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The Dallas Cowboys (3-4) and Atlanta Falcons (5-3) meet in Week 9 Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Cowboys vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions..
The Cowboys’ ground game faltered again, managing under 60 rushing yards in a 30-24 loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Falling short as 5.5-point road underdogs, they did push the game over the 48-point total. The Cowboys’ defense allowed 469 yards, with 246 through the air and 223 on the ground. QB Dak Prescott threw 2 interceptions but found WR CeeDee Lamb 13 times for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns.
The Falcons captured their 4th win in 5 games with a 31-26 victory over division-rival Tampa Bay. Covering the 1.5-point spread as road favorites and going over the 48-point total, Atlanta’s defense stepped up by forcing 3 turnovers. QB Kirk Cousins threw 4 touchdown passes, including 2 to TE Kyle Pitts, who finished with 91 receiving yards.
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Cowboys at Falcons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cowboys +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Falcons -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Cowboys +3 (-105) | Falcons -3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Cowboys at Falcons key injuries
Cowboys
- CB DaRon Bland (foot) out
- CB Trevon Diggs (calf) questionable
- DT Linval Joseph (back) questionable
- LB Eric Kendricks (shoulder) questionable
- RG Zack Martin (shoulder) questionable
- DE Micah Parsons (ankle) out
- DT Jordan Phillips (wrist) out
- LB Nick Vigil (foot) questionable
Falcons
- LB Troy Andersen (knee) questionable
- C Drew Dalman (ankle) questionable
- RG Chris Lindstrom (knee) questionable
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Cowboys at Falcons picks and predictions
Prediction
Falcons 27, Cowboys 20
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Falcons here, but they’re a bit too expensive on the ML. Head to the spread instead.
Against the spread
BET FALCONS -3 (-115).
The Falcons enter this Week 9 NFC matchup on a roll, having won 4 of their last 5 games, while the Cowboys have dropped 4 of their last 6. Dallas’ 3-4 record looks shaky on closer inspection, with their only wins against the Browns, Giants and Steelers – all narrow, last-minute victories aside from a lackluster Week 1 win over Cleveland. Dallas managed fewer than 300 total yards in that game, relying heavily on Browns’ mistakes for the win.
With key defensive players like Parsons, DeMarcus Lawrence and Bland likely sidelined, the Cowboys’ defense could struggle against an improving Falcons passing game. Last week, Cousins threw 4 touchdowns and averaged 9.5 yards per attempt against Tampa. Atlanta, fighting to solidify first place in the NFC South, looks poised to take this one by at least a field goal.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 52 (-110).
This game could lean toward the Under, despite recent trends. Dallas has hit the over in its last 2 games, and Atlanta in 4 of its last 5, but both defenses are weak, and the total is set high. With the Cowboys ranking last in red zone offense and Atlanta in the bottom 10, drives may stall often. The Under has cashed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams, making it a solid play here.
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