Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (40-21) travel to meet the Atlanta Hawks (27-34) Wednesday at State Farm Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Cavaliers lead 3-0; Cleveland won the most recent meeting 116-95 in Atlanta on Jan. 20, covering as a 2-point favorite as the Under (231.5) cashed.

The Cavaliers won an emotional 105-104 game Tuesday night against the No. 1 seed in the East, the Boston Celtics. Cleveland was playing without leading scorer G Donovan Mitchell, who will also miss this game, due to a sore left knee which required a platelet-rich plasma injection.

Cleveland has won and covered 2 of the past 3 games while cashing the Under in all 3 games without Mitchell. G Max Strus (knee) also missed Tuesday’s game, and C Evan Mobley (ankle) suffered an ankle injury in the 3rd quarter. The center was reportedly on crutches after the game, so his status for Atlanta in doubt.

The Hawks have won and covered 3 of the past 5 games, while going a respectable 7-3 straight up (SU) in the past 10 at home, including a 6-3 against the spread (ATS) run in the past 9 at State Farm Arena.

Cavaliers at Hawks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Hawks -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Cavaliers +2.5 (-112) | Hawks -2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Cavaliers at Hawks key injuries

Cavaliers

  • G Donovan Mitchell (knee) out
  • C Evan Mobley (ankle) questionable
  • G Max Strus (knee) questionable

Hawks

  • G Kobe Bufkin (toe) questionable
  • G Trae Young (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Cavaliers at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 109, Hawks 106

Moneyline

The CAVALIERS (+114) are a risky play on the road, but worth a look. They were extremely risky in Cleveland Tuesday night, and beat the best team in the NBA down starters Mitchell and Strus. They also lost a 3rd started midway through the 3rd quarter with Mobley exiting. Still, Cleveland managed to overcome, showing its depth. Dean Wade came off the bench for 23 points and 8 boards in 21 minutes, hitting 6 triples in the process.

Cleveland has beaten the Hawks (-134) in all 3 meetings this season, and it is coming in with a lot of confidence after overcoming the Celtics.

Against the spread

The CAVALIERS +2.5 (-112) are the play if you’re a little more on the conservative side, or you feel the Hawks -2.5 (-108) are going to win by just 1 or 2 points.

Cleveland has covered 4 in a row in this series, and 5 of the past 6 meetings. But if you like the Cavs, they’re a better value on the moneyline.

Over/Under

UNDER 216 (-108) is the play with Mitchell, and his team-best 28.0 PPG on the shelf. In Cleveland’s big win against Boston, the Under cashed rather easily. The total has gone low in all 3 games for the Cavs without Spida in the lineup.

The Hawks hit the Over in the win at MSG against the Knicks on Tuesday, but the Under is 5-2 in the past 7 outings. Both of these teams played Tuesday night, and then hopped a plane for the ATL. We could see some tired legs, especially in the 1st half.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (38-24) battle the Atlanta Hawks (29-30) Friday. Tip from State Farm Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Cavaliers beat the Hawks 114-102 on Nov. 21, covering as 3-point road favorites as the Under (227) hit.

Cleveland will be on the second night of a back-to-back after losing 115-109 at home to the Denver Nuggets Thursday, failing to cover as a 3-point favorite. The Cavaliers are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 3 games yet 6-3 ATS over their last 9.

The Hawks last played on Feb. 15, losing 122-102 to the New York Knicks as 3.5-point home favorites. They are 2-4 ATS over their last 6 games. Atlanta is 26-33 ATS and 33-26 O/U this season.

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Cavaliers at Hawks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Hawks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +1.5 (-118) | Hawks -1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cavaliers at Hawks key injuries

Cavaliers

  • Not yet submitted

Hawks

  • F John Collins (concussion) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Cavaliers at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 117, Hawks 113

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ll take the 1-point spread with the road underdog here instead of the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET CAVALIERS +1.5 (-118).

The Hawks failed to cover 2 in a row prior to the All-Star break and are 2-4 ATS over their last 6 games. They are 2-2 ATS over their last 4 home games as well. Cleveland is a strong 12-8-3 ATS following a loss.

With Collins out, the Hawks’ undermanned frontcourt could struggle against one of the better frontcourts in the NBA. The Cavs are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games. Considering the trends, back the CAVALIERS +1.5 (-118).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 227.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers have gone Over in 3 straight games and in 4 of their last 5, scoring at least 112 points in 2 of their last 3. The Hawks are 1-1 O/U in their last 2 outings and have scored at least 116 points in 3 of their last 4 games.

Both teams have had strong offenses over the last few weeks. Atlanta is 21-11 O/U as a favorite as well. Back the OVER 227.5 (-105).

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (39-37) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (42-24) Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game at the State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Cavaliers vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Cleveland has lost 4 of 5 and 6 straight against the spread (ATS) with the latest being a 120-112 defeat Wednesday at home to the Dallas Mavericks.

Atlanta has won 4 of 5 including 3 consecutive games (4-1 ATS), the most recent a 136-118 beatdown of the Thunder Wednesday in Oklahoma City.

The Hawks are 2-1 straight up (SU) and ATS versus the Cavs this season and the total is 2-1 Over/Under (O/U).

