Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (9-5) finish their 3-game interleague set at the Detroit Tigers (6-8) Sunday. First pitch at Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series is tied at 1-1. The Rockies and Tigers split Saturday’s doubleheader with Detroit crushing Colorado 13-0 in the first game and the Rockies winning 3-2 in Game 2.

Rockies at Tigers projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Kuhl (1-0, 0.87 ERA) beat the Philadelphia Phillies 4-1 Monday, pitching 6 scoreless frames with 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K.

  • vs. Tigers on current roster: 2.81 FIP with a .179 batting average, .254 wOBA, .355 expected slugging percentage, 29.5 K% and 90.3 mph exit velocity in 44 plate appearances.

Alexander (0-1, 4.26 ERA) picked up a loss in just a 1-inning start in Detroit’s 4-2 defeat to the New York Yankees Tuesday even though both of the runs allowed by Alexander were unearned.

  • Career home splits: 4-7 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, both of which are higher than his road marks.

Rockies at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Tigers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-180) | Tigers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Rockies at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 7, Tigers 3

Money line

GIMME the ROCKIES (+110) for 1 unit because they have an edge in two of the three most important phases of baseball (hitting and starting pitching) and are equal with the Tigers (-135) in the third, relief pitching.

Colorado’s lineup has hit left-handed pitching well and Detroit’s lineup has struggled versus righties to start the year. The Rockies rank 12th in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA while the Tigers rank 25th in both wRC+ and wOBA and 23rd in hard-hit rate against righties, per FanGraphs.

Kuhl looks good in his first year in Colorado after moving on from that dumpster fire known as the Pittsburgh Pirates he pitched for from 2016-21.

Kuhl’s pitching periphals are far stronger than Alexander’s and he grades in the 82nd percentile or better in whiff rate, xSLG, xwOBA and xERA, according to Statcast.

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Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the ROCKIES -1.5 (+180) ALTERNATE RL, if at all, because they have healthy enough edges in hitting and starting pitching.

On top of that, Detroit’s bullpen ranks 28th in both xFIP and hard-hit rate, 25th in EV and 24th in K/BB rate so the ROCKIES -1.5 (+180) ALTERNATE RL could cash in later innings.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (+100) because both starters are at the end of each teams’ rotation and both bullpens have poor pitching peripherals.

However, it’s only a “lean” because the Rockies have played more to the Under as road underdogs since the beginning of last season and the Tigers have played more to the Under as home favorites over that span.

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