Colts Texans odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Indianapolis Colts (4-3) and Houston Texans (5-2) meet in Week 8 Sunday. Kickoff from NRG Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Colts vs. Texans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions..

The Colts secured their 4th win in 5 games, defeating the Miami Dolphins 16-10 Oct. 20. They covered as 3-point home favorites, with the Under (44) hitting. QB Anthony Richardson returned from a 3-game hip injury, but showed rust, completing just 10 of 24 passes. However, he led the team in rushing with 56 yards. K Matt Gay was reliable, hitting all 3 of his field-goal attempts in the victory.

The Texans had their 3-game win streak snapped in a close 24-22 loss to the Green Bay Packers Oct. 20. Despite the defeat, they covered as 3-point road underdogs, and the Under (47.5) cashed. QB C.J. Stroud struggled, posting his worst performance of his professional career with only 10 completions on 21 attempts for 86 yards. However, RB Joe Mixon stepped up, carrying the load with 115 rushing yards and 2 TDs.

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Colts at Texans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Colts +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Texans -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts +5 (-115) | Texans -5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Colts at Texans key injuries

Colts

DE Genard Avery (foot) out
DT DeForest Buckner (ankle) questionable
LB Jaylon Carlies (fibula/shoulder) out
LB Cameron McGrone (elbow) questionable

Texans

LB Azeez Al-Shaair (knee) out
LB Henry To’oTo’o (concussion) questionable
S Jimmie Ward (groin) out

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Colts at Texans picks and predictions

Prediction

Texans 27, Colts 17

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no doubt in my mind that the Texans (-250) win and cover Sunday. So, I’ll take my wager to the spread.

Against the spread

BET TEXANS -5 (-105).

The Texans edged out the Colts in their Week 1 matchup, winning 29-27. Despite the close score, Houston outgained Indianapolis by 114 yards and controlled the ball nearly twice as long. Richardson relied on 2 long TD passes to stay competitive, but his performance has declined since, with just 48.8% of his passes completed, along with 1 TD and 5 INTs.

After a narrow 24-22 loss to the Packers, the Texans remain in control of the AFC South. A victory this weekend would provide a critical tiebreaker against the Colts. At home, they hold a 10-3 record, averaging an 11-point win margin. Considering the Colts’ struggles against the run, I anticipate the Texans winning by at least a TD.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 45.5 (-110).

The 1st meeting between the Texans and Colts ended with 56 total points, largely due to 2 quick TDs from Richardson. However, I don’t expect Houston to allow Richardson to attack downfield, and I anticipate a run-heavy approach against a Colts defense that struggles against the run, allowing 159.9 rushing yards per game (31st in NFL). This should lead to a big day for Mixon.

In their 3 losses, the Colts have surrendered an average of 200 rushing yards, compared to just 129.8 in their 4 wins. I expect the Texans to win, resulting in longer drives and more time coming off the clock. Historically, these 2 teams don’t produce high scores, with their last 10 meetings averaging 44.7 points and 7 of those games finishing Under. The total has gone Under in every Texans home game this season, so I’m backing UNDER 45.5 (-110).

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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Indianapolis Colts (0-1) square off against the Houston Texans (0-1) in the battle of rookie quarterbacks Sunday. Kickoff from NRG Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Colts vs. Texans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Colts lost 31-21 and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs against the Jacksonville Jaguars in rookie QB Anthony Richardson‘s debut. Indianapolis carried a 21-17 lead into the 4th quarter before giving up 14 unanswered points and dropping the game.

Richardson went 24-of-37 passing for 223 yards with a TD and an INT and had 10 carries for 40 yards and a TD. WR Michael Pittman Jr. caught 8 passes for 97 yards and a TD.

The Texas failed to cover as 9.5-point underdogs in a 25-9 loss to the Baltimore Ravens in QB C.J. Stroud‘s debut. Stroud went 28-of-44 passing for 242 yards through the air with 0 TD or INT and had 4 carries for 20 yards and a fumble.

It was a tough day all around for Houston as they failed to find the end zone. WR’s Nico Collins (6 receptions, 80 yards) and Robert Woods (6, 57) appeared to be Stroud’s favorite targets with each seeing double-digit targets.

