Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (58-41) host the Chicago White Sox (58-40) Sunday for the finale of their three-game interleague series at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 13-2 as the Brew Crew’s bullpen has only allowed 1 run with 7 strikeouts and just 2 walks in 8 innings of work.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-0.

RHP Lance Lynn is Chicago’s projected starter. Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA (97 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 over 17 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 3-2 loss to the Minnesota Twins Monday.
  • 2021 road splits: 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.39 WHIP and 2.2 K/BB in six starts.
  • vs. Brewers on the current roster: 5.31 FIP with a .235 batting average, .326 wOBA, .460 expected slugging percentage, 26.3 K% and 90.3 mph exit velocity in 76 plate appearances.

RHP Brandon Woodruff makes his 20th start for the Brewers. Woodruff is 7-4 with a 2.04 ERA (119 IP, 27 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 8 K in Milwaukee’s 7-4 win at the Cincinnati Reds July 17.
  • 2021 home splits: 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA (54 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 6.8 K/BB in nine starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Brewers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-165) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Brewers 6, White Sox 2

Money line (ML)

BET the BREWERS (-145) for 1 unit because Milwaukee has the most wins this season against righty starters (47-31), the White Sox struggle against good ball clubs (19-24 vs. teams with a winning record) and on the road (23-23 in away games).

Furthermore, this is a legitimate chance for Woodruff to begin challenging New York Mets starting RHP Jacob deGrom in the NL Cy Young Race since deGrom is currently on the IL.

The White Sox-Brewers series finale is a nationally televised game broadcasted on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball pitting two first-place teams against one another. If Woodruff can deal against a productive White Sox lineup on the national stage it would help him earn some much-needed buzz.

Woodruff’s pitching peripherals are stunning and he ranks in the top 10 of NL starting pitchers (minimum of 50 IP) in WAR, WHIP, home runs per nine-innings, K-BB% and hard-contact rate.

And while Lynn’s first-half numbers were awesome, he, like Chicago, is less effective against good teams. For instance, Lynn is just 1-3 this year vs. teams equal to or above-.500 with a 4.35 ERA compared to a 8-0 record and 0.81 ERA against teams sub-.500.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though the Brewers -1.5 (+140) is very enticing. However, Milwaukee’s lineup ranks in the bottom 5 of several advanced hitting metrics at home including wRC+, wOBA and OPS. Also, the Brewers are 19-24 ATS as a home favorite this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 7.5 (-105) for a tiny wager – if at all – because the White Sox are 8-4-2 O/U as a road underdog this season and the Brewers are 19-18-6 O/U as a home favorite.

Given those trends above and the fact that these teams have a combined 11-23 O/U when these starters take the mound this should be a good spot for a “contrarian play” against a market that figures to betting the Under.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers betting breakdown: Expert picks and analysis

Want winners? Geoff Clark breaks down Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers matchup and offers up his prediction and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (58-38) meet the host Milwaukee Brewers (56-41) Friday at American Family Field to start a three-game interleague series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 0-0.

RHP Lucas Giolito is Chicago’s projected starter. He is 8-6 with a 3.90 ERA (113 IP, 49 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 19 starts.

  • Last outing: Complete-game win, 10-1, with 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 8 K Saturday against the Houston Astros.
  • vs. Brewers on the current roster (36 PA): 5.79 FIP with a .194 batting average, .301 wOBA, .540 expected slugging percentage, 27.8 K% and 87.0 mph exit velocity.

RHP Freddy Peralta is on the mound for the Brewers. He is 7-3 with a 2.39 ERA (98 IP, 26 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 over 17 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 6 K in Milwaukee’s 4-3 loss to the Cincinnati Reds July 10.
  • 2021 home stats: 4-1 with a 2.04 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.72 WHIP and 3.8 K/BB rate over nine starts and one relief outing.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Brewers 3, White Sox 2

Money line (ML)

I’ll TAKE the BREWERS (-125) because we are seeing “reverse line movement” in the betting markets, the White Sox are only 23-21 on the road this year and Milwaukee is 46-31 when facing right-handed starters.

