Celtics Nuggets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Celtics (48-13) travel to meet the Denver Nuggets (42-20) Thursday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Celtics lead 1-0 after 102-100 win in Boston on Jan. 19. The Nuggets covered as a 7-point underdog, and the Under (234) cashed.

The Celtics are still likely smarting after a 105-104 collapse in Cleveland on Tuesday in a game which the Cavs didn’t even have leading scorer Donovan Mitchell (knee). The stunning comeback by the Cavs in the 4th quarter halted a 11-game winning streak, and 6-game cover run, for the Celtics.

The Nuggets suffered a 117-107 OT loss against the Phoenix Suns at home on Tuesday, and that splashed cold water on a 6-game winning streak for Denver. The Nuggets were 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in the 6 games prior to the loss to Phoenix.

As far as the total is concerned, Boston has cashed the Under in 2 in a row, and 4 of the past 5 outings. For Denver, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 contests, too.

Celtics at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Celtics -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nuggets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread: Celtics -1.5 (+100) | Nuggets +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Celtics at Nuggets key injuries

Celtics

G Jaylen Brown (pelvis) questionable

Nuggets

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Celtics at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 111, Nuggets 107

Moneyline

The CELTICS (-105) head to the Mile High City looking to wash the bad taste out of their mouth from the stunning loss in Cleveland. A win against the defending champs will feel satisfactory, and it’s a good play.

The Nuggets (-115) were tripped up by the Devin Booker-less Suns last time out at home. Boston is a good play on the road, as it looks for the regular-season series sweep in this potential NBA Finals preview.

Against the spread

The CELTICS -1.5 (+100) are an even better play at even-money, as Boston simply needs to win by a single bucket.

The Nuggets +1.5 (-120) have covered 5 of the past 7 outings, but it has failed to cover the past 2 games at home, against the Suns and the Miami Heat.

The Celtics are still 6-1 ATS in the past 7 games despite Tuesday’s non-cover. Look for Boston to get untracked with a big win against a fellow contender.

Over/Under

UNDER 221.5 (-110) is worth a look in this marquee matchup.

The total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 games for both of these teams. When the teams met in Beantown on Jan. 19, we had 202 combined points, and the Under (234) was never threatened.

The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 road games against Western Conference teams for the Celtics, too, while the total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 home games for the Nuggets against Eastern Conference squads.

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Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Celtics (26-10) battle the Denver Nuggets (23-12) in the Mile High City Sunday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Celtics beat the LA Clippers 116-110 on Thursday, failing to cover as a 7-point home favorite. Boston has a 20-15-1 record against the spread (ATS). It is just 3-6-1 ATS over its last 10, but has covered 3 of its last 4. Boston ranks No. 1 in the league in points per game (118.8).

The Nuggets have also covered 3 of their last 4 and are 6-4 ATS in their last 10. They beat the Heat 124-119 on Friday, covering as a 4-point home favorite. Denver ranks 1st in 3-point FG percentage (30.4%) and 2nd in FG percentage (50.8%), so this game should have the firepower to be an entertaining battle.

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Celtics at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Celtics -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nuggets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Celtics -1.5 (-116) | Nuggets +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Celtics at Nuggets key injuries

Celtics

None

Nuggets

G Bruce Brown (ankle) probable
F Aaron Gordon (shoulder) probable
G Jamal Murray (questionable) knee

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Celtics at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Celtics 112

Moneyline

BET NUGGETS (+105).

The Nuggets come into this game 13-3 at home with 7 straight wins and should get most of their players in action.

I would wait to make this play until the official word on Murray, but Denver’s 3rd-best Western Conference home record proves how difficult it is to win in the Mile High City. Denver has won 6 of its last 7 overall.

Denver is 1 of the few teams with the creativity and firepower offensively to stay with Boston. The Celtics are 11-5 on the road and are 4-3 in their last 7. Denver’s strength at home is a key reason I’d back the NUGGETS (+105).

Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll take Denver to win outright here instead of playing the 1.5-point spread.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 234.5 (-115).

Boston has gone Under in 2 straight games and is 4-6 O/U in its last 10. Denver is also 4-6 O/U in its last 10 games.

The Celtics recently brought back C Robert Williams, and his presence should help their season-long defensive numbers improve. He should be able to at least somewhat limit 2-time MVP C Nikola Jokic.

Despite the efficiencies, this sky-high total should be relatively difficult to hit. Considering Williams’ impact and recent trends, back the UNDER 234.5 (-115).

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Denver Nuggets at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (30-24) roll into Beantown Friday to play the Boston Celtics (31-25) at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nuggets at Celtics odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Boston has won eight of its past nine games, including six straight with the latest being a 126-91 beatdown of the Nets in Brooklyn as a 10.5-point favorite Wednesday. The Celtics are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last nine games as well.

