Charlotte Hornets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 3

Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (15-14) meet the San Antonio Spurs (10-16) Wednesday at the AT&T Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Charlotte got stomped its last time out 120-96 by the Mavericks in Dallas as 2.5-point road underdogs.

In December, the Hornets are 2-4 straight-up (SU), 5-1 ATS and 4-1-1 O/U with the 22nd-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (minus-4.5 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

San Antonio is coming off a 112-97 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Sunday. The Spurs are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U with the 11th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-3.7 points per 100 possessions).

These teams split the series 1-1 last regular season with the road team winning and covering each game and either side of the total cashing.

Hornets at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Spurs -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +3.5 (-110) | Spurs -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hornets at Spurs key injuries

Hornets

C Mason Plumlee (ribs) probable
PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out

Spurs

None.

Hornets at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 117, Hornets 109

Money line

PASS even though I “like” San Antonio to cover the spread because the Spurs (-160) is just a little out of my price range.

However, if San Antonio’s money line was south of -140 then I’d probably take that instead of the Spurs laying the points.

Against the spread

BET the SPURS -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit because this is a way better spot for San Antonio than Charlotte.

First of all, the Spurs are 8-3 ATS vs. teams with a winning record and 4-1 ATS as a home favorite with a plus-10.8 spread differential.

Second, both teams like to get out in transition, but San Antonio has the best defensive efficiency vs. fastbreak offense whereas Charlotte has the fifth-worst transition defense efficiency.

Also, the Spurs attempt the second-highest volume of midrange field goals in the NBA (per CTG), and the Hornets have the second-worst defensive field goal percentage vs. midrange attempts.

Finally, despite these pro-San Antonio arguments, more money is coming in on Charlotte according to both Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app.

GIMME the SPURS -3.5 (-110), who are the less popular side, trending up and with a way better case for covering the spread than the Hornets +3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

PASS with slight “lean” to the Over 225.5 (-115) because both teams can put up some points and play at a fast pace, but neither defense can stop a nosebleed.

However, a vast majority of the market has similar analysis apparently hence far more bets being placed on the Over, and I hate following the herd in sports betting.

Furthermore, both squads have a below-average 3-point attempt rate and free-throw attempt rate so an off-shooting quarter could jeopardize any Over bets in this contest.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Charlotte Hornets at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Charlotte Hornets at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (15-13) stop by American Airlines Center Monday for an 8:30 p.m. ET game against the Dallas Mavericks (13-13). Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Charlotte has won just two of its last six games (5-1 ATS) but the four losses came against the Milwaukee Bucks, Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers (twice). The Hornets are 17-11 ATS and 17-10-1 O/U with the 14th-best non-garbage time net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CtG).

Dallas is 3-5 overall and ATS and 1-7 O/U with the 19th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential over the past two weeks (CtG). The Mavs hammered the Oklahoma City Thunder 103-84 Sunday without G Luka Doncic, covering as 4-point road favorites.

These teams split their two meetings last season with the road team winning and covering both and the Under cashed in each contest.

Hornets at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:34 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mavericks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +2.5 (-107) | Mavericks -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hornets at Mavericks key injuries

Hornets

PF P.J. Washington (illness) probable
PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
SF Jalen McDaniels (health and safety protocols) out
PG Ish Smith (health and safety protocols) out
C Mason Plumlee (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

SF Luka Doncic (ankle) out

Hornets at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hornets 113, Mavericks 107

Money line

BET the HORNETS (+115) because they have an edge in the head coaching matchup and Charlotte’s offense matches up very well against Dallas’s defense.

The Mavs have been stomped by quality offenses: Dallas is 0-6 SU with a minus-13.8 efficiency differential (ranked 25th) and a minus-7.8 ATS margin (ranked 28th) against teams in the top 10 of offensive efficiency (CtG).

Charlotte attempts the third-highest volume of field goals at the rim and Dallas ranks dead-last in defensive field goal percentage versus shots at the rim.

The Mavs are also 23rd in defensive 3-point percentage while the Hornets shoot the highest percentage from behind the arc. Plus, Charlotte has the second-best shot quality while Dallas’ has the second-worst shot quality allowed per CtG.

