Colorado Rockies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 2

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (35-47) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (37-45) open a 4-game series Thursday at Chase Field in Phoenix. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Season series tied 3-3

The Rockies picked up a pair of wins in a 3-game set against the Diamondbacks July 1-3 in Denver. Colorado was unable to carry over the momentum into Los Angeles, suffering a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Dodgers.

The Diamondbacks are coming off an impressive 3-game set against the San Francisco Giants, winning 2 of 3 games, outscoring the Giants 19-12 in the process.

Rockies at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Austin Gomber vs. LHP Dallas Keuchel

Gomber (4-7, 6.53 ERA) makes his 14th start, and 16th overall appearance. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 73 IP.

Earned a win last time out against the Diamondbacks Saturday, yielding 4 ER, 6 H and 0 BB with 2 K across 5 2/3 IP.
Is 2-3 with a 6.42 ERA and .252 opponent batting average in 33 2/3 IP across 6 road starts and 8 overall appearances.

Keuchel (2-6, 8.27 ERA) makes his 3rd start with Arizona, and 11th start overall this season. He has a 2.10 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 41 1/3 IP.

Is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.93 WHIP across 9 1/3 IP in 2 starts since joining the Diamondbacks.
Was socked around for 7 R – 6 ER – and 6 H with 3 BB across 5 IP in a loss in Colorado Saturday.

Rockies at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Rockies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 8, Diamondbacks 5

Money line

The ROCKIES (-145) are moderate favorites on the road, which might be a bit surprising considering the Diamondbacks (+120) are at home. In addition, Arizona leads Colorado by 2 games in the NL West standings. However, Keuchel has been so bad this season that the books expect the Rockies to tee off on the beleaguered southpaw like they did last time out in Denver.

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Run line/Against the spread

The ROCKIES -1.5 (-110) are a decent play on the road against Keuchel. While it might seem a bit risky playing the run line on a team that has won just twice in the past 7 games, this team won 11-7 last time Gomber faced Keuchel at Coors Field. Play Colorado, but go lightly.

Over/Under

The OVER 9.5 (-120) is the way to go here. In the 3-game set in Denver, albeit in the rarefied air, Arizona and Colorado averaged 13.7 combined runs per game in the 3-game set. While Chase Field isn’t a Mile High in elevation, the ball still jumps out of the place. The Over is 4-1-1 in the past 6 games for the Snakes, and 4-0-1 in the past 5 against teams with a losing record, too.

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Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (35-46) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (51-29) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Season series tied 4-4

The Rockies had plenty of success hosting the Dodgers, but they’ve lost the first 2 games of this series in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers have outscored the Rockies by a 10-5 count, with the Under going 1-0-1 in the first 2 games in this series. The Under is 8-2-2 in the past 12 games overall for Los Angeles.

Rockies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Jose Urena vs. RHP Mitch White

Urena (0-0, 3.52 ERA) makes his 1st start, and 5th overall appearance. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 3.5 K/9 in 7 2/3 IP.

Returns to the majors for the 1st time since April 26, when he allowed 3 R (1 ER), 4 H in 2 1/3 IP of relief.
Makes 1st start since Aug. 28, 2021, against the Toronto Blue Jays when he was a member of the Milwaukee Brewers.

White (1-1, 3.93 ERA) makes his 7th start and 12th overall appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 34 1/3 IP.

Allowed 1 ER and 2 H in 3 2/3 IP in his 1st relief appearance of the season at Colorado on April 10.
Is 1-1 with a 5.02 ERA and 18 K in 14 1/3 IP in 2 starts and 3 relief appearances at home.

Rockies at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Dodgers -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (+100) | Dodgers -2.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Rockies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Rockies 2

Money line

The Dodgers (-380) will cost more than 3 1/2 times your potential return, and there is never any way to justify that kind of risk for such a small reward.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -2.5 (-120) are risky business on the run line, but Los Angeles covered the big inflated line in Tuesday’s game, edging the Rockies +2.5 (+100) by a 5-2 count. Don’t go crazy risking big money, but L.A. is worth a small-unit play.

