The Cleveland Indians (56-58) and Detroit Tigers (57-61) clash Saturday in the middle game of a three-game set at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Sam Hentges is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA, 2.04 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 5.2 BB/9 through 46 2/3 IP over 18 games (nine starts).
- Swingman typically gives the Indians 2-4 innings in a starter’s role. Went 5 IP and yielded 3 ER on 5 hits and 3 BB at Detroit May 24.
- Facing a right-leaning Tigers lineup that is on its best platoon side against southpaws with a .743 OPS vs. left-handed pitching.
RHP Wily Peralta is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 3-2 with a 3.48 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 through 51 2/3 IP spanning 10 starts and one relief appearance.
- Albeit in a small sample, current Cleveland batters own a high-contact .992 OPS against him. He’s facing the Indians in a second straight start after allowing 2 ER on 6 H and 1 BB Sunday.
- Owns a divergent 0.63 ERA at home and a 4.58 mark on the road.
Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-200) | Tigers -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Prediction
Indians 6, Tigers 5
Money line (ML)
Cleveland won 7-4 in Friday’s series opener. The Indians win snapped a three-game losing skid and served as a bounce-back from a 17-0 loss to the Oakland Athletics Thursday. Cleveland is just 8-13 since July 22 and the club owns a 5.09 ERA over that stretch.
Detroit has pitched much better of late with 2.90 ERA over its last 14 games and the Friday loss snapped a three-game winning streak. Before that streak, the Tigers dropped two of three to these Indians. For the season, Cleveland is 11-6 against the Tigers.
Detroit has had the much better bullpen of late, as the Tigers went into the series with an August bullpen ERA of 1.63. The Indians went in with a mark of 4.30 but Cleveland has the better ‘pen to lean on.
BACK THE INDIANS (+100).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Cleveland side bettors pegging this game as a high scoring one may want to consider the alternate run line of CLEVELAND -1.5 (+150). It’s a risk that should perhaps only draw partial-unit interest, though.
Over/Under (O/U)
The fade lean on Peralta, uncertainty as to what Hentges can provide, and recent struggles of the Cleveland bullpen all point to the Over but these clubs have some systemic Under lean based on their offensive performances to date.
Clock it all as a wash, and MOVE ON to a play with more leverage.
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