The Cleveland Browns (11-5) earned the AFC No. 6 seed and will visit the No. 3 seed Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday in an NFL Wild Card game as betting underdogs. Below, we analyze the Browns’ 2021 Super Bowl LV odds, how they stack up against other NFL playoff teams and look at their 2020 regular-season betting trends. Check out SportsbookWire.com for more NFL betting predictions.
Latest Cleveland Browns 2021 Super Bowl LV odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:45 p.m. ET.
+4000 | $10 bet returns a profit of $400
Of the 14 playoff teams, the Browns are tied for the third-longest odds to win Super Bowl LV. The +4000 odds represent an implied win probability of 2.44%. The odds can be expressed as a fraction of 40/1 or a decimal of 41.00.
The Kansas City Chiefs have the best odds of winning Super LV at +240, which is an implied win probability of 29.41%. A $10 bet on the Chiefs would return a profit of $24 if they win it all.
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Cleveland Browns’ 2020 betting trends
Money line (?)
Cleveland posted 11 victories in 16 outings, making the NFL playoffs for the first time since 2002, snapping the longest postseason drought in the league. It has been a tumultuous December into January for the Browns, as they are just 2-2 straight-up and 1-3 ATS across the past four games. They’re also dealing with a COVID-19 spread which will cost head coach Kevin Stefanski to miss at least the first playoff game.
Overall, though, Cleveland has won six of the past eight outings, handling some injuries and weather issues to buck history and earn a spot at the table for a possible franchise-first Super Bowl appearance. The Browns open the playoffs against the Steelers for their second trip to the Steel City, and third meeting against the rivals this season overall. They split the season series 1-1, but went 0-2 ATS.
Against the spread (?)
The Browns posted a 3-5 ATS on the road, including a 38-7 thumping – as 3-point underdogs – at Heinz Field in Week 6 against the Steelers, the same opponent and location of their AFC Wild Card game Sunday night. The Browns ended up going just 3-8 ATS across the past 11 games overall, while going 6-10 ATS for the entire season. Over the past few seasons, the Browns are just 9-25-1 ATS in the past 35 against AFC North teams, and 8-26-2 ATS in the previous 36 against winning teams. They have also covered just three of the past 14 on the road.
Over/Under (?)
Cleveland hit the Under in each of its past two road games, while the Over edged the Under 9-7 in 16 games overall. The Under also cashed in Week 6 in the first meeting with the Steelers at Heinz Field. The Over connected for the Browns in five of seven games against 2020 playoff teams. The Over is 4-1 in the past five against divisional foes, and 4-1 in the past five against winning teams, too.
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Browns Wire:
- Stefanski can’t communicate with team during Wild Card game
- Clay Matthews finalist for Pro Football Hall of Fame
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