Over/Under

The UNDER 9.5 (-122) is the lean here. If the game were in Denver it would be a different story. However, the Under is the play here, going 8-2-2 in the past 12 games overall.

And if you needed further proof the Under is the play, the Rockies have managed 3 or fewer runs in 6 consecutive road games, averaging just 1.8 runs per game during the unimpressive span. The Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 road outings for Colorado.

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Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (35-44) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (49-29) open a 3-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rockies lead the season series 4-2.

The Rockies have won 4 of the past 6 games, including 2 of 3 at Coors Fields against the Dodgers from June 27-29.

The Dodgers lost the series finale against the San Diego Padres, but Los Angeles won 3 of 4 in the set. The Under is 7-2-2 across the past 11 games overall for the Dodgers.

Rockies at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Kyle Freeland vs. LHP Julio Urias

Freeland (4-5, 4.31 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 85 2/3 IP.

Is 1-2 with a 2.91 ERA in 6 road starts across 34 IP vs. a 5.23 ERA in 9 home starts over 51 2/3 IP.
Has a 1-1 record, 7.45 ERA and .275 opponents’ batting average in 9 2/3 IP across 2 starts vs. LAD this season.

Urias (6-6, 2.64 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 81 2/3 IP.

Wrapped up the month of June with a 3-1 record, 2.20 ERA and .167 OBA in 28 2/3 IP across 5 starts.
Is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA with a .353 OBA in 7 1/3 IP in 2 starts vs. COL this season.
Has allowed 11 home runs this season, but none in 34 1/3 IP at home.

Rockies at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-130) | Dodgers -2.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Rockies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Rockies 4

Money line

The Dodgers (-300) will cost you 3 times your potential return, and that’s just too risky. Plus, the Rockies (+230) actually have a winning record in 6 meetings this season against them.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -2.5 (+105) are a little more reasonably priced on the run line, but it’ll be close now that the Dodgers have to win by 3. While Los Angeles has shockingly struggled against the Rockies +2.5 (-130) this season, all of the previous meetings have been at Coors Field in Denver. The Dodgers will handle their business at home against the Rox. LEAN DODGERS -2.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-110) has been a frequent happening for the Rockies lately, going 3-0-2 in the past 5 games overall, while also going 3-0-2 in the past 5 inside the division.

While the Under has dominated for the Dodgers lately and has cashed in 5 straight meetings in L.A., the Over is 4-1-1 in the past 6 for the Dodgers against losing teams. The Over is also 6-2 in the past 8 games at home against southpaws.

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Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions

The Colorado Rockies (31-40) and Minnesota Twins (39-33) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game interleague set at Target Field in Minneapolis. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Twins won 6-0 Saturday, avenging a 1-0 loss in Friday’s series opener.

The last-place Rockies head into this one looking to even their record in interleague games at 7-7. Colorado enters just 12-22 in 34 road games this season.

The first-place Twins picked up the win Saturday, but Minnesota is still just 2-5 in 7 interleague games so far this season.

Rockies at Twins projected starters

RHP Ryan Feltner vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Feltner (1-2, 5.46 ERA) makes his 7th start. The rookie has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 29 2/3 IP.

Was roughed up with 5 R (4 ER), 6 H (2 HR) allowed in just 3 2/3 IP in a no-decision at the Miami Marlins Tuesday.
Is 0-1 with a 5.03 ERA and .240 opponent batting average in 4 road starts over 19 2/3 IP.

Ryan (5-3, 3.00 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 54 IP.

Posted a quality start in a no-decision against the Cleveland Guardians Tuesday, allowing 3 ER, 7 H and 1 BB in 6 IP.
Is 2-2 with a 3.33 ERA and .184 OBA in 5 home starts over 27 IP.

Rockies at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:47 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Twins -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-115) | Twins -1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Rockies at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Rockies 3

Money line

The Twins (-230) will cost over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward, although Minnesota is a good play at home in this afternoon interleague finale.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The TWINS -1.5 (-105) hit the run line in Saturday’s game, and in 11 of the past 14 victories Minnesota has won by at least 2 runs. If you like the Twins to win, and you should, then you also should play them to lay the run and a half.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-108) has connected in the first 2 games of this interleague set, so why get away from it now?