According to Pregame.com, more than three-quarters of the early action has been on Chicago’s money line but oddsmakers are moving the line toward Milwaukee.

You have to ask yourself, “Why would the House make the more popular side cheaper?” It feels like a trap, right? It’s a red flag in sports betting when oddsmakers move the line away from the team getting a majority of the bets.

Also, Giolito has been less effective on the road than at home this season. He has a 4.98 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the road, compared to a 3.14 home ERA and 0.97 home WHIP. He also has a 3.8 K/BB rate on the road against a 4.2 K/BB rate at home.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Milwaukee is just 17-24 ATS with a minus-1.1 run line margin this season as a home favorite and the Brewers covered the spread in just one of their nine interleague games and have the worst run line margin in the majors in interleague play.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a half unit because both bullpens have elite talent and rank in the top-tier of relief units in several advanced pitching metrics.

Furthermore, Peralta has been lights at home and the NL’s no-DH rule will help him navigate an explosive White Sox lineup. In fact, Chicago is 2-5 O/U in interleague contests this season.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (56-37) wrap up their three-game series with the host Chicago White Sox (55-36) Sunday at Guaranteed Rate Field with a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the rubber match of the set as these teams split the first two meetings in lopsided fashion with Houston crushing Chicago 7-1 Friday and the White Sox raking the Astros 10-1 Saturday.

Season series: Astros lead 5-1.

LHP Framber Valdez makes his 10th start for the Astros. Valdez is 5-1 with a 2.98 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 6 BB and 5 K in Houston’s 8-7 victory over the New York Yankees last Sunday.
  • Valdez won his only career start against the White Sox June 19 with a stat line of 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 5 K in Houston’s 7-3 victory.

LHP Carlos Rodon is on the hill for the White Sox. Rodon is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA (89 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 across 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 8 K July 6 at the Minnesota Twins.
  • Rodon took a no-decision in Chicago’s 2-1 loss on the road to the Astros June 18 with 7 IP, 1 ER, 3H, 3 BB and 8 K.
  • vs. Astros on the current roster: 90 at-bats with a .222/.271/.300 slash line, 22/6 K/BB, 2 HR and 6 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Astros at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (-190) | White Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

White Sox 7, Astros 3

Money line (ML)

This would be considered a “good spot” for the WHITE SOX (-125) who have an 18-8 record vs. lefty starters this season and a 32-15 record at home.

Furthermore, while both starters have pitched very well this year, and both lineups rank at the top of the league in advanced hitting metrics against left-handed pitching, the White Sox’s bullpen is far more reliable.

For instance, Chicago’s relievers rank in the top 5 of WAR, xFIP, K-BB% and SIERA while the Astros relievers are 18th or worse in all of those categories.

Also, there has been 15 cents on the dollar worth of line movement on BetMGM‘s opening number in favor of Chicago and, according to pregame.com, more than 75% of the cash wagered is on the White Sox’s money line.

BET the WHITE SOX (-125) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+155) for a one-third unit because Chicago has the highest cover rate as a home favorite this season at 25-17 ATS and five of the six Astros-White Sox meetings this year have been decided by at least 4 runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because the situational trends are pointing in both directions as the White Sox play more to the Under at home and the Astros play more to the Over on the road.

The same can be true about the starters since Houston has a 6-3 O/U record when Valdez starts and Chicago is 5-10 O/U when Rodon is on the bump.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (56-36) meet the Chicago White Sox (54-36) Saturday for the second game of their three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Houston beat Chicago in the series opener 7-1 with Astros starting RHP Lance McCullers Jr. tossing 7 frames, allowing just 1 earned run on 2 hits and 2 walks with 10 strikeouts.

Season series: Astros lead 5-0.

RHP Jake Odorizzi is Houston’s projected starter. Odorizzi is 3-4 with a 3.61 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 over 10 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-0, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 4 K vs. the New York Yankees July 9.
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster: 106 at-bats with a .283/.327/.377 slash line, 34/6 K/BB, 1 HR and 6 RBIs.