Dallas speeds up the tempo when Luka is off the floor and that could work against the Mavs in this spot because the Hornets have the 11th-best transition offensive efficiency.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the HORNETS +2.5 (-107) because that’s how the presumed “sharp” side of the market is betting whereas the public is rolling with the Mavs.

Roughly 75% of the cash wagered is on Charlotte but nearly 60% of the action is on Dallas according to pregame.com at the time of writing. Typically, in sports betting, it’s wise to follow the money especially when it’s counter to the public.

Moreover, the Mavs aren’t very profitable as home favorites. Dallas is 13-23 ATS with a minus-5.3 spread differential as a home favorite since the beginning of last season.

That said, my favorite wager in this game is Charlotte’s money line.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 216.5 (-108) because the Over is 7-0-1 in Charlotte’s last eight games, the Hornets have one of the worst defenses in the NBA and the Mavs move the ball pretty well when Luka isn’t on the floor.

However, I’m noticing some “reverse line movement” in the betting market as this total opened at 218, most of the action is on the Over but the number is being lowered. It’s a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Sacramento Kings at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Sacramento Kings at Charlotte Hornets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (11-14) travel to the Queen City for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off against the Charlotte Hornets (14-13) at the Spectrum Center. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Hornets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Sactown has won four of its past six games in the last two weeks including three straight (3-0 ATS) over the Los Angeles Clippers, twice, and the Orlando Magic.

The Kings are 4-2 ATS and 4-2 O/U in their last six games with the 20th-ranked non-garbage time efficiency differential, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

The banged-up Hornets are just 2-5 overall but 5-2 ATS and 6-0-1 O/U in their last seven games. Charlotte has lost back-to-back games to the Philadelphia 76ers entering Friday. The Hornets are 15th in non-garbage time efficiency differential over the past two weeks (CtG).

Sactown snapped a five-game losing streak to Charlotte (0-5 ATS) with a 140-110 whooping in their first meeting of the season, Nov. 5. However, Kings big Richaun Holmes, who put up 23 points and 20 rebounds, has been ruled out for Friday’s Kings-Hornets game.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 10 breakdown

Kings at Hornets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

Money line: Kings -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Hornets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kings -1.5 (-107) | Hornets +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kings at Hornets key injuries

Kings

C Richaun Holmes (eye) out

Hornets

PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
SG Terry Rozier (health and safety protocols) out
PG Ish Smith (health and safety protocols) out
C Mason Plumlee (calf) out

Kings at Hornets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 122, Hornets 112

Money line

BET the KINGS (-115) for 1 unit because they have a winning record as a road favorite since the beginning of last season (5-4 overall) and play very well against bad defenses.

For instance, Charlotte ranks dead-last in defensive rating, and Sactown is 7-2 overall with a plus-4.7 efficiency differential and a plus-3.5 ATS margin (ranked sixth) vs. teams in the bottom-10 of defensive efficiency (CtG).

Furthermore, we saw the Kings get whatever they wanted against a fully healthy Hornets team in their first meeting. And while Sactown is missing a starter, Charlotte is missing two or three starters.

Lastly, I believe the Hornets’ four-game cover streak is motivating the market to back Charlotte against a bad Kings team. This makes sense, but, Sactown has been winning games recently, and the Hornets have not.

Against the spread

PASS since Sactown’s money line is only 10 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Kings -1.5 (-105). Don’t be cheap, just lay it with Sactown -115 outright.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 231.5 (-110) because neither team plays defense, and both play at a top-5 pace.

On top of that, four of the last five Kings-Hornets meetings have gone Over the total, Sactown is 5-2 O/U in its past seven games, and Charlotte is 6-0-1 O/U in its last seven.

My concern with the Over is obvious: If either or both teams have just one off-shooting quarter then an Over bet is in serious jeopardy.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (14-12) meet the Philadelphia 76ers (13-11) in the second of their back-to-back Wednesday at Spectrum Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Hornets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Philly won Monday’s meeting with Charlotte 127-124 in overtime as a 7.5-point road favorite. Sixers big Joel Embiid erupted for 43 points on 75.0% shooting (12-for-14 at the foul line) with 15 rebounds and 7 assists. Hornets wing Kelly Oubre put up 35 points on 54.2% shooting (6-of-13 from three).

