The Chicago White Sox (1-3) and Seattle Mariners (2-1) play the first game of a three-game set Monday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He was 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 7 2/3 IP over two starts and two relief appearances in 2020. Rodon hasn’t faced the Mariners since Aug. 28, 2016, when he allowed one earned run on 5 hits and a walk with 6 strikeouts over six innings in a win in Chicago.
LHP Justus Sheffield is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He was 4-3 with a 3.58 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 55 1/3 IP over 10 starts in 2020. The last time he faced the White Sox was Sept. 15, 2019, when he allowed 6 earned runs on 7 hits and a walk with 8 strikeouts across 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision.
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White Sox at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Mariners 7, White Sox 4
Money line (ML)
The MARINERS (-105) are short underdogs at home, but they’re the play here. Rodon has been terrible for the White Sox, and until he is able to start showing some consistency you have to fade him.
The ChiSox also won just one of their past five meetings with the M’s, dating back to April 2019. They won just once in the first four games against the Los Angeles Angels, and they’re just 2-10 across their past 12 games away from the south side of Chicago.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The MARINERS +1.5 (-165) will cost you if you’re looking for a little insurance and aren’t sold on Sheffield turning in a strong performance; however, I like the M’s catching a run and a half here. I just like them even better straight up.
For me, Rodon just cannot be trusted, as he hasn’t had a quality start since April 19, 2019 prior to Tommy John surgery.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean.
Again, not trying to pick on Rodon, but he cannot be trusted to avoid the crooked numbers on the scoreboard. The Mariners offense is averaging 4.82 runs per game so far this season, and they hit the Over in each of the first two outings while allowing 6.5 runs per game.
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