RHP Lucas Giolito is on the mound for the White Sox. Giolito is 7-6 with a 4.15 ERA (104 IP, 48 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 over 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-3, with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 9 at the Baltimore Orioles last Saturday.
  • vs. Astros on the current roster: 65 at-bats with a .231/.311/.477 slash line, 10/7 K/BB, 4 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Astros at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:49 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+150) | White Sox +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Astros 7, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

I’m BETTING the ASTROS (-105) for 1 unit since I think this is a case of “the wrong team favored” because Houston has dominated Chicago this year and Odorizzi’s pitching peripherals vs. current White Sox batters are far more impressive than Giolito’s against active Astros hitters.

First of all, Houston has outscored Chicago 34-9 this season and the Astros are 43-22 vs. teams with a winning record this season while the White Sox are 16-25 against teams above .500.

Second, Odorizzi has a 1.73 FIP vs. current White Sox batters with a .307 expected wOBA, 28.7% strikeout rate and 88.6 mph exit velocity.

While Giolito has a 7.87 FIP with a .381 expected wOBA, 13.3% strikeout rate and 91.6 mph exit velocity vs. current Astros batters.

Also, Houston is 34-20 vs. righty starters (Chicago is 36-28 against righties) and the Astros’ lineup is either first or second in several hitting metrics against right-handed pitching such as wRC+, wOBA and BB/K.

Finally, the Astros are 7-3 overall as a road underdog this season with by far the highest margin of victory (plus-3.3 runs) and is cheap in this spot because Giolito is a much higher profile starter.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ASTROS -1.5 (+150) for a quarter unit – if at all – because Houston has beaten Chicago by at least 4 runs in four meetings this season and the White Sox are 1-4 ATS as a home underdog this year.

However, I’d much rather play the Astros straight-up because they are a slight dog on the money line but a favorite on the run line so the oddsmakers think this is a coin-flip matchup.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+100) for a half unit because these teams have a combined 16-11-1 O/U record when these starters are on the mound, the market has bet the total up to a flat-9 from the 8.5-run opener and the Over has cashed in four of the last five Astros-White Sox meetings.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (54-35) host the Houston Astros (55-36) Friday for the start of their three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 4-0.

RHP Lance McCullers Jr. is on the rubber for the Astros. McCullers is 6-2 with a 2.94 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 across 14 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2-1, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 8 K July 8 vs. the Oakland Athletics.
  • McCullers picked up a win vs. the White Sox, 8-2, June 20 with 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 4 K.
    • vs. White Sox on the current roster: 52 at-bats with a .269/.356/.385 slash line, 15/7 K/BB, 2 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Dylan Cease is Chicago’s projected starter. Cease is 7-4 with a 4.11 ERA (92 IP, 42 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 over 18 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 6 K in Chicago’s 7-5 win at the Baltimore Orioles Sunday.
  • Cease lost at the Astros earlier this season (June 17) with a stat line of 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 10-2 defeat.
    • vs. Astros on the current roster: 31 at-bats with a .258/.410/.516 slash line, 7/7 K/BB, 2 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Astros at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+110) | White Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

White Sox 7, Astros 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (+125) for a half unit because I “like” the value in their run line, and this is a better spot for Chicago.

For instance, Cease has pitched much better at home this season, and the White Sox have the second-best home record in the majors. Cease is 4-0 at home this season with a 1.81 home ERA (6.27 road ERA), 1.05 home WHIP (1.48 road WHIP) and a 3.4 K/BB rate (2.7 K/BB rate on the road).

Also, McCullers’ home and road splits are identical this season, but typically he’s far less effective on the road.

For his career, McCullers has won 47.1% of his road games with a 4.74 road ERA (2.57 home ERA), 1.45 road WHIP (1.09 home WHIP) and 2.3 K/BB rate on the road (3.2 K/BB rate at home).

Furthermore, the White Sox have a pretty decisive edge in relief pitching, and Chicago’s lineup is in the top-10 of wRC+, wOBA, BB/K and OPS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the WHITE SOX +1.5 (-135) heavier than or instead of Chicago’s money line for the aforementioned rationale and because this is a fair price point for a run-and-a-half worth of insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-120) for a quarter unit only because I prefer the Chicago sides more than the total.

