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The Cleveland Cavaliers welcome the Boston Celtics to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse Monday for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Series: Celtics lead 2-1
The Cavaliers lost Game 3 at home 106-93 Saturday as the Celtics regained the series lead and covered the spread as 7.5-point favorites. It was quite the turnaround after Cleveland took Game 2 in Boston 118-94 as a 13-point underdog Thursday. Both games cashed Under tickets — 210.5 and 212.5, respectively.
Cleveland is 1-2 against the spread (ATS) in the series after going 3-4 ATS in its 1st-round against the Orlando Magic. The Cavaliers are 21-23-1 ATS at home this season, including the postseason, according to Teamrankings.com. G Donovan Mitchell is averaging a team-high 29.6 points per game (PPG) for the Cavs, but he is listed as questionable for Game 4 with a calf injury. So, keep an eye on his status.
The Celtics won their 1st-round series in 5 games, covering against the Miami Heat in 4 of them. Boston throttled Cleveland in the opener of this series, winning by 25 as a 12.5-point favorite (120-95). The Celtics are 3-0 ATS on the road in the playoffs and 22-19-3 ATS on the season, postseason included. G Jaylen Brown leads Boston with 24.1 PPG in the playoffs.
Celtics at Cavaliers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:34 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Celtics -330 (bet $330 to win $100) | Cavaliers +265 (bet $100 to win $265)
- Against the spread: Celtics -8 (-114) | Cavaliers +8 (-106)
- Over/Under (O/U): 206 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Celtics at Cavaliers key injuries
Celtics
- C Luke Kornet (calf) probable
- C Kristaps Porzingis (calf) out
Cavaliers
- C Jarrett Allen (rib) questionable
- G Donovan Mitchell (calf) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Celtics at Cavaliers picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 105, Cavaliers 99
Moneyline
PASS.
The Celtics (-330) are the better team and have a few blowout victories in this series. However, at this price, there’s no value in taking them to win outright. The Cavaliers have some value as +265 underdogs, but the spread is the better way to back the home side — as long as Mitchell plays.
Against the spread
LEAN CAVALIERS +8 (-106).
The Cavaliers are just 4-6 ATS in their 10 postseason games, but they are 3-2 ATS at home. Cleveland also responded very well to the Game 1 blowout, winning and covering in Game 2. The Cavs were 2-1 straight up following a loss in the 1st round.
The Celtics were 1-2 ATS against the Cavs in the regular season. They shot 51.2% (41-for-80) against one of the league’s most efficient defenses in Game 3. Expect regression there and back the home side to keep things close.
Again, this all depends on Mitchell’s availability, but take CAVALIERS +8 (-106).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 206 (-108).
The losing side has been held below 100 points in all 3 games of this series. There hasn’t been a game in which both teams topped 95.
The Celtics and Cavs both have elite defenses. The Celtics allowed more than 95 in just 2 of their 8 postseason games. The Cavs held their opponent Under 95 in 4 of their 10 playoff games.
Both teams sat in the top 7 in the NBA in terms of regular-season defensive rating. The Cavs are 4-6 O/U on the postseason, and the Celtics are 3-5 O/U. Expect those defenses to continue to step up.
Back UNDER 206 (-108).
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