The Under is also 7-3-1 in the past 11 games overall for the Rockies, while cashing in 5 of the past 6 interleague road games.

The Under is 8-1-1 in the past 10 games against teams with a losing record for the Twins, while going 7-3-1 in the past 11 games overall.

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Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (9-5) finish their 3-game interleague set at the Detroit Tigers (6-8) Sunday. First pitch at Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series is tied at 1-1. The Rockies and Tigers split Saturday’s doubleheader with Detroit crushing Colorado 13-0 in the first game and the Rockies winning 3-2 in Game 2.

Rockies at Tigers projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Kuhl (1-0, 0.87 ERA) beat the Philadelphia Phillies 4-1 Monday, pitching 6 scoreless frames with 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K.

vs. Tigers on current roster: 2.81 FIP with a .179 batting average, .254 wOBA, .355 expected slugging percentage, 29.5 K% and 90.3 mph exit velocity in 44 plate appearances.

Alexander (0-1, 4.26 ERA) picked up a loss in just a 1-inning start in Detroit’s 4-2 defeat to the New York Yankees Tuesday even though both of the runs allowed by Alexander were unearned.

Career home splits: 4-7 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, both of which are higher than his road marks.

Rockies at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Tigers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-180) | Tigers -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Rockies at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 7, Tigers 3

Money line

GIMME the ROCKIES (+110) for 1 unit because they have an edge in two of the three most important phases of baseball (hitting and starting pitching) and are equal with the Tigers (-135) in the third, relief pitching.

Colorado’s lineup has hit left-handed pitching well and Detroit’s lineup has struggled versus righties to start the year. The Rockies rank 12th in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA while the Tigers rank 25th in both wRC+ and wOBA and 23rd in hard-hit rate against righties, per FanGraphs.

Kuhl looks good in his first year in Colorado after moving on from that dumpster fire known as the Pittsburgh Pirates he pitched for from 2016-21.

Kuhl’s pitching periphals are far stronger than Alexander’s and he grades in the 82nd percentile or better in whiff rate, xSLG, xwOBA and xERA, according to Statcast.

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Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the ROCKIES -1.5 (+180) ALTERNATE RL, if at all, because they have healthy enough edges in hitting and starting pitching.

On top of that, Detroit’s bullpen ranks 28th in both xFIP and hard-hit rate, 25th in EV and 24th in K/BB rate so the ROCKIES -1.5 (+180) ALTERNATE RL could cash in later innings.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (+100) because both starters are at the end of each teams’ rotation and both bullpens have poor pitching peripherals.

However, it’s only a “lean” because the Rockies have played more to the Under as road underdogs since the beginning of last season and the Tigers have played more to the Under as home favorites over that span.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-7) continue their three-game set at the Colorado Rockies (7-3) Tuesday. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Colorado beat Philly 4-1 in the series opener Monday as Rockies SP Chad Kuhl had a quality start with 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K.

Phillies at Rockies: Projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Gibson (1-1, 3.09 ERA) makes his third start. He lost at the Miami Marlins 4-3 in his last outing Thursday as he surrendered 4 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 6 K over 4 2/3 IP.

vs. Rockies on the current roster: 2.87 FIP with a .135 batting average (BA), .201 wOBA, .188 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.4 K% and 84.3 mph exit velocity (EV) in 59 plate appearances (PA).

Freeland (0-2, 10.00 ERA) makes his third start. He was shelled 5-2 in a home loss to the Chicago Cubs Thursday. He went 5 1/3 IP, allowing 5 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 1 K.

2021 vs. Phillies: Loss, 6-1, in 6 IP with 4 ER on 5 H and 4 BB in one start.
vs. Phillies on the current roster: 6.77 FIP with a .205 BA, .310 wOBA, .412 xSLG, 19.2 K% and 83.8 mph EV in 52 PA.