However, the White Sox have gone Over in five of Cease’s past six starts, the Astros are 8-5 O/U in games McCullers has started this season and 24-17-2 O/U on the road.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox  (51-35) and Baltimore Orioles (28-58) open a three-game series Friday with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Dallas Keuchel is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 6-3 with a 4.48 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 90 1/3 IP over 16 starts and one bullpen appearance.

Keuchel faced Baltimore in May and allowed 4 ER on 8 H and 1 BB while striking out 2 over 5 IP. He had his worst start of the year last time out, allowing 7 ER in 4 IP against Detroit, and has an ugly 9/8 K/BB in his last three starts.

RHP Jorge Lopez is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 2-11 with a 6.02 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 80 2/3 IP over 17 starts.

Lopez has taken the loss in five straight starts, failing to make it through 5 IP in all but one of those outings. He has been a little unlucky as he has a .339 BABIP against him and 20.6% HR/FB but doesn’t help himself with all the walks he allows.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS:  White Sox -1.5 (+100) | Orioles +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

White Sox 7, Orioles 5

Money line (ML)

The Orioles are 13-42 in their last 55 games and are 4-13 in games started by Lopez this season. The White Sox are 4th in the league in runs per game on the road and are facing a pitcher that has an ERA over 6.00 for the third straight season. Take the WHITE SOX (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Orioles have already lost 27 games at home this season and just five of them have been by a single run. Their bats won’t stay quiet against Keuchel, as his 14.1% K% is lowest among all qualified pitchers, and Baltimore is 4th in wRC+ vs lefties.

However, the Chicago offense is averaging 6.8 runs per game in their last 10 and they are in a prime spot against Lopez. Expect another big day and back the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

The over is 8-2 in the last 10 games for Chicago and 13-3 in Baltimore’s last 16 contests against a left-handed starter. These trends should continue as there should be plenty of offense on both sides. OVER 10 (-105) is the side to take in this one.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (49-35) and Minnesota Twins (35-48) continue a three-game AL Central set Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. Rodon is 6-3 with a 2.37 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 13.1 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 83 2/3 IP through 14 starts.

Rodon is coming off back-to-back 5-inning starts that have seen his ERA rise from 1.83 to 2.37. He allowed 4 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 9 K across 5 IP in his last outing Thursday against this same Minnesota team.

RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 7-2 with a 3.52 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 94 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

Berrios struggled in his last start Thursday at the ChiSox, but current Chicago bats own a mere .674 OPS against him. The Minnesota right-hander had logged a 3.07 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his 7 previous starts prior to the misstep last week.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) |  Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+140) | Twins +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

Minnesota won Monday’s series opener, and the White Sox are now 2-8 in their last 10 away from home.

Statcast quality-of-contact numbers peg Chicago as being fortunate in averaging 4.99 runs per game. The Minnesota offense – which has averaged a solid 4.69 RPG – could be even better. The Twins have been held back by low batting averages on balls in play in high-leverage situations.

The TWINS (-105) were a play on Monday and they are here again Tuesday but with a small lean in going against Rodon.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extended house edge on the run line prices.

Over/Under (O/U)

There isn’t much of a lean here, but the Twins own a robust .785 OPS since June 1. Figure some slight fade to both starting pitchers. While an even 8 would make for better value BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (49-34) and Minnesota Twins (34-48) open a three-game AL Central set Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. Cease is 7-3 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 11.4 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 81 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

Cease is facing the Twins for a second consecutive start. He allowed 2 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks while fanning 7 over 6 innings Wednesday to earn a win over Minnesota.

RHP Bailey Ober is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. In 6 starts, Ober is 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 in 24 2/3 IP.

Ober faced Cease in that Wednesday game and was dealt his first career loss after giving up 5 runs on 4 H and 2 BB while striking out 3 across 3 1/3 IP. The 25-year-old rookie has allowed 5 home runs and 9 ER across 7 1/3 IP against Chicago this year.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) |  Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Twins 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The White Sox dropped 2-of-3 at Detroit over a weekend series that kicked off their current nine-game road trip. Despite the club’s success overall (the Sox head into this week with a 6-game lead in the AL Central) Chicago has sometimes struggled away from home. The White Sox are 18-20 over 38 road games and are 2-7 in their last 9 away from home.