Denver has won back-to-back home games, beating the Nets 124-104 Sunday and the Knicks 132-115 Tuesday, following a 3-game losing skid. Over their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 7-3 straight up (SU) and 5-4-1 ATS.

This is the first Celtics-Nuggets game this season. The Celtics have won the last three meetings against the Nuggets and have covered four straight in the head-to-head series.

Nuggets at Celtics odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Celtics -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread: Nuggets +5.5 (-110) | Celtics -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nuggets at Celtics key injuries

Nuggets

PG Monte Morris (concussion) out
SG Jamal Murray (knee) out
SG Austin Rivers (hip) probable

Celtics

SG Josh Richardson (trade pending) out
PG Dennis Schroder (trade pending) out

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Nuggets at Celtics odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 112, Nuggets 103

Money line

PASS.

Boston is obviously the right side but the -230 cost is out of my price range for an NBA money line favorite.

Against the spread

BET CELTICS -5.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

They match up well with the Nuggets and have quietly been playing amazing basketball.

Over the past seven games, the Celtics have the best net rating in the Association and by far the best defensive rating (97.5 points per 100 possessions).

Also, the Celtics feature their two All-Star wings Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown in isolation plays and both like to operate in the mid-range, which is where Denver’s defense is vulnerable.

In fact, the Nuggets are 21st in defensive field-goal percentage versus mid-range attempts (per CleaningTheGlass.com) and 24th in paint points per game (PPG) allowed. Plus, Boston runs the fourth-highest volume of isolation plays and Denver has the worst defensive efficiency versus iso-ball.

Boston has a defensively diverse frontcourt that could lessen Denver C Nikola Jokic’s dominance. Celtics C Al Horford and C Robert Williams III bring different things to the table but, together, they give Boston a tough defensive interior.

The bottom line here is the Celtics should have a lot easier time getting their superstars quality looks than the Nuggets.

BET CELTICS +5.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

BACK the UNDER 218.5 (-112) for a small wager.

Both teams are in the bottom-eight of pace, the Under has cashed in five consecutive head-to-head meetings and the absence of Morris is low-key a major loss for Denver’s offense.

Morris is in the 99th percentile of point guards for adjusted on/off net rating at plus-15.6 points per 100 possessions.

For the record, my favorite wager in this game is Boston’s spread but I do LEAN to the UNDER 218.5 (-112).

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Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Boston Celtics (27-26) drop by the Ball Arena Sunday for an afternoon game (3 p.m. ET) with the host Denver Nuggets (34-18). Below, we analyze the Celtics-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Boston wrapped up a seven-game homestand with back-to-back wins and victories in four of its past five games. During the homestand, the Celtics were 4-3 straight up (SU) but just 2-4-1 against the spread (ATS).

Denver has won eight straight and nine of 10 (8-2 ATS) – including two straight against the San Antonio Spurs entering Sunday.

The Nuggets haven’t lost since acquiring PF Aaron Gordon at the trade deadline (March. 28) and have the fourth-best net rating, top rebounding rate and the second-highest effective field goal shooting.

The Celtics beat the Nuggets 113-99 as 2-point home favorites in their first meeting this season Feb. 16.

Celtics at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Celtics +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Nuggets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Celtics +7 (-110) | Nuggets -7 (-110)
Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Celtics at Nuggets: Key injuries

Celtics

SF Jayson Tatum (illness) questionable
SF Jaylen Brown (knee) questionable

Nuggets

PF Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

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Celtics at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 114, Celtics 106

Money line (ML)

PASS even though I like Denver to win this game because the Nuggets (-275) is too steep of a price against a Boston team that’s starting to play better as the season progresses and has won two straight in the head-to-head series.

Furthermore, I think there’s a better than 50% chance Tatum misses today’s game as he’s on the injury report with a non-COVID illness.

Tatum missed time with COVID earlier this season and discussed the difficulty he had returning to game shape. My hunch is that Boston takes it easy with him and sits Tatum for this non-conference matchup.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Denver is fourth in offensive rating and, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Boston is 6-12 SU with minus-3.9 points per 100 possessions differential and the 21st-ranked ATS margin vs. top-10 offenses.

Also, the NUGGETS -7 (-110) score the seventh-most second-chance points per game, the Celtics are 23rd in second-chance points allowed per game, and Denver’s edge in this area should be more noticeable with Gordon on the roster.

BET NUGGETS -7 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 223.5 (-110) because both teams play at a bottom-10 pace in the league, and the Under has cashed in four straight Celtics-Nuggets meetings.

Plus the Celtics don’t really attack the basket, which is where the Nuggets struggle on defense.

Denver has the worst defensive field goal shooting within five feet of the basket, but Boston attempts the eighth-fewest shots within five feet of the basket.

Lastly, both teams take a majority of their shots in the midrange, but Boston is 23rd in defensive mid-range field goal shooting, (according to CleaningTheGlass.com).

BET UNDER 223.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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