The Detroit Pistons (12-29) welcome the division rival Chicago Bulls (18-22) to Little Caesars Arena Sunday for a 7 p.m. ET game. Below, we analyze the Bulls-Pistons odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Chicago has lost back-to-back games including a 131-127 overtime nail-biter to the Denver Nuggets as a 7-point road underdog Friday. Since the All-Star break, the Bulls are 2-4 straight up and 3-3 ATS; the four losses were against teams above .500 and the wins were against losing squads.
The Pistons enter on a two-game winning streak after handing the Houston Rockets their 19th consecutive loss Friday and taking down the Toronto Raptors 116-112 as 6.5-point home underdogs Wednesday.
Detroit is 2-3 straight up but 4-1 against the spread since the All-Star Game. The stretch includes covers against the powerhouse Brooklyn Nets and the surging Charlotte Hornets in consecutive games.
Chicago’s 105-102 win and cover against Detroit earlier this season was its fifth straight in the head-to-head series.
Bulls at Pistons: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Bulls -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Pistons +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Bulls -3 (-110) | Pistons +3 (-110)
- Over/Under: 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Bulls at Pistons: Key injuries
Bulls
- G Garrett Temple (ankle) out
Pistons
- SG Hamidou Diallo (groin) out
- SG Wayne Ellington (thigh) out
- PG Killian Hayes (hip) out
- PF Jahlil Okafor (knee) out
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Bulls at Pistons: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Bulls 114, Pistons 109
Money line (ML)
PASS with a lean on Bulls (-150) because it’s on the fringe for how much I’d risk on an NBA regular-season favorite. Chicago’s money line could be a good parlay leg with another favorite such as the Denver Nuggets (-250).
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Against the spread (ATS)
The BULLS -3 (-110) play well and cash tickets against bad teams: Chicago is 10-5 straight up and is plus-7 in net points per 100 possessions and plus-6.8 ATS margin vs. bottom-10 teams in net efficiency, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
Chicago has been a good bet on the road lately—covering the spread in five of its past six road games—and to close out the week as the Bulls are 8-0 ATS in their last eight Sunday games.
TAKE BULLS -3 (-110) for a half-unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
Even though the previous Bulls-Pistons meeting earlier this season went Under the projected total of 220 by 13 points even though it was an awesome offensive night for both teams’ leading scorers.
First-year Piston SF Jerami Grant had a career-best 43 points on 60% shooting, but Bulls All-Star SG Zach LaVine nearly matched him with 37 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists and 3 steals.
While they might not have the exact same production, I’d expect those guys to have success again in this meeting and for their teammates to play better.
Finally, according to Pregame.com, nearly 90% of the money is on the Under and I’d like to fade that one-sided of a market.
BET OVER 217.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
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