 games.

It’s a big number, but it’s achievable with these 2 big-play offenses and aggressive, risk-taking defenses.

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