Cavaliers Warriors odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (27-4) take on the Golden State Warriors (16-15) Monday. Tip-off from Chase Center is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Cavaliers vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cavs lead 1-0

The Cavs just keep winning. The latest was a 149-135 thrashing of the Denver Nuggets on the road Friday. G Donovan Mitchell (33 points), G Darius Garland (25), F Evan Mobley (26) and C Jarrett Allen (22) all eclipsed 20 points. The fact that this team nearly hit 150 points in altitude is insane.

The Warriors snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 109-105 victory Saturday against the Phoenix Suns. F Jonathan Kuminga came off the bench and dropped 34 points with 9 boards. G Stephen Curry shot just 9-for-22 (4-for-13 from deep) but had 22 points, 6 boards and 6 dimes.

Cavaliers at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Warriors +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers -4.5 (-105) | Warriors +4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cavaliers at Warriors key injuries

Cavaliers

F Isaac Okoro (shoulder) out

Warriors

G Moses Moody (knee) probable
G Gary Payton II (calf) out
G Brandin Podziemski (abdominal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Cavaliers at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 125, Warriors 109

Moneyline

I’m going to skip the ML and take TRAYCE JACKSON-DAVIS OVER 10.5 POINTS (-115). He has 11+ points in 5 straight games. Cleveland’s front line is no joke, but he put 15 on the Minnesota Timberwolves and C Rudy Gobert in that 5-game stretch.

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Against the spread

The Cavs are rollin’, and they have won 3 straight matchups. They won 118-110 at Chase last season. The Warriors are just 3-7 ATS in the last 10 in this matchup, and the Cavs are a cover machine. While they’re 27-4 overall, they’re 22-9 ATS.

Take the CAVALIERS -4.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Cavs are 8-2 O/U in their last 10, while Golden State is 3-7. The Over has cashed in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Warriors will get up for this game and approach the 110 needed to cash an Over.

Take the OVER 230.5 (-110).

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Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (22-23) visit the Cleveland Cavaliers (28-18) Friday. Tip-off from Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Cavaliers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Golden State is coming off a 121-118 loss in overtime Thursday vs. the Boston Celtics. The Warriors’ bench struggles continued as they combined for just 10 points. Four starters scored 20 or more points and F Draymond Green was just one assist shy of a triple-double. Golden State won 106-101 when these teams bet on Nov. 11 in California.

The Cavaliers fell for the 4th time in their last 7 games when they lost 115-114 at the Memphis Grizzlies Wednesday. Cleveland’s uncharacteristic sloppiness with the ball led to 16 turnovers (compared to 8 for Memphis) in the loss.

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Warriors at Cavaliers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Cavaliers -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +6.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Cavaliers key injuries

Warriors

Not yet submitted

Cavaliers

G Donovan Mitchell (groin) questionable
F Dean Wade (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 116, Warriors 113

Moneyline

AVOID.

When these two teams last played on Nov. 11, it took a 40-point effort from G Stephen Curry to beat the Cavaliers — and that will be harder on the road Friday. Curry is still warming back up after an injury and will be just 1 day removed from an OT loss vs. Boston Thursday, so this will be a hard game for Golden State (+225) to win.

The Cavaliers (-270) should win, but there is no value on that line.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS +6.5 (-110).

The Warriors have been terrible ATS on the road, especially against good teams, but this is a game that is winnable for Golden State. The Warriors put up a phenomenal fight on the road against Boston Thursday and will do the same against Cleveland Friday.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 227.5 (-110).

The Warriors have had their fair share of struggles this season but are very consistent in hitting the Over when Curry is in the lineup. Both teams have too much offensive firepower for me to suggest leaning the Under.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (22-17) roll into the Chase Center Sunday to play the Golden State Warriors (29-9) in Klay Thompson‘s first game back since the 2019 NBA Finals after being sidelined with multiple leg injuries. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Cavaliers vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Cleveland has alternated between winning and losing over the past four games with the latest being a 114-101 victory at the Portland Trail Blazers Friday, easily covering as 6-point road favorites.

In the last 14 days, the Cavs are 3-4 straight-up (SU), 2-4-1 ATS and 4-3 O/U with the 12th-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-4.1 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Golden State has lost back-to-back road games at the Dallas Mavericks 99-82 Wednesday and down several starters at the New Orleans Pelicans 101-96 Thursday.

Over the past two weeks, the Warriors are 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS and 2-3 O/U with the 17th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-1.9 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

Golden State has won six straight regular-season meetings with Cleveland (5-1 ATS), which includes a 104-89 beatdown earlier this season as 9.5-point road favorites.

Cavaliers at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Cavaliers +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Warriors -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +8.5 (-108) | Warriors -8.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Cavaliers at Warriors key injuries

Cavaliers

SG Isaac Okoro (elbow) out

Warriors

C James Wiseman (knee) out

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Cavaliers at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 109, Cavaliers 105

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Cavaliers (+290) because I like Cleveland plus the points, and I really like the fat money line payout.

However, with the return of Klay, we’ll likely see the Warriors (-380) roll past opponents shortly. Obviously, even before Klay’s comeback, Golden State has played like one of the best teams in the NBA.

In fact, the Warriors have the best winning percentage (9-3 SU) and non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-9.8 points per 100 possessions) versus teams in the top-10 of adjusted net rating (CTG).

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the CAVALIERS +8.5 (-108) because the oddsmakers are laying a trap for all the Warriors -8.5 (-112) bettors.

According to Pregame.com, Golden State was a 10-point favorite on the look-ahead line, and this number has been steamed down even though more than 85% of the action is on the Warriors. This type of reverse line movement is suspicious, to say the least.

Also, oddsmakers are projecting a low-scoring game as the total is only 216.5. You’d think with the return of Klay that this total would be set somewhere in the low 220s. If sportsbooks are predicting fewer points then it’s hard not taking an 8.5-point underdog in this spot.

Furthermore, I don’t put much stock into Golden State’s double-digit victory over Cleveland earlier this season because the Cavs were missing bigs Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley.

Cleveland’s crazy length and interior size allow it to extend the perimeter defense because the Cavs guards know it has awesome rim protection behind them. Allen and Mobley being active for this Cavaliers-Warriors meeting should greatly improve Cleveland’s defense.

For example, the Cavs’ defensive effective field goal percentage is 3.3% better with Mobley on the floor and the Cavs allow 3.0 fewer points per 100 possessions when Allen is out there (CTG).

BET the CAVALIERS +8.5 (-108).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 216.5 (-112) for a half-unit because the Warriors are 6-12-2 O/U as a home favorite, the Cavs are 6-9 O/U as a road underdog, both teams play more to the Under in non-conference games and since there are Under-friendly betting splits.

According to Pregame.com, this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game with more money being on the Under but more action coming in on the Over. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.

The reasons I only “LEAN” to the UNDER 216.5 (-112) are that Cleveland’s spread is my favorite wager in this game, and both teams shoot it really well.

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