The 76ers have won three of their last four games (2-2 ATS) including two straight whereas the Hornets have lost four of their last five games but have covered three consecutive contests.

Philly has beaten Charlotte in 15 straight meetings and the Over has cashed in seven of their previous eight games.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 8 breakdown

76ers at Hornets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:06 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Hornets +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -6.5 (-105) | Hornets +6.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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76ers at Hornets key injuries

76ers

PG Tyrese Maxey (illness) questionable

Hornets

PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
SG Terry Rozier (health and safety protocols) out
PG Ish Smith (health and safety protocols) out
C Mason Plumlee (calf) out

76ers at Hornets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 119, Hornets 107

Money line

PASS even though it’s tough for an NBA team to beat the same team in consecutive games because I don’t think the Hornets can snap their losing skid to the Sixers given their injury woes.

Charlotte is a feisty, well-coached team but the Hornets’ edge in the backcourt has been nullified due to Ball and Rozier being on the NBA’s COVID list. The Hornets’ starting point guard right now is actually their fourth small forward.

Against the spread

BET the 76ERS -6.5 (-105) because Philly would’ve rolled Charlotte the other night if it weren’t for Oubre having one of the best games of his career. Charlotte has pretty much no answer for Embiid and it never has.

Embiid is 12-0 for his career versus the Hornets and is averaging 26.7 points per game on 65.0% true shooting (.538/.333/.828) with 12.7 rebounds per game and a plus-16 net rating.

There’s no question in my mind that Philly can clear 120 points in this match and I’m not convinced Charlotte has an above-average shooting night from behind the arc.

Perhaps we can capitalize on the market’s “recency bias” with this game. The Hornets are getting a vast majority of the action according to the Yahoo! Sports app because they just took the Sixers to overtime the other night.

However, oddsmakers give Charlotte nearly the same chance at beating Philly in this game as the last and I don’t think the betting public knows more than the sportsbooks in this spot.

I’ll trust in the House’s read that the Sixers will tighten things up for this contest such as controlling the boards, minimizing easy fastbreak points and points off of turnovers.

BET the 76ERS -6.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET the OVER 214.5 (-110) even though it’s a very chalky play and most of the market is betting this game is high-scoring.

The Hornets play the second-highest frequency of transition basketball but the Sixers actually have the second-best transition offensive efficiency.

An undermanned Charlotte team’s best chance of beating Philly is to turn this into a fast-paced shootout. Why wouldn’t the Sixers oblige them if Philly can just execute better than Charlotte in the fastbreak?

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (13-11) travel to the “Big Peach” Sunday to play the Atlanta Hawks (12-11) at the State Farm Arena. The tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Charlotte enters on a three-game losing skid, all on the road, with the losses being to the Houston Rockets, Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks. The Hornets are 13-11 ATS and 14-10 O/U with the 17th-ranked net rating.

Atlanta has alternated between winning and losing over the past four games with the latest being a heartbreaking 98-96 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers Friday. The Hawks are 10-13 ATS and 11-12 O/U with the ninth-best net rating.

Atlanta handled business in the first meeting of the season with Charlotte, 115-105 Nov. 20, as 7-point home favorites. The Hawks are 3-2 overall and 2-2-1 ATS vs. the Hornets since the beginning of last season. The Under has cashed in four of those meetings.

Hornets at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Hawks -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +6.5 (-107) | Hawks -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hornets at Hawks key injuries

Hornets

PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
SG Terry Rozier (health and safety protocols) out
C Mason Plumlee (health and safety protocols) out
PF Jalen McDaniels (health and safety protocols) out

Hawks

SG Kevin Huerter (quadriceps) questionable
SF Cam Reddish (illness) questionable
PG Trae Young (quadriceps) questionable
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

Hornets at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hornets 114, Hawks 109

Money line

I’m okay with a tiny wager on the HORNETS (+230), but be sure to bet Charlotte plus the points heavier or instead of the money line. The bottom line is I like the value in Charlotte at +6.5 because it feels like an Atlanta trap.

The Hawks have the third-best efficiency differential and fifth-best ATS margin at home this season. The Hornets are missing two of their three leading scorers. But, this Hornets-Hawks meeting is priced the same as the first.

