The Cincinnati Reds didn’t quite put it together down the stretch in 2021, finishing third in the NL Wild-Card race behind the St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Reds ended the season 83-79.
Below, we look at the Cincinnati Reds MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.
The team’s recent transactions have been mind-boggling moves to the fans, who are questioning the front office’s desire to win.
The Reds duo of top-tier outfielders, Jesse Winker and Nick Castellanos, were both in the All-Star Game a season ago, yet the former was traded to Seattle and the latter signed a free-agent deal with Philadelphia. Third baseman and 2018 All-Star Eugenio Suárez was also part of the trade to Seattle.
The Reds will be bracing for the future, but many of their younger players could step up to the plate and exceed expectations.
Cincinnati Reds’ 2022 World Series odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 28 at 5:27 a.m. ET.
Odds: +7000 (bet $100 to win $7,000)
Cincinnati is tied with the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians for the 19th-shortest odds to win it all. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+480) and Houston Astros (+900) are the two favorites.
At +7000, the Reds have an implied probability of winning the World Series of 1.41% or 70/1 fractional odds.
The Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles, and Pittsburgh Pirates have the longest odds with the former at +20000 and the latter two at +30000.
Backing the Reds (+7000) to win the World Series for a 70-to-1 payoff isn’t worth the potentially massive return, especially considering their recent transactions show they’re more so playing for the future. AVOID.
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Cincinnati Reds’ 2022 playoff odds
Will Reds make the playoffs: Yes +400 | No -599
The Reds have made the playoffs just once since the 2014 season, and that was during the league’s shortened 60-game season in 2020.
Along with trading Suarez and Winker, Cincinnati sent SP Sonny Gray to Minnesota this offseason. It lost 4 former All-Star players prior to the season, bringing in a plethora of prospects.
The Reds did little to add to their pitching woes, including losing SP Wade Miley (12-7, 3.37 ERA last season) to the Chicago Cubs on waivers.
RP Lucas Sims, the projected closer, posted 4.40 ERA a season ago with just 7 saves in 13 save opportunities. Cincinnati’s bullpen was a problem last season and seems like it will continue into 2022.
That said, I don’t think Sims and Co. will be able to consistently close out games and can’t see betting the Reds (+400) to make the playoffs.
Betting -599 to not make the postseason isn’t worth the risk at the price either. PASS.
Cincinnati Reds’ 2022 win total
Over/Under: 75.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
BET UNDER 75.5 (-110).
The Reds are moving into a rebuild, and the last several weeks didn’t do them much justice. They didn’t pay Castellanos, who is now with the Phillies, and opted to move other All-Star-caliber players.
With 2010 MVP 1B Joey Votto now 38, he’s due for some regression which could signal trouble for the Reds.
Votto, who had a homer burst in the second half of the season (26 after July 2), struggled in September and October, only hitting .250. It’s going to be difficult for him to keep it up as he gets older, doesn’t have Winker and Castellanos batting in front of him, and the team likely out of the playoff race earlier than normal.
The Reds’ top pitching option, SP Luis Castillo, had a league-high 16 losses and a 3.98 ERA last season. The depth just isn’t there, and in a difficult, deep division, the Reds won’t be able to keep pace.
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Odds to win NL Central Division
- Milwaukee Brewers -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- St. Louis Cardinals +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Chicago Cubs +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
- Cincinnati Reds +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
- Pittsburgh Pirates +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
Cincinnati is tied with Chicago for the third-best odds to win the NL Central. Let’s just say the chance anyone other than the Brewers or Cardinals winning the division is extremely low.
The Reds implied probability of winning the NL Central is 7.7% or 12/1 fractional odds. The Brewers and Cards are the only real threats to win the division, so I’d PASS here.
Odds to win National League
Odds: +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)
The Reds haven’t won the National League this century and have only won the NL Central twice since 2000.
Given all the reasons above, I wouldn’t donate my money to the books and would strongly consider a PASS here, too. The implied probability this happens is 3.23%.
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