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The No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats (8-1) and the No. 24 Dayton Flyers (10-2) meet Friday at the Heritage Bank Center in Cincinnati in what is technically a neutral-site game. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Cincinnati vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
This game is being played in Cincinnati, but it is not included in either team’s season-ticket package, and technically considered a neutral-site game.
The last time Cincinnati was ranked while facing another ranked team was in 2019 with the Bearcats topping then-No. 11 Houston 69-57 in the AAC title game. The Bearcats haven’t faced a ranked team this season.
Dayton will be playing a ranked team for the fifth time this season. It has losses against ranked North Carolina Tar Heels and Iowa State Cyclones teams, while it has topped Big East powers in the Marquette Golden Eagles and UConn Huskies.
UC is coming off a 68-65 win over the Xavier Muskateers in the Skyline Chili Crosstown Shootout last Saturday, but the Bearcats have failed to cash in 4 straight outings. The Under is 7-1 in the past 8 games, too.
For the Flyers, they topped UNLV Rebels 66-65 on Tuesday despite the fact they were favored by 10.5 points. Dayton has won 5 in a row, but it is just 2-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 outings. The Under has hit in the previous 2 games.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Cincinnati vs. Dayton odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cincinnati -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Dayton +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread: Cincinnati -3.5 (-110) | Dayton +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 138.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Cincinnati vs. Dayton picks and predictions
Prediction
Dayton 70, Cincinnati 66
Moneyline
While yes, this game is technically in the Queen City, DAYTON (+135) is easily the more battle-tested team this season. The Flyers won’t be fazed by playing in Cincinnati (-165), and it’s rather surprising to see the team with the better resume as the underdog. Take advantage.
Against the spread
BACK DAYTON +3.5 (-110) catching the points if you can’t trust it straight up. The window isn’t huge, but there is a little wiggle room in the result of a close Cincinnati -3.5 (-110) victory.
Dayton is 6-2 ATS in the past 8 games, and 8-3 ATS on the season, while Cincinnati has failed to cover the past 4 outings. In addition, the Flyers won 82-68 in last season’s resumption of the series, winning outright as a 5.5-point underdog, so there’s that.
Over/Under
UNDER 138.5 (-105) is the lean, but only go with a half-unit play at best.
The Under has dominated for the Flyers, cashing in 7 of the past 8 since an Over result in the opener against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions.
The Under has hit in the past 2 games for the Bearcats, too, although the Over has dominated for UC for the most part.
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