Tag: Chicago Bulls vs. San Antonio Spurs odds predictions pick betting line spread

The San Antonio Spurs (18-31) host the Chicago Bulls (30-17) Friday at the AT&T Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Bulls vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Chicago has won back-to-back games over the Oklahoma City Thunder Monday and the Toronto Raptors Wednesday. However, the Bulls are just 3-5 straight-up (SU) and 4-3-1 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

San Antonio has lost three of its past four games including its latest outing, which was a 118-110 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies as 4-point home underdogs. The Spurs are 3-5 SU and ATS in the last 14 days.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 28 breakdown

Bulls at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Bulls +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Spurs -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Bulls +1.5 (-108) | Spurs -1.5 (-112)
• Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Bulls at Spurs key injuries

Bulls

• PG Lonzo Ball (knee) out
• SG Alex Caruso (wrist) out

Spurs

• None.

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Bulls at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bulls 117, Spurs 111

Money line

Slight “LEAN” towards the BULLS (+102) because I prefer their spread but, either way, Chicago is the right side.

The Spurs (-125) don’t have anyone to defend Bulls’ wings Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan; both of whom love to operate in the mid-range, and that’s where San Antonio’s defense is most vulnerable.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Chicago attempts the third-highest rate of mid-range field goals and has the third-best field goal percentage on mid-range shots. Whereas San Antonio has the second-worst defensive field goal percentage versus mid-range attempts, per CTG.

Also, the Spurs have a bottom-five adjusted defensive rating at home, and the Bulls are 14-4 SU with a plus-8.5 adjusted net rating versus bottom-10 defenses.

Furthermore, DeRozan played for the Spurs from 2018-21 (three seasons) so he’s very familiar with the sightlines of AT&T Center and could be motivated to show up his former employer.

Again, “LEAN” to the BULLS (+102) since Chicago plus the points is a sharper wager.

Against the spread

BET the BULLS +1.5 (-108) because this is a case of the “wrong team is favored”. In fact, the Spurs -1.5 (-112) opened as a 4-point home underdog (according to Pregame.com) before the market steamed San Antonio up to the current price.

But, I cannot reverse engineer that line movement or figure out what the market sees in the Spurs, I see value on the Bulls in this spot. Plus San Antonio is 5-10 ATS as a home underdog, which it opened up as.

Since I think the Spurs should still be a home underdog, I’m BETTING the BULLS +1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 231.5 (-107) for a small wager, if at all, because two of the three referees assigned to this game have officiated more Unders than Overs.

That could impact this total greatly since Chicago thrives at getting to the charity stripe, but San Antonio is fifth in defensive FT/FGA rate.

For what it’s worth, the Chicago sides are my favorite wagers in this game, and I’m not in love with the Under in Bulls-Spurs.

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