Phillies at Rockies and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Phillies -135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Rockies +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Phillies at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 5, Phillies 4

Money line

LEAN to the ROCKIES (+110) only because the Phillies have the better starter on the hill and I prefer Colorado’s RL.

Gibson’s FIP is lower than his ERA and he grades in the 72nd percentile or better in EV, hard-hit rate, K%, whiff rate and expected wOBA, according to Statcast.

However, Colorado’s lineup and bullpen have been much more productive than Philly’s to start the year. Philly is also 14-22 overall as a road favorite since the beginning of last season and the Rockies are 53-36 at home over that span.

Run line/Against the spread

BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) since they are 33-19 RL as home underdogs since 2021 and the Phillies are 8-28 RL as road favorites with a minus-2.6 RL margin along that span.

Philly’s bullpen also has the second-most blown saves since the start of last season. Colorado’s lineup is underrated so if it can keep this game within a few runs when Philly brings in its bullpen the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) can sneak in the backdoor.

BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) for 0.75 units.

Over/Under

PASS because this is a sharp total, the Rockies have played more to the Under as home underdogs since last season and the Phillies have played more to the Under as road favorites.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (62-73) host the Atlanta Braves (71-63) Saturday for the third game of their four-game series at Coors Field with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The series is even headed into the third game after the Rockies beat the Braves 4-3 Saturday thanks to a quality start from Colorado RHP Antonio Senzatela who had 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 3 K.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Ian Anderson is Atlanta’s projected starter. He is 6-5 with a 3.36 ERA (101 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 over 19 starts.

Last outing: Win, 9-0, with 5 2/3 IP, 4 H, 2 BB and 0 K Sunday against the San Francisco Giants.
2021 road stats: 3-4 with a 3.16 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.36 WHIP and 2.2 K/BB across 10 starts.

RHP German Marquez takes the ball for the Rockies. He is 11-10 with a 4.10 ERA (156 IP, 71 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 27 starts.

Last outing: Loss, 4-3, with 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 2 K Monday at the Texas Rangers.
2021 home stats: 8-2 with a 3.13 ERA (89 IP, 31 ER), 1.09 WHIP, and 2.6 K/BB across 15 starts.
- vs. Braves on the current roster (70 PA): 6.80 FIP with a .318 batting average, .440 wOBA, .450 expected slugging percentage, 14.3 K% and 88.7 mph exit velocity.

Braves at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Rockies -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+130) | Rockies +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Braves 9, Rockies 5

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the BRAVES (-115) for a half unit as more of a fade against Marquez, but we are also getting a good price for an Atlanta team that has won 69.2% of its games as a road favorite (27-12).

Marquez appeared in his first All-Star Game this year but is 3-4 with a 5.98 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 29 ER) and 1.37 WHIP in the second half of the season. Perhaps this is a get-right spot; however, I’ll lose money in this spot if he has a quality outing against a Braves lineup that rakes him.

Furthermore, Atlanta’s lineup is better than Colorado vs. right-handed pitching and the Braves have an edge in relief pitching.

That said, the only reason I LEAN BRAVES (-115) is that we are seeing some “reverse line movement” in the betting market so this is definitely of a square play. Sometimes us squares win in this racket.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since I only “lean” Atlanta on the money line and, while the Braves have the eighth-best cover rate on the road at 38-31 ATS, the Rockies have the third-best home cover rate at 44-23 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 10.5 (-130) for a half unit because both sides of the market are barreling into the Over. The oddsmakers have responded by making the Over pretty expensive to try and lure sports bettors into taking the Under.

However, I much prefer Atlanta’s money line rather than the total and even feel stronger about that bet seeing as we have a high total. If sportsbooks are projecting a higher scoring game then give me the better lineup and more reliable bullpen.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (71-62) clash with the Colorado Rockies (61-73) Friday for the second game of their four-game series at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta took the series opener 6-5 thanks to a decisive 3-run 5th-inning rally and the Braves’ bullpen pitching six scoreless innings with 5 K and 0 BB.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0.

RHP Huascar Ynoa is Atlanta’s projected starting pitcher. Ynoa is 4-4 with a 2.90 ERA (62 IP, 20 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 11 starts and one relief appearance.