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Colts at Texans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Colts +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Texans -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts +1 (-110) | Texans -1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Colts at Texans key injuries

Colts

OL Quenton Nelson (toe) questionable

Texans

LB Neville Hewitt (illness) questionable
WR John Metchie III (hamstring) questionable
S Jalen Pitre (chest) questionable
OL Laremy Tunsil (knee) questionable
S Jimmie Ward (hip) questionable

Colts at Texans picks and predictions

Prediction

Texans 21, Colts 17

Moneyline

BET TEXANS (-120).

It appeared that Richardson had to be a jack of all trades last week as the Colts forged forward with RB Jonathan Taylor on the PUP and mired in a contract dispute. While it seemed to work for a majority of the game, Indianapolis was unable to keep the steam late in the game. Expect the energy to be high in the Texans’ home opener and a bounce-back game from RB Dameon Pierce to carry them to victory.

Against the spread

BET TEXANS -1 (-110).

In this instance, a Texans win means a Texans cover — or at least a push. While Stroud did not particularly impress last week, his only big mistake was a fumble. In this battle of rookie QBs, who have been friends since high school, the home QB with a more grounded offense will lead his team to the win and cover.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 39.5 (-110).

Barring a standout game from one or both of these first-year QBs, the Under is looking likely. The Colts have not identified a lead RB in Taylor’s absence while the Texans will look to get Pierce going early after a slow outing against the Ravens last week. With each QB still settling into their respective offense, do not be surprised with sloppier play and fewer points.

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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans Week 1 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans open their seasons Sunday at NRG Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Colts vs. Texans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Colts finished the 2021 season with a 26-11 loss at the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 18 as 14-point favorites that resulted in them missing the playoffs. Indianapolis then brought in QB Matt Ryan from the Atlanta Falcons to replace QB Carson Wentz under center.

Indianapolis is the favorite to win the AFC South at -135. Colts star RB Jonathan Taylor is the favorite to finish the regular season with the most rushing yards at +425 and co-favorite with Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp to win Offensive Player of the Year at +900.

Houston is clearly in a rebuild after only winning 4 games last season. However, the Texans covered the spread in 3 of their final 4 games, including a 41-29 win as 13.5-point underdogs vs. the Los Angeles Chargers in December.

Houston QB Davis Mills finished his rookie campaign with 16 TD and 10 INT. Houston is the favorite at +300 to finish with the worst record in the NFL.

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Colts at Texans odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:38 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Colts -340 (bet $340 to win $100) | Texans +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts -7.5 (+100) | Texans +7.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Colts at Texans key injuries

Colts

LB Shaquille Leonard (ankle) probable

Texans

None

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Colts at Texans picks and predictions

Prediction

Colts 28, Texans 21

Money line

PASS.

The Colts (-340) should win, but the price is too high to bet the money line. While Indianapolis is the better team, Houston showed at the end of last season that it is capable of upsetting big favorites.

Against the spread

Indianapolis has a better roster than Houston, but this will be Ryan’s first regular season game with the Colts. Mills has had the time to build chemistry with his receivers that Ryan hasn’t had.

Houston is undervalued in this spot considering its offense can build on the chemistry it flashed at the end of last season.

BET THE TEXANS +7.5 (-120).

Over/Under

The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these teams, but those were under different circumstances. Indianapolis’ offense should be much more productive with former MVP Ryan acting as signal-caller, while Houston’s offense should have drastically improved since the most recent head-to-head meeting last December.

BET OVER 45.5 (-112).

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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indianapolis Colts (6-6) will take on the Houston Texans (2-9) at NRG Stadium Sunday in Week 13. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Colts vs. Texans odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Colts absolutely destroyed the QB Davis Mills-led Texans earlier in the season. RB Jonathan Taylor went for 145 yards on 14 carries while Davis Mills threw 2 interceptions.

The Texans should begin to look like a more competent side now with QB Tyrod Taylor healthy, although they did lose to the New York Jets in Week 12.

The Texans come into this game 5-6 against the spread (ATS) while the Colts are 7-5 ATS. Indianapolis is 3-2 straight up on the road while Houston is just 1-4 at home.

