Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Blackhawks (8-14-2) take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (14-7-2) Monday evening. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Blackhawks won 2-0 last year

The Hawks fell 6-3 to the Columbus Blue Jackets Sunday in what was their sixth loss in 8 games. C Connor Bedard scored his fifth goal of the season. He has 5 goals and 14 assists for 19 points in 24 games. The Hawks are 4-8-2 on the road thus far.

The Leafs got back in the win column Saturday with a 5-3 win in Tampa. RW William Nylander scored his 15th goal of the season. He is tied for fifth in the NHL in goals thus far. The best news from that game was the return of C Auston Matthews (upper body), who missed nearly a month due to injury. He had 2 assists in the game.

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Blackhawks at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 12:59 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blackhawks +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Maple Leafs -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blackhawks +2.5 (-150) | Maple Leafs -2.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blackhawks at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Arvid Soderblom (1-4-1, 2.36 GAA, .926 SV%) vs. Anthony Stolarz (7-6-0, 3.33 GAA, .872 SV%, 1 SO)

The 25-year-old Swede has lost 3 straight starts, but he has performed well in them. He stopped 21 of 24 against Anaheim last time out, and he stopped 29 of 31 and 37 of 39 against Vancouver and Dallas. Soderblom has yet to allow more than 3 goals in his 6 starts. He was between the pipes in a 4-3 OT win against Toronto last year, stopping 34 of 37.

Stolarz took the 5-1 loss to Florida Wednesday, allowing 4 goals on 23 shots. He was solid overall in November, going 3-2-1 with a 2.18 GAA and .927 SV%. Stolarz suffered a 5-2 loss to the Hawks last year, stopping 20 of 24.

Blackhawks at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 3, Blackhawks 2

Moneyline

There is no bet with the inflated ML here. Instead, let’s take CONNOR BEDARD OVER 2.5 SHOTS (-125). He had 5 and 4 SOG the last 2 games. He had 6 and 4 against Toronto last season.

Puck line/Against the spread

There’s no play here, either, because the Blackhawks losing by 2 or fewer goals at a chalky -150 is just not how I want to spend my Monday evening.

PASS and look to the total.

Over/Under

The Blackhawks are 2-8 O/U in their last 10, and the Leafs are 4-6. They have scored 3+ goals in 8 of 10 games, and the only ones they didn’t . . . they lost.

I don’t see the Leafs dropping a 5-spot on Soderblom, and I can’t see the Hawks scoring more than 2.

Take the UNDER 6 (-115).

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Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Blackhawks (1-2-0) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (2-0-0) meet Monday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Blackhawks play the 4th contest of a 5-game road trip to open the season. After posting a 4-2 win in Pittsburgh on Tuesday, Chicago has been outscored 6-3 in a pair of losses in Boston and Montreal. The Under has cashed in all 3 games to date.

The Maple Leafs opened with a wild 6-5 shootout win over the Montreal Canadiens Wednesday, then posted a 7-4 win Saturday against the Minnesota Wild. C Auston Matthews has posted consecutive hat tricks to open the season, becoming just the 5th player in NHL history to open the season with back-to-back 3-goal games.

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Blackhawks at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blackhawks +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Maple Leafs -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blackhawks +1.5 (+110) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blackhawks at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Petr Mrazek (1-1-0, 2.54 GAA, .935 SV%) vs. Joseph Woll (6-1-0, 2.16 GAA, .932 SV% – 2022-23)

Mrazek allowed 2 goals on 41 shots in Tuesday’s 4-2 road win in Pittsburgh. He was solid in Montreal on Saturday, allowing just 3 goals on 36 shots in a 3-2 loss, but the offense was unable to give him much support. Mrazek allowed 5 goals on 42 shots in a loss in Toronto on Feb. 15 last season, facing his former team. He spent the 2021-22 season with the Maple Leafs.

Woll has posted impressive numbers in his brief career, going 9-2-0 with a 2.38 GAA and .924 SV% in 11 NHL regular-season starts. This will be his 1st appearance against the Blackhawks. He was 2-0-0 with a 1.50 GAA and .941 SV% in 2 starts against the Western Conference last season.

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Blackhawks at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 5, Blackhawks 3

Moneyline

The Maple Leafs (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk, and not enough reward. Toronto has been getting all kinds of offense, but the defense is a little bit of a concern. The Leafs are averaging 6.5 goals per game in the early going, while allowing 4.5 GPG. Until the Leafs get the defense and goaltending under control, they’re a major risk.

AVOID.

Puck line/Against the spread

The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (-135) are worth playing lightly on the puck line, and Toronto covered the goal and a half last time out.

The Blackhawks +1.5 (+110) have played pretty good defense in the 3 games, allowing a total of just 7 goals. They haven’t faced a high-octane offense like the Leafs, however, and Toronto knows Mrazek well from his team in T-Dot.

Over/Under

OVER 6.5 (-120) is the best play on the board in Toronto games until further notice.

Not only have the Leafs rolled up 13 total goals in 2 games, they have allowed 9 goals, too. The defense has been a train wreck, the goaltending has been shaky, but man, Toronto has been scoring so much, that “Pursuit of Happiness” by Kid Cudi is already played out as the goal song.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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