Last outing: Loss, 5-0, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 3 K against the San Francisco Giants Saturday.
Career road splits: 1-2 with a 4.85 ERA (39 IP, 21 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 1.9 K/BB in eight starts and four bullpen outings.

RHP Antonio Senzatela makes his 23rd start for the Rockies. Senzatela is 3-9 with a 4.18 ERA (125 IP, 58 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9.

Last outing: Win, 5-0, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 5 K at the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday.
2021 home splits: 2-3 with a 3.89 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.23 WHIP and 3.3 K/BB in 12 starts.

Braves at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:44 p.m. ET.

Money line: Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Rockies +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+105) | Rockies +1.5 (-130)
Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Prediction

Braves 7, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

Maybe I’m a sucker but BRAVES (-140) is too good of a price to pass up. Sportsbooks typically profit off this logic, but the only teams that have beaten Atlanta over the past three weeks are the Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees and the Giants.

The Braves have an edge in the three most important phases of the game and that holds more weight in my eyes than how well the Rockies play at home. While Ynoa took a loss in his last start, he had a quality start.

On the other hand, Senzatela grades in the bottom-third of pitchers in hard-hit rate, expected wOBA, exit velocity, K% and whiff rate. Also, Colorado is just 8-14 overall in Senzatela starts.

Atlanta’s lineup is more productive against right-handed pitching and the Braves have the third-best winning percentage as a road favorite at 27-11.

BET 1 unit on the BRAVES (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” on the Braves -1.5 (+105) because they are 20-18 ATS as a road favorite and Atlanta’s lineup is lethal enough to rake Colorado’s pitching staff and win by margin.

However, the Rockies have one of the bigger home ballpark advantages in the MLB and are 26-10 ATS as a home underdog. There’s just not enough value in the Braves -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 10.5 (+110) for a tiny wager because I much prefer Atlanta’s money line and we are getting the worst of the number. Braves-Rockies opened with a 12.5-run total before the market steamed it down to the current number.

That said, I agree with the market’s read on this total because Atlanta is 27-40-1 O/U on the road and Colorado is 28-36-2 O/U at home. Coors Field is notorious for being the most hitter-friendly ballpark in the league but it’s always accounted for in the price of the total. Hence the Rockies playing to the Under at a 56.2% clip in Colorado.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Colorado Rockies at Texas Rangers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Colorado Rockies at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (46-85) host the Colorado Rockies (60-71) Tuesday for the second game of their three-game interleague set at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Texas held off Colorado to win Monday’s series opener 4-3.

Season series: Rockies lead 3-1.

LHP Austin Gomber is Colorado’s projected starter. He is 9-8 with a 4.38 ERA (111 IP, 54 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 22 starts.

Last outing: Loss, 5-2, with 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 8 K Wednesday at the Chicago Cubs.
Gomber beat Texas June 3 with 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 6 K in Colorado’s 11-6 home win.

RHP Jordan Lyles takes the mound for the Rangers. He is 6-11 with a 5.70 ERA (142 IP, 90 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 25 starts and one relief appearance.

Last outing: Loss, 10-6, with 3 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 3 K Thursday at the Cleveland Indians.
Lyles took a no-decision against Colorado June 2 with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 2 K in Texas’s 6-3 road loss.
- vs. Rockies on the current roster (60 PA): 3.34 FIP with a .222 batting average, .281 wOBA, .333 xSLG, 21.7 K% and 86.0 mph exit velocity.

Rockies at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:55 p.m. ET.

Money line: Rockies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread/ATS: Rockies -1.5 (+120) | Rangers +1.5 (-145)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

Rangers 5, Rockies 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the RANGERS (+110) for a half unit because, simply put, Colorado shouldn’t be a road favorite against anyone. The Rockies have the fifth-worst cover rate as a road favorite at 22-24, since 2018.

Also, there’s an obvious “line freeze” in the betting market and this is a more profitable spot for Texas than Colorado.

