Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Celtics (6-3) visit FedEx Forum on Monday to take on the Memphis Grizzlies (7-3). Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Celtics are coming into this game following a solid 15-point road win over the New York Knicks on Saturday. Boston has been hot to start the season and is riding a 2-game win streak.

F Jayson Tatum has been the star for Boston and should be in the MVP conversation. He’s averaging 26.9 points per game and is shooting 45.3% from the field.

Memphis has an MVP candidate of its own in star G Ja Morant. The 4th-year guard is averaging 29 points per game and shooting 51% from the field and 50% from deep.

The Grizzlies had back-to-back losses against the Utah Jazz to end October, but have won 3 straight to start November, including a 103-97 win over the  Washington Wizards on Sunday.

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Celtics at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Celtics -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Grizzlies +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Celtics -3.5 (-117) | Grizzlies +3.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Celtics at Grizzlies key injuries

Celtics

  • None

Grizzlies

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Celtics at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Celtics 115

Moneyline

PASS.

If I can get 3.5 points, then I’d prefer playing that to the moneyline value.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-103).

The Grizzlies are good at many things that matter most when it comes to keeping games close. They rank No. 1 in offensive rebounding rate and No. 14 in turnover rate. On top of that, they sit 12th in effective field goal rate.

This team can do it all. Boston is in a similar situation with both teams struggling to defend, sitting 22nd (Memphis) and 23rd (Boston) in defensive rating.

The Grizzlies were 10-3 ATS as a home underdog last season and have yet to be in that position this season. Considering their strength at home and relative strength in impactful stats, I would back the Grizzlies +3.5 (-103).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 231.5 (-105).

The Celtics have the No. 2 effective field goal rate, and the Grizzlies rebound at a high rate.

With neither team a turnover-heavy side, and both in the middle of the pack in pace, I expect the opportunities each side has to be converted. These teams combined are 11-7-1 O/U this season.

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Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Celtics (50-31) head to the FedExForum Sunday to play the Memphis Grizzlies (56-25) in their regular-season finales. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Celtics vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Boston can clinch the Atlantic Division with a win Sunday whereas the Southwest Division champion Grizzlies are locked into the 2-seed in the Western Conference.

The Celtics had their 3-game winning streak snapped Thursday in a 127-121 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Grizzlies clubbed the New Orleans Pelicans 141-114 Saturday to end a 2-game losing skid.

Boston stomped Memphis 120-107 at home as 2-point favorites without second-leading scorer SF Jaylen Brown March 3. The Celtics are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 visits to Memphis.

Celtics at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Celtics -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Grizzlies +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread: Celtics -5.5 (-105) | Grizzlies +5.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -117)

Celtics at Grizzlies key injuries

Celtics

  • PF Robert Williams III (knee) out

Grizzlies (not yet submitted)

  • None

[tipico]

Celtics at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 119, Grizzlies 107

Money line

PASS.

There’s no way the Celtics (-225) should be this big of a favorite over the Grizzlies (+170) in Memphis unless the oddsmakers or market has a hunch Memphis will be resting a couple of its starters.

You could argue it’s worth it to take a flier on the Grizzlies (+170) in hopes of them sending out their usual starting 5. But, it doesn’t feel like that’ll happen and even if it does the Celtics can still smoke the Grizzlies in Memphis. PASS.

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Against the spread

BET the CELTICS -5.5 (-105) because the odds suggest the Grizzlies +5.5 (-120) will treat this like a preseason game whereas Boston should be trying to get a win.

The Celtics can win the division in coach Ime Udoka’s first year on the job, which is a nice boost of confidence for the locker room.

Also, Boston gets a much easier first-round playoff matchup with a win over Memphis. The Chicago Bulls, who have been sputtering down the stretch, are are the 6-seed in the East while the surging Toronto Raptors are the 5-seed.

Finally, this is a very profitable spot for the Celtics who are 12-7 ATS as 5-to-7-point favorites, 15-7 ATS as road favorites with a plus-7.3 ATS margin and 15-4 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record.

BET the CELTICS -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

PASS because my numbers align closely with the market’s projected total and we still don’t know who’s going to officially suit up for the Grizzlies.

Despite my prediction, the only way I’d get down on the total is by taking the Over because Boston 10-1 O/U in the last 11 games versus winning teams and the Over has cashed in 24 of the last 30 Celtics-Grizzlies meetings, including 3 straight.

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Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (19-20) host the Boston Celtics (21-21) Monday at FedExForum for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Celtics-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Boston snapped a three-game losing skid Sunday by beating the Orlando Magic 112-96 at home; the Celtics made 23 of 54 3-point attempts in the win. The C’s are just 2-4 straight up and against the spread since the All-Star break with two of those losses coming against teams probably heading toward tank mode in the Sacramento Kings and Cleveland Cavaliers.

Memphis split a two-game miniseries with the Golden State Warriors, winning the latest installment 111-103 as a 6.5-point home favorite. The Grizzlies have won two of their last three games.

Boston trampled Memphis 126-107 in the first meeting of the season as a 7-point home favorite. Grizzlies PG Ja Morant missed the game due to a sprained ankle.

Celtics at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Celtics +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Grizzlies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Celtics +2 (-110) | Grizzlies -2 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Celtics at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Celtics

  • PF Tristan Thompson (health and safety protocols) probable
  • PG Kemba Walker (rest) out

Grizzlies

  • PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

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Celtics at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Celtics 111

Money line (ML)

Slight LEAN toward GRIZZLIES (-135) because it’s on the fringe of a playable money line and I don’t hate just taking Memphis to cover as a 2-point favorite and win by at least 3 points instead.

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Against the spread (ATS)

LEAN GRIZZLIES -2 (-110) because again either the spread or money line works here.

Boston has the second-lowest cover rate as the road team at 7-15 ATS, is 3-9 ATS as a road favorite and Memphis is 13-10 ATS at home. Also, the Celtics played Sunday and are just 3-7 ATS in games where they have a rest disadvantage.

The Grizzlies are a tough team to match up against if you’re playing on tired legs. Memphis has a highly aggressive style and is always crashing the offensive glass.

Memphis scores the third-most second-chance points per game and Boston is 25th in second-chance points allowed per game.

Finally, according to Pregame.com, the sharp side of the market (the money column) is backing the Grizzlies and the average joes are taking the Celtics. Obviously, we know which side is usually more profitable.

Again, GRIZZLIES -2 (-110) is the right side here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both teams figure to have success on offense because they each attempt a high volume of mid-range shots and neither team plays good defense vs. mid-range attempts.

Boston attempts the eighth-highest rate of mid-range shots and Memphis has the fourth-worst defensive mid-range field-goal percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

While the Celtics are 26th in defensive mid-range shooting percentage and Memphis takes the third-highest rate of mid-range shots.

LEAN toward OVER 219.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

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