Tag: Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (69-72) and Minnesota Twins (63-81) are lined up for a Tuesday doubleheader at Target Field in Minneapolis. The opener of the twin bill and three-game series is slated for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Triston McKenzie is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. Through 21 games (20 starts), McKenzie is 4-6 with a 4.44 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 through 103 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 1 run across 6 IP against Minnesota Wednesday. Current Twins batters own a small-sample .556 OPS against him.
  • Clocked a 1.00 ERA and 0.41 WHIP across his last four starts.

RHP Joe Ryan is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is a rookie making his third start after posting a 3.41 ERA and 0.79 WHIP across 66 innings in Triple-A this summer. Through two starts for the Twins, he has allowed 3 ER over 12 IP, walking 1 and striking out 9.

  • Pitched 7 scoreless innings with one hit allowed at Cleveland on Wednesday.

Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-220) | Twins -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

Cleveland had an off day Monday, and it was likely a much-needed one. The Indians have gone just 2-8 over their last 10 games and scored just 2.9 runs per game on a  .578 OPS over that spell. Those 10 games include four against these Twins and Cleveland dropped three of four against Minnesota Sept. 6-9.

Minnesota dropped a Monday makeup game at Yankee Stadium, which was a one-day trip after losing two of three to the Kansas City Royals over the weekend. The Twins head into Tuesday’s double-dip having lost four of their last five games. Their offense — a top-third group for most of this season — has produced a mere .690 OPS since Aug. 19.

The Twins have taken 10 of 16 games from the Indians this season and are the lean on the money line; however, the price is attractive enough on the run line to make that the value play. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Cleveland is 1-5 in its last six series openers.

The Twins are plus-24 in their season run differential against the Indians. All three of Minnesota’s wins against Cleveland last week were by 3 runs.

McKenzie’s recent success has been somewhat built on a beneficial batting average on balls in play (.180 BABIP since June 1). The righty-righty matchup favors the home nine from a platoon standpoint with Minnesota possessing a .747 OPS against right-handed pitching).

BACK THE TWINS -1.5 (+175).

Over/Under (O/U)

There’s some tilt against the pitchers here and some afternoon weather which includes an outward breeze and both starters are fly-ball types.

TAKE THE OVER 6.5 (+100).

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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (58-60) and Minnesota Twins (53-67) battle Wednesday in the finale of a three-game series at Target Field. First pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Plesac is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 7-4 with a 4.64 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 6.2 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 in 97 IP over 17 starts.

  • Threw 101 pitches against the Detroit Tigers in his last start, his most in a single game since May 7.
  • Has faltered a bit in two previous outings vs. Minnesota this season recording a 4.76 ERA in 11 1/3 IP, but has held current Twins bats to an aggregate .629 OPS over his career.

RHP Lewis Thorpe is the projected starter for the Twins. He is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 13 H, 4 BB and 5 K in 14 IP across three starts and one relief apperance.

  • The  25-year-old swingman has split time between the big club and the minors over the last three years. Wednesday’s start marks his first MLB game since May 20.
  • Spent nearly two months on the Minor League IL with a shoulder issue before making his return to Triple-A action Aug. 8.
  • Has a 5.59 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 7.1 K/9, and 3.7 BB/9 over 58 IP in his MLB career.

Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

The Indians are 11-16 with a 4.88 ERA over their last 27 games, and their play on the road has been a problem as they are 8-15 since June 25. That stretch started with back-to-back losses at Minnesota.

The Twins are 9-5 over their last 14 games, and many of those contests were against playoff-caliber teams. Minnesota has a solid .751 OPS against right-handed pitching. The Twins got off to a slow start at home, but they’ve notched a .798 OPS at Target Field since June 8.

Lewis gave the Twins solid starts this spring and fits into an overall pitching staff worth the value price in this one. The Minnesota bullpen has been sharp of late, recording a 3.06 ERA in August, and figures as a unit better than its overall season numbers when looking at expected-ERA metrics.

BACK THE TWINS (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Avoid the juice-drowned run line prices here. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

This one brings out signals that point both ways. Ultimately, some slight lean on Twins pitching and a fade of Cleveland’s offense makes for some leverage on the UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (57-59) and Minnesota Twins (52-66) tangle Monday in the opener of a three-game series at Target Field. First pitch is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Cal Quantrill is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 3-2 with a 3.13 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, and 3.0 BB/9 in 97 2/3 IP across 14 starts and 18 relief appearances.

  • Twins batters own a small-sample .790 aggregate OPS against Quantrill.
  • Has posted a 1.25 ERA over his last six games. However, that stretch has been artificially buoyed by a .228 batting average on balls in play and 3.7% home run/fly ball rate.
  • Statcast expected ERA (based on quality of contact) is more than a run higher than his surface ERA.

RHP Griffin Jax is the projected starter for the Twins. He is 3-1 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.6 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in38 IP across five starts and four relief appearances.

  • Clocked a season-high 10 K in his start Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox.
  • Owns a 2.66 ERA over his last four starts despite facing the White Sox twice and Houston Astros once.
  • Allowed 3 runs on 3 hits and 2 BB in 4 1/3 IP June 25 against the Indians.

Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-200) | Twins -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

The Indians are 9-14 with a 4.93 ERA over their last 23 games. Despite an 11-0 win against the Detroit Tigers Sunday – and a near-no-hitter by RHP Triston McKenzie – Cleveland is just 7-14 on the road since June 25. That stretch started with back-to-back losses at Minnesota.

The Twins are 8-4 over their last 12 games, all of which were against playoff-caliber teams. Minnesota has logged an improved 4.17 ERA over that span and has continued to perform as a top-third offensive club.

Quantrill’s recent stretch has him too far out over his skis and Jax’s recent starts against top offenses have been encouraging. BACK THE TWINS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Avoid the juice-filled run line and figure the true odds on both sides as being buried in the deep middle. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Parsing this one brings out signals that point both ways. Ultimately, some slight pull toward Twins pitching and a fade of Cleveland’s offense makes for some minimal value on the UNDER 9.5 (-110) on a night with a forecast of a 12 mph wind hurting balls hit to right field.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (41-32) meet the Minnesota Twins (32-43) Sunday for the third game of what was supposed to be a four-game series as Saturday’s meeting was rained out. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

These teams split the first two meetings of the series as the Indians won 4-1 Thursday and the Twins took Friday’s game 8-7.

Season series: Tied 4-4.

LHP Sam Hentges takes the ball for the Indians. Hentges is 1-1 with a 6.40 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.89 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 over five starts and seven relief appearances in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Cleveland’s 2-1 win at the Pittsburgh Pirates June 20.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-1 with an 8.64 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 2.16 WHIP and 1.8 K/BB rate over three starts and two bullpen outings.

LHP J.A. Happ makes his 14th start for the Twins. Happ is 3-3 with a 6.09 ERA (65 IP, 44 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 5 BB and 4 K in Minnesota’s 7-5 victory over the Cincinnati Reds Monday.
  • Happ is 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 1.08 WHIP and 6.5 K/BB rate in two starts this season vs. Cleveland.
    • vs. Indians on the current roster: 84 at-bats with a .250/.267/.452 slash line, 19/2 K/BB, 3 HR and 12 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-160) | Twins -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 7, Indians 5

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the TWINS (-140) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit since Happ is slightly sharper at home compared to his road starts and Hentges has been terrible in away games this season.

Happ’s home ERA is nearly 3.5 runs lower with a 1.32 home WHIP (1.71 road WHIP) and his opponents have a .983 OPS on the road but just a .771 OPS in Minnesota.

Also, the Twins rank seventh in both wRC+ and wOBA with the sixth-highest hard-hit rate while the Indians are 23rd in both wRC+ and wOBA.

The reason why I’m going with the Twins on the First 5 Innings money line instead of the full game is that Minnesota’s bullpen has the sixth-worst WAR while Cleveland’s bullpen ranks eighth in WAR.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I don’t like Minnesota’s money line enough to think about laying with the Twins’ run line for either the full game or First 5 Innings.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-110) for a half unit because Minnesota has a 10-3 O/U record in Happ’s 13 starts this season and the Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 Indians-Twins meetings.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (41-31) play the Minnesota Twins (31-43) Friday in the second game of their four-game series at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland won the first game of the series 4-1 Friday as the starters turned the game over to their bullpens tied 1-1, but the Indians scored three runs in the top of the 8th to key their victory.

Season series: Indians lead 4-3.

RHP Cal Quantrill is Cleveland’s projected starter. He is 0-2 with a 2.74 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 across four starts and 18 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 2 K in Cleveland’s 6-3 loss at the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster: 17 at-bats with a .235/.278/.412 slash line, 7/1 K/BB, 1 HR and 1 RBI.

LHP Danny Coulombe makes his first career start and 2021 season debut for the Twins.

Coulombe pitched for the Los Angeles Dodgers and Oakland Athletics from 2014-18 and joined the Twins in 2020 after spending 2019 in the minor leagues.

The 31-year-old lefty is 6-4 with a 4.19 ERA (146 IP, 68 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 over six major league seasons.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-175) | Twins -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Indians 7, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

This will be a “bullpen day” for the Twins since Coulombe has never pitched more than 3 innings in an outing in his career, which makes the INDIANS (+105) an “auto-bet”.

Minnesota’s bullpen is one of the worst in baseball. It’s 25th in WAR, second-to-last in left-on-base percentage and home runs allowed per nine innings, and dead-last in hard-hit rate.

Also, the Twins are dealing with a plethora of injuries at the moment, most notably to their best everyday player in OF Byron Buxton. He has a team-high 217 wRC+ (100 wRC+ is the MLB average), 2.7 WAR and .492 wOBA.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the INDIANS -1.5 (+165)  on the ALTERNATE RUN LINE for a half unit. The Twins have the worst cover rate at home at 11-27 ATS in Minnesota and the worst run line margin. Cleveland is 22-17 ATS on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I like the Cleveland sides much more than the total in Indians-Twins and, despite liking Cleveland’s lineup in this spot, the Indians are still a below-average unit that often needs to be bailed out by strong pitching.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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