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The Colorado Buffaloes (24-10) and Boise State Broncos (22-10) play for the 10th seed in the South Region when they meet in an NCAA Tournament First Four matchup Wednesday. Tip-off from UD Arena in Dayton is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Colorado vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Buffaloes reeled off 8 straight victories before falling to Oregon 75-68 in the Pac-12 Tournament final Saturday. G KJ Simpson finished the season tied for 2nd in points per game (19.6), 2nd in free-throw percentage (87.1%) and 3rd in assists per game (4.9) in the Pac-12.
Boise State won 5 straight from Feb. 17-March 2 before dropping 2 of 3, losing 76-66 to New Mexico in the Mountain West quarterfinals Thursday. F Tyson Degenhart was the MWC’s 4th-leading scorer (17 ppg), and G Chibuzo Agbo has hit an impressive 20 of 45 (44.4%) from 3-point range over his last 8 games played.
These schools met Nov. 20, 2022, and it was the Broncos cashing outright as 2.5-point home underdogs with a 68-55 victory. Simpson committed a game-high 4 turnovers in the loss for Colorado.
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Colorado vs. Boise State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Colorado -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Boise State +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Colorado -3.5 (-110) | Boise State +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Colorado vs. Boise State picks and predictions
Prediction
Colorado 71, Boise State 70
Moneyline
INLUCDE COLORADO (-170) IN A ML PARLAY.
Unlike last season’s early season tilt in Boise, expect this neutral-court game to come down to the wire. A 4-leg Moneyline parlay featuring COLORADO (-170), IOWA STATE (-2100) vs. South Dakota, ARIZONA (-4000) vs. Long Beach State, and ILLINOIS (-850) vs. Morehead State pays -110 and could be a way to spread out a sweat.
Against the spread
BET BOISE STATE +3.5 (-110).
Colorado G J’vonne Hadley pointed out Agbo’s effort and ability to rebound when talking about the challenges that Boise State presents. The statistics back it up, as Boise State allowed the fewest opponent rebounds per game (29.8) this season in the Mountain West.
Unfortunately for the Broncos, Colorado’s ability to score — 1st in the Pac-12 with a 49.3 FG% — will ultimately pave the way for the Buffaloes to prevail in the end.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 143.5 (-105).
Boise State ranks 285th in possessions per game (68.5) out of 362 D1 schools, so expect the Broncos to slow down the tempo.
No team committed fewer fouls per game (14.9) in the Pac-12 than Colorado, and opponents shot 31.8% from 3-point range, which was also lowest in the conference.
The Broncos will have to rely on crashing the boards and 2nd-chance points to stay in this game.
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