Cincinnati vs UCF game preview

Cincinnati vs UCF Game Preview

Why Cincinnati Will Win

It hasn’t always been easy or pretty, but Cincinnati keeps on winning after opening the season with a loss to Arkansas.

This isn’t close to being the team of last year, but it figured out ways to win. It starts with the best pass rush and most disruptive defensive front in college football, the defense comes through when needed, and the offense is just good enough to get by when needed.

UCF is great in so many ways, but East Carolina was able to come up with four takeaways in last week’s 34-13 win last week. The Bearcats don’t take the ball away in bunches, but they’re amazing against the run and should make plenty of plays behind the line, and …

Why UCF Will Win

Teams that can run well were able to run on Cincinnati.

Arkansas ripped off 224 yards on the ground and won. USF ran for 224 yards and made it a fight. No one else on the Bearcat slate chooses the ground as the primary form of transportation.

The UCF passing game has been fantastic with close to 300 yards through the air in five of the seven games, but it’s at its best when it’s ripping off chunks of yards on the ground.

UCF will not only commit to the running game, but it should succeed at it.

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What’s Going To Happen

There might have been a loss to Louisville early on, but UCF is a fantasist team at home. As long as it doesn’t turn it over like it did against East Carolina it should be fine.

Home field will matter here. The Knights will feed off the home energy, the offense will be balanced and explosive, and they’ll make up for last week’s gaffe with one of the biggest wins of the Gus Malzahn era.

Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction, Line

UCF 27, Cincinnati 24
Line: UCF -1.5, o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Cincinnati vs UCF Must See Rating (out of 5): 4
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Cincinnati vs UCF prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 16

Cincinnati vs UCF How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 16
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
How To Watch: ABC
Record: Cincinnati (5-0), UCF (3-2)
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Why UCF Will Win

Didn’t you used to be UCF?

One of the most dominant offensive powerhouses in college football over the last few years was rocking and rolling to kickoff the Gus Malzahn era, and then it all fell apart with the loss of QB Dillon Gabriel to a shoulder injury.

The O couldn’t get the job done against a punchless Navy team, but it was able to slug its way past East Carolina team with three takeaways and a solid defensive performance.

And that’s what it’s going to take.

Look, we’re all adults here – UCF isn’t about to face the third-best team in college football.

Cincinnati is obviously very good, and it could turn the lights out in a hurry if UCF gets down, but it’s stunningly bad on third downs, there’s no pass rush, and it does nothing to control the clock – and UCF can capitalize on all of that.

Malzahn and the coaching staff have to tweak and adjust.

The defensive front isn’t bad against the run, the backfield has some terrific runners – and could be a whole lot stronger if Isaiah Bowser can somehow get back from a leg injury – and the offensive line is talented enough to hold up. But …

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Why Cincinnati Will Win

Yeah, UCF is really banged up, and there’s still the question about the quarterback play.

Freshman Mikey Keene hasn’t been awful in his two games, but he’s a freshman, he hasn’t thrown for more than 200 yards, and he gave up a pick in each starting outing.

He can be decent for the UCF attack, but this isn’t a high-flying fun show that will throw any sort of a scare into the Bearcat secondary.

There isn’t the normal Knight downfield passing game to worry about, there’s not a whole lot happening in the backfield from the defensive front, and it shouldn’t take a whole lot of point to take a firm grip on the game.

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What’s Going To Happen

UCF still has guys.

It’s a good enough team to rise up and come up with something special now that it’s in the role of the decided underdog. Malzahn has been in us-against-the-world games before, the lines should be able to hold up and make this a fight, and …

The Cincinnati secondary will take over just when it seems like UCF has a shot.

The Bearcats have NFL parts that can lock down, allowing under 50% completion on the year, allowing just three touchdown passes and picking off nine passes.

They’ll come up with two late takeaways to ease the pressure and allow Cincinnati to keep the dream going.

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Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction, Line

Cincinnati 38, UCF 20
Line: Cincinnati -21, o/u: 57.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3.5

5: Caramel apple anything
1: Pumpkin spice anything

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Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction, Game Preview

Cincinnati vs UCF How To Watch