That tells me there’s a decent chance Trae and/or Huerter miss Sunday’s meeting, and Atlanta’s backcourt edge will be gone. If Trae suits up, the Hawks’ price will soar.

Regardless, Atlanta is missing depth on the wing, which is a stacked position for Charlotte. The absence of Ball and Rozier opens the door for more Miles Bridges and Gordon Hayward usage. Bridges put up 35 points on 53.6% shooting in the first Hornets-Hawks meeting.

Again, if you take HORNETS (+230), go lightly and hit Charlotte’s spread harder.

Against the spread

Definitely BET HORNETS +6.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of Charlotte’s money line. The Hornets are 8-4 ATS vs. teams with a winning record while the Hawks are just 2-7 ATS.

Furthermore, I could see this being a letdown game for Atlanta, who just played a tough, physical rematch of last year’s second-round playoff series with Philly Friday.

That was an emotional primetime game, and I could see the Hawks struggling to get up for this game knowing several Hornets contributors are on the COVID list.

Over/Under

PASS since we don’t officially know who’s playing in this game, and I’d prefer to play the sides because of all the aforementioned logic.

My hunch is that the market will be betting the Under because of the possible absences of several offensive players. If that’s the case then I’d “lean” to the Over as a fade of that overreaction.

However, since that’s only speculative, I’ll PASS ON THE TOTAL.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Charlotte Hornets at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Charlotte Hornets at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The red-hot Milwaukee Bucks (13-8) host the Charlotte Hornets (13-10) Wednesday at the Fiserv Forum for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Charlotte has lost back-to-back road games to the Houston Rockets and Chicago Bulls following a three-game winning streak. The Hornets are 12-11 ATS and 13-10 O/U with the 16th-ranked net rating.

Milwaukee has won seven straight games since two-time All-Star wing Khris Middleton returned from injury. Over that span, the Bucks have the best net rating, best rebounding rate and best defensive efficiency. The Bucks are 10-11 ATS and 7-14 O/U with the seventh-best net rating.

The Hornets were 2-1 overall and ATS last season vs. the Bucks and the Over was 2-1 in those contests.

Hornets at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Bucks -410 (bet $410 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +8.5 (-120) | Bucks -8.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hornets at Bucks key injuries

Hornets

SF Cody Martin (illness) out
C Mason Plumlee (calf) out

Bucks

C Brook Lopez (back) out
SG Donte DiVincenzo (ankle) out

Hornets at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 122, Hornets 110

Money line

PASS since Milwaukee is the right side, but the Bucks (-410) is out of my price range for an NBA regular-season favorite. Also, the Hornets are 3-7 overall as a road underdog with a minus-7.6 margin of victory.

Against the spread

BET the BUCKS -8.5 (-105) because Charlotte’s defense is awful, Milwaukee puts up 120-plus points and I don’t think the Hornets can keep up.

Furthermore, the Bucks crush bad defenses: Milwaukee is 4-1 overall with the second-highest efficiency differential and a plus-5.1 ATS margin vs. teams in the bottom-10 defenses (according to CleaningTheGlass.com).

Last year, the Bucks were just as dominant vs. bad defenses: Milwaukee was 18-5 overall with the second-best efficiency differential and plus-2.1 ATS margin.

On the other hand, the Hornets struggle vs. elite defenses: Charlotte is 3-6 overall with a minus-3.9 efficiency differential and a minus-2.7 ATS margin vs. teams in the top-10 of defensive efficiency.

Also, Milwaukee plays the third-highest volume of isolation basketball, and Charlotte has the fifth-worst defensive efficiency vs. isolation offense. The Bucks running their offense through Giannis Antetokounmpo and Middleton opens up looks for Milwaukee’s 3-point specialists.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 229.5 (-112) for a small wager if at all because, including all the previous analysis, Charlotte plays matador defense but can exploit Milwaukee’s mediocre transition defense.

The Hornets get out in transition at the highest frequency in the league and score the fifth-most fast-break points per game while the Bucks have the seventh-worst defensive efficiency in transition.

However, both teams like to push the pace, and I think the Bucks will engage the Hornets in a back-and-forth shootout because why not? Milwaukee ultimately can get stops when it needs to whereas Charlotte cannot stop a nosebleed.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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