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The Clemson Tigers (4-2, 2-2 ACC) visit the Miami Hurricanes (4-2, 0-2) Saturday in a battle of “who needs an ACC victory more?” Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Clemson vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
This game appeared as if it might be a high-profile matchup coming into the season, but with a combined 4 losses, it’s only going to be televised on the ACC Network.
Clemson will look to win a 3rd straight game after losing to Florida State 31-24 in overtime last month as a 1-point home underdog. The Tigers have won 4 straight in this series, including last season’s 40-10 blowout as 19-point favorites.
The ‘Canes, on a 2-game slide, look to win their 1st conference home game under coach Mario Cristobal — they’re 0-5 in ACC home games since he was hired before the 2022 season.
Miami’s secondary wasn’t up to par last week — even in clear passing situations — yielding 273 yards in a 41-31 loss as a 3-point dog at North Carolina. This Saturday is important to the Hurricanes’ future as they’re expected to host a couple of 5-star defensive backs.
Look for Miami to come out hungry, wanting to impress the recruits and finally win an ACC home game for its coach.
Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports
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Clemson at Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Clemson -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Miami+135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread (ATS): Clemson -3 (-110) | Miami +3 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Clemson at Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Miami 24, Clemson 21
Moneyline
MIAMI (+135) is the play.
The ‘Canes have turned the ball over far too much (12 times) and are tied for 101st in turnover margin (-3). Plus, they’ve accumulated too many penalties, ranking 11th with 70.50 penalty yards per game, according to NCAA.org.
Listen, this is still the same Miami team that started off 4-0 with a 48-33 home win over a rather solid Texas A&M team — which was ranked No. 23 at the time.
Look for the Hurricanes to play a much cleaner game Saturday in front of the ‘Cane faithful. There’s great value here in MIAMI (+135).
Against the spread
It’s going to be the lesser of 2 evils: Miami’s secondary or a Clemson offense that just can’t hit on explosive plays. The Hurricanes will have to make the Tigers drive down the field in an organized manner as the Tigers rank 113th in the nation in the explosive rate category offensively.
At the same time, the Miami defense has shown it can loses focus and extend opposing drives due to penalties.
With this is mind, it feels best to just STAY AWAY from backing the spread for either team, but we’re at least getting value with the Hurricanes’ +135 moneyline.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 48.5 (-110).
Miami’s offense has to avoid turnovers if it wants a shot of defeating Clemson at home for the 1st time since 1956. Clemson is 3-0 in its last 3 visits, dating back to 2004 — though they didn’t play each other between 1957 and 2003.
Miami will likely have a low-risk offensive game plan teed up. Unless WR Xavier Restrepo, who leads the ACC with 47 receptions, has a great game, the Hurricanes’ aerial attack will likely struggle with QB Tyler Van Dyke getting over a right knee injury. Miami RB Henry Parrish Jr. might actually get a chance to redeem himself after his consecutive games coughing the ball up in key spots.
RIDE UNDER 48.5 (-110).
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