Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (7-22) visit Ball Arena Sunday to face the Denver Nuggets (17-11). Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hornets vs. Nuggets odds, and our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Despite the recent return of G LeMelo Ball, the Hornets are still coming into Denver on a 7-game losing streak. They are last in the Eastern Conference and their 7 wins are the lowest in the NBA. Their last loss was Friday 125-106 to the Atlanta Hawks as 2-point home favorites.

The Nuggets faced a Los Angeles Lakers team at the bottom of the Pacific Division and lost 126-108 as 1.5-point favorites after allowing 52% shooting and 21 points from C Thomas Bryant, who is averaging just 9.4 points this season. That being said, they lead the Northwest Division.

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Hornets at Nuggets odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hornets +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Nuggets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +8.5 (-115) | Nuggets -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hornets at Nuggets key injuries

Hornets

  • G Cody Martin (knee) out
  • G Dennis Smith Jr. (ankle) out
  • F Mark Williams (ankle) out

Nuggets

  • G Collin Gillespie (leg) out
  • C Nikola Jokic (knee) probable
  • G Jamal Murray (ankle) probable
  • F Michael Porter Jr. (heel) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hornets at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 110, Hornets 104

Moneyline

The Hornets are last in shooting percentage and 2-point percentage. They also give up the 4th-most field goals per game in the league. Denver on the other hand scores the 2nd-most field goals (43.6).

But at -350 you can PASS on this line.

Against the spread

First, 8.5 points is relatively large and while Denver certainly is better overall, ATS trends point against them.

The Nuggets have covered just once in their last 7 when giving up 100 points or more in their last game. The same goes when the Nuggets score more than 100 points, where they are on a cold streak (1-6 ATS).

On top of that Denver has not covered in their last 6 games after a day of rest.

BET HORNETS +8.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Nuggets rank 29th in 3-point attempts (30.1) and 22nd in total field goal attempts (85.9). Denver has countered these numbers by their phenomenal 50.7% shooting percentage, the best in the NBA. However, Charlotte’s only bright spot is their 3-point defense, ranking 15th in 3 pointers allowed per game.

On top of that the Hornets rank #1 in fast break defense, allowing just 10.6 points.

LEAN UNDER 237.5 (-110).

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Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (16-17) travel to Pepsi Center Thursday to take on the Denver Nuggets (15-15). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Nuggets are coming into this game after losing to the Thunder last night. It was a disappointing road in which they ended as 6-point favorites.

Denver’s starters were destroyed early in the third and never got back in the game. MVP Nikola Jokic played just 25 minutes. The Nuggets are just 13-17 ATS. They are 8-5 at home though.

The Hornets, who have survived their Covid outbreak, have been one of the best records ATS in the NBA. They’re 19-14 ATS and 7-10 as road underdogs. Charlotte is led by G LaMelo Ball and F Miles Bridges.

Hornets at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hornets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Nuggets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +2.5 (-105) | Nuggets -2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hornets at Nuggets key injuries

Hornets

  • None

Nuggets

  • Not officially submitted

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Hornets at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hornets 119, Nuggets 112

Money line

BET on the HORNETS +120. The Nuggets are short-handed and showed an inability to keep up with even the Thunder.

Without Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray, the Nuggets are far too reliant on Jokic. As for the Hornets, Rozier, Ball and Bridges are all capable playmakers.

The Hornets average the second-most points per game, while the Nuggets rank in the bottom third of the league in opponent’s field goal percentage. They may not be able to stop a lethal Hornets attack.

Following an awful performance, I’d stay away from the Nuggets and lean to the plus-money Hornets in this one.

Against the spread

PASS on the spread. I’d rather take the plus-money money line odds here instead of a 2.5-point spread.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 230.5 (-108) as the Hornets are getting their rhythm back and should want to push the pace on the Nuggets.

Similarly, the Hornets do not have a dominant presence down low, so Jokic should be able to have his way against the Hornets. Denver’s starters should be looking for some revenge after a horrible game yesterday.

The Hornets rank second in points per game and last in opponent’s points per game.

As rare as it is, both teams have been profitable on the Over, with Charlotte at 20-12-1 and Denver at 17-13. Denver’s Over is 7-1 in its past 8. Charlotte is 7-2-1. I’d bet on the points.

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