The Twins were swept in a three-gamer at Chicago last week and are 1-8 against the ChiSox this season. Minnesota is also coming off a 1-2 weekend (at Kansas City) and is 1-5 in its last 6 games.

The TWINS (-105) are a small favorite in Monday’s opener. The Minnesota bullpen is in better shape coming off the weekend, and the Twins own a robust .776 OPS since June 1.

Statcast quality-of-contact metrics peg the White Sox as being fortunate in averaging their 4.99 runs per game. The Minnesota offense, good as it is, has been undone by low batting averages on balls in play in key high-leverage situations. The Twins have scored 4.65 RPG and are capable of more.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extended house edge on the run line prices.

Over/Under (O/U)

A hot night and an outward breeze, and some respect for these offenses, has the total in double digits. Low humidity is also in the forecast and so is enough talent on the mound: BACK THE UNDER 10 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (33-45) and Chicago White Sox (47-32) put a lid on a three-game series Thursday at 2:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 7-2 with a 3.41 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 89 2/3 IP over 15 starts.

Berrios is coming off a solid effort against the Cleveland Indians and owns a 2.77 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP over his last 39 IP. Current White Sox batters own a .617 OPS against him.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 6-3 with a 2.06 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 over 78 2/3 IP spanning 13 starts.

Rodon has scuffled a bit with his control in his last two outings. He filed a combined 7 BB in 12 IP over starts against the Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Twins at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+185) | White Sox +1.5 (-225)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 6, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

Peg the Twins as having some under-the-radar value just as a .500-to-.525-type team playing .423 ball. They lost the first two games of this series after having gone 7-2 over their previous nine games.

Berrios has pitched well on the road with a 3.02 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, and his numbers against Chicago are compelling. He’s more of a groundball pitcher than Rodon, and with a 15-mile-per-hour wind out to right field in the forecast, a little edge there doesn’t hurt.

Rodon has been spectacular, but with a .247 BABIP is further from his expected ERA production than Berrios. The righty-lefty matchup with the starters makes for a platoon advantage for the Twins.

TAKE THE TWINS (+120).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Consider the run-line favorite action on MINNESOTA -1.5 (+185) as a half-and-half strategy for slotting two plays on the visitors.

Over/Under (O/U)

The outward wind and two good offensive clubs battle it out against two frontline starters. Peg a sliver of value as being on the bats: TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (33-44) hope to even their road series against the Chicago White Sox (46-32) Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rookie RHP Bailey Ober is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 0-0 with a 4.64 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in 21 1/3 IP over five starts.

Ober has not pitched more than 5 innings in any start this season. He allowed 4 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks in 4 1/3 innings against Cincinnati June 22 in his last outing.

RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 6-3 with a 3.81 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 75 2/3 IP over 15 starts.

Cease faced the Twins May 11 receiving a no decision in a 9-3 win, allowing 3 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks with 7 strikeouts in 5 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Twins at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:11 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-190) | Whit Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 6, Twins 4

Money line (ML)

The Twins had a four-game road win streak snapped Tuesday in the series opener. They are 16-21 on the road this season and only 15-28 against teams over .500. Minnesota is 1-6 against the Sox on the year and winless in four games in Chicago against them.

The White Sox’s 29 home wins are more than any other team except the San Diego Padres. They are 25-12 against teams in the AL Central and have won Cease’s last six home starts.

Take the WHITE SOX (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Twins are 16-21 ATS on the road this season and have covered the spread in just three of seven meetings with the White Sox.

The White Sox are 40-38 ATS overall but have only covered the spread once in their last 11 games. Seven of the nine wins they have had with Cease on the mound have been by at least two runs.

Take the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under (O/U)

The series opener went Over the projected total. Five of the last six, and eight of the last 11, have hit the Over for the Twins. Minnesota has the highest Over percentage in MLB at 66.2%.

Eight of the last 11 for the White Sox have also gone Over the projected total.

Take OVER 9 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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