More than 80% of the bets have been placed on the Rockies but the line hasn’t budged from the consensus opening number, according to Pregame.com, which indicates the oddsmakers are inviting more pro-Colorado money.

Furthermore, the Rangers are just 4-5 overall as a home underdog when Lyles starts but they have a plus-20.2% return on investment (ROI). Colorado is just 2-3 as a road favorite but two of those losses are with Gomber on the hill.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I’m more fading the Rockies and don’t want to lay it with the Rangers +1.5 (-145) because Texas is only 26-25 ATS as a home underdog.

Texas’s 51.0% cover rate as a home underdog makes the Rangers’ run line a bad bet since the implied win probability by the -145 price is 59.18%.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 8.5 (-102) for 1 unit because there’s a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market, Texas has the fourth-worst wRC+ at home and Colorado has by far the worst wRC+ on the road.

According to Pregame.com, 50% of the money bet is on the Under but roughly 85% of the bets placed are on the Over. Generally, it’s sharper to follow the money in sports betting especially when it’s counter to the public.

Oddsmakers have sided with the presumed “sharp” money since this total opened at a flat-9 before being steamed down to the current number.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (47-62) visit the Colorado Rockies (48-61) Friday to start a three-game series at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Marlins vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Miami took three of four against the New York Mets earlier this week following a four-game losing skid and is 5-5 in its last 10 games.

Colorado is also 5-5 in the past 10 games and has won four of the past six games including two games of a three-game series vs. the Chicago Cubs.

Season series: Marlins lead 2-1.

RHP Sandy Alcantara is Miami’s projected starter. Alcantara is 6-9 with a 3.12 ERA (132 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 22 starts.

Last outing: No decision in a 3-1 loss, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 10 K Sunday against the New York Yankees.
2021 road splits: 5-5 with a 3.71 ERA (63 IP, 26 ER), 1.30 WHIP and 2.3 K/BB in 11 starts.

RHP German Marquez makes his 23rd start for the Rockies. Marquez is 9-8 with a 3.58 ERA (130 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 this year.

Last outing: Win, 5-3, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 7 K Saturday at the San Diego Padres.
2021 home splits: 6-2 with a 3.29 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.15 WHIP and 2.4 K/BB in 13 starts.

Marlins at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:31 p.m. ET.

Money line: Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rockies -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Rockies -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Rockies 6, Marlins 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ROCKIES (-170) because Marquez and Colorado have been awesome at home while Alcantara and Miami have struggled on the road.

For instance, Marquez’s impressive home splits come despite him making his home starts at the launching pad of Coors Field. He’s allowed just four home runs this year at Coors, three less than he’s given up on the road, and Marquez has pitched 22 innings more at home.

Furthermore, the Rockies have the highest winning percentage as a home favorite (18-5 overall record) and the Marlins are just 17-26 as a road underdog.

Also, compare Alcantara’s road numbers above to these home splits: 2.58 home ERA, 0.94 home WHIP and a 4.2 K/BB at home with a .555 opponent’s home OPS (.712 opponent’s OPS on the road).

On top of that, according to Pregame.com Colorado’s money line has been steamed up from -143 at open to the current number so “sharp” money is backing the Rockies.

However, I can only “LEAN” to the ROCKIES (-170) for a half unit at this price because it’s too far off the consensus market. Several books are offering Colorado’s money line in the -155 to -160 range.

Perhaps Tipico is ahead of the market or has more liability with the Rockies than other sportsbooks but I cannot ignore the price difference. Hopefully, Tipico is just offering a “sharp” money line because at least I’d feel better about my Colorado “lean”.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ROCKIES -1.5 (+115) for a tiny wager if at all because all six of Marquez’s wins at home have been by at least 2 runs.

However, I wouldn’t bet Colorado’s run line too heavily because Miami is 26-17 ATS as a road dog and the Rockies are 11-12 ATS as a home favorite.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 9.5 (-107) for light wager for trendy reasons such as these teams being a combined 16-24 O/U with these starters on the mound, Miami’s 19-22-2 O/U record as a road dog and Colorado is 8-15 O/U as a home favorite.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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