Colts at Texans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Colts -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Texans +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts -9.5 (-115) | Texans +9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Colts at Texans key injuries

Colts

DT DeForest Buckner (knee) questionable
TE Jack Doyle (knee) questionable
S Andrew Sendejo (calf) questionable

Texans

WR Brandin Cooks (illness) questionable
DB Terrence Brooks (hamstring) out
RB David Johnson (illness, thigh) questionable
OL Justin McCray (concussion) out
DL DeMarcus Walker (hamstring) out
DL Jonathan Greenard (foot) questionable
DL Roy Lopez (illness) questionable

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Colts at Texans odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Colts 31, Texans 14

Money line

PASS on the money line.

This is a do-or-die scenario for the Colts — they must get the win, and I expect them to play like it. However, -500 odds still aren’t worth any wager, and neither is really the +360 on the Texans.

Against the spread

BET on the COLTS -9.5 (-115) despite the high spread. The Texans are coming off a 7-point loss to the Jets. This could be a good buy-low spot for them, but I wouldn’t trust Houston.

They rank 31st in opponents rushing yards per game which plays into a strength of the Colts. Taylor is leading the league in rushing yards and destroyed a weak Texans defensive line in their first meeting. He should continue that dominance.

The Colts have hit 31 points in four of their last five games. Their offense has been dynamic and I think it’ll once again prove far too much for Houston to handle.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 44.5 (-105) as the Colts have an offense that’s been on fire as of late and it’s facing one of the league’s worst defenses.

On the flip side, there should be hope that Taylor, with another week under his belt, can produce offensively. Taylor should have the weapons to march down the field provided Cooks is able to suit up.

The Texans average 14.9 points per game, so with their inept defense, all they need to do is hit that amount.

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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans Week 13 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Indianapolis Colts (7-4) are in the midst of a fight for the AFC South crown and Sunday afternoon, they’ll visit a Houston Texans (4-7) team that has won three of its last four games. The Week 13 game will be held at NRG Stadium with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Colts-Texans betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Colts at Texans: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Colts -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Texans +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
Against the spread/ATS: Colts -3.5 (-110) | Texans +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Colts at Texans: Game notes

The Texans and Colts have split their last 10 meetings, with each team winning five games. The Colts have won two of the last three, however.
The Colts are 6-5 ATS this season, while the Texans are just 4-7.
In their last seven games against the Texans, the Colts are 6-1 ATS.
The Colts rank in the top 10 defensively in points allowed, passing yards and rushing yards allowed, and yards per play.
The total has gone Under in five of the Texans’ last six games at home.

Colts at Texans: Key injuries

Colts

QB Philip Rivers (toe) questionable
OT Anthony Castonzo (knee) questionable
LB Bobby Okereke (ankle) questionable

Texans

DT Ross Blacklock (illness) questionable
RB C.J. Prosise (illness) questionable
S Lonnie Johnson (knee) questionable

Colts at Texans: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Colts 24, Texans 21

Money line (?)

With as poorly as the Texans have played this year, this is still an evenly-matched game; however, it’ll be a tough one for Houston to win. With no WR Will Fuller or WR Kenny Stills, QB Deshaun Watson‘s weapons will be limited.

The Colts have an outstanding defense, particularly against the pass. They’ll hold Watson in check long enough and move the ball well on the ground against Houston’s 31st-ranked rush defense. Take the COLTS (-190) to win outright.

Against the spread (?)

The Texans have covered the spread in only four of their 11 games this season, most of which were as underdogs. They’ll keep this one close, though, thanks to the magic of Watson.

Take the TEXANS +3.5 (-110) to cover the spread and lose by three or fewer points. The Colts have a knack for blowing teams out – especially bad ones – but that won’t be the case here.

Over/Under (?)

The total has gone Under in six of the last eight games between these two teams. The Texans offense isn’t as explosive without Fuller and Stills, which will keep their scoring rate lower than usual.

The total of 50.5 is fairly high, so I’m taking the UNDER (-110) here.

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Also see:

Colts vs. Texans: Key matchups to watch in Week 13 (Colts Wire)
4 reasons Texans QB Deshaun Watson has taken fewer sacks (Texans Wire)

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