Cavaliers at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:17 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cavaliers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Hawks -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Cavaliers +5.5 (-105) | Hawks -5.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 228.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Cavaliers at Hawks key injuries

Cavaliers (not yet submitted)

  • Jarrett Allen (finger) out
  • PF Evan Mobley (ankle) out

Hawks (not yet submitted)

  • PF John Collins (foot) out
  • SF Danilo Gallinari (elbow) questionable

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Cavaliers at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 119, Hawks 116

Money line

SPRINKLE on CAVALIERS (+200), if at all, because Cleveland’s spread is the sharper play since both teams are playing in the second of a back-to-back but the Hawks are a team worth fading in this spot.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Atlanta is 0-3 SU in games where both teams are playing with no rest days with the second-WORST adjusted net rating (minus-10.7).

Also, Cleveland’s offense showed up in Wednesday’s loss to Dallas and the Cavs outscored the Mavs in 2 of the 4 quarters, but lost the third quarter 39-22 to key the defeat.

If Cleveland can stay hot from the field then the Cavs will certainly cover the spread and perhaps steal this game outright.

Again, my preferred play is Cleveland plus the points but there’s a little value on the CAVALIERS (+200).

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the CAVALIERS +5.5 (-105) instead of or heavier than their ML because the Hawks -5.5 (-120) have the WORST ATS margin (minus-13.3) in games where Atlanta and its opponent are both in the second of a back-to-back, per CTG.

Furthermore, this is a more profitable spot for the Cavs who are 9-5 ATS as 5-to-7-point underdogs whereas the Hawks are just 4-4 ATS as 5-to-7-point favorites.

On top of that, Cleveland should be at peak motivation considering its 2 games behind the Toronto Raptors for the sixth and final non-play-in seed in the East.

The CAVALIERS PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” towards the Over 228.5 (-115) because Cleveland’s offense lit up a good Dallas defense Wednesday and Atlanta is putting up 119.9 points per game in the last two weeks.

However, we are getting by far the worst of the number since the Cavaliers-Hawks total opened at 221.5 and has been steamed up a touchdown to the current number. At this point, there would be more value in fading the line movement regardless of how I feel about the matchup.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (26-30) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (35-22) Tuesday for a 7:30 p.m. tip-off at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Cavaliers vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Cleveland had its four-game win streak snapped by getting crushed 103-93 by the Sixers in Philly Saturday as a 2.5-point road underdog. The Cavs are 4-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

Atlanta has lost back-to-back games to the San Antonio Spurs (136-121 Friday) and to the Boston Celtics (105-95 Super Bowl Sunday). The Hawks are 2-4 SU and ATS in the last 14 days.

These teams are split 1-1 SU and ATS in their season series with the road team winning and covering both.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 15 breakdown

Cavaliers at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cavaliers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Hawks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Cavaliers +1.5 (-115) | Hawks -1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Cavaliers at Hawks key injuries

Cavaliers

  • PF Lauri Markkanen (ankle) out

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) questionable
  • PF John Collins (foot) out

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Cavaliers at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 110, Cavaliers 106

Money line

“LEAN” to the HAWKS (-120) against my better judgment because there’s some puzzling reverse line movement heading in Atlanta’s direction despite the Hawks missing Collins and their current form.

According to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the action is on the Cavaliers but they’ve gone from -145 favorites on the opener down to the current price. It’s a red flag whenever the oddsmakers make the more popular side cheaper.

Also, the Hawks play well at home against tough teams. They’re 7-3 SU at home versus teams in the top 10 of efficiency differential with a plus-5.1 adjusted net rating (ranked fifth) and plus-3.9 ATS margin (ranked fourth), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Cleveland also has a below-average defensive efficiency versus pick-and-roll (PnR) action through the ball handler, which is a problem when facing a PnR expert in Atlanta All-Star PG Trae Young.

However, it’s only a “LEAN” to the HAWKS (-120) because they are without their second-best player in Collins and the Cavs have a much better net rating.

Against the spread

PASS because Atlanta’s money line is only 13 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Hawks -1.5 (-107).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 219.5 (-112) because there’s been a sharp line move heading south of the total, both play at a below-average pace and the Under has cashed in five of the past six Cavaliers-Hawks meetings.

This total opened at 222 but has been steamed down to the current number due to one-way betting traffic towards the Under.

Lastly, two of the three referees assigned to this game have officiated more Unders and the officiating crew has a combined 46-58 O/U record.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (19-12) travel to the Big Peach for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (14-15) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Cavaliers vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Cleveland has won six consecutive games and has covered 14 straight with the latest being a 119-90 beatdown of an undermanned Milwaukee Bucks last night.

Over the past two weeks, the Cavs are 6-2 straight-up (SU), 8-0 ATS and 3-5 O/U with the best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-17.0 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Atlanta got crushed Friday by the Denver Nuggets 133-115 as 3.5-point home favorites. The Hawks are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the 17th-ranked net rating (minus-2.2 points per 100 possessions) in the last 14 days per CTG.

The Cavs upset the Hawks 101-95 as 8-point home underdogs in their first meeting of the season Oct. 23 and the Under cashed on the 223.5-point total.

Cavaliers at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cavaliers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Hawks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +2.5 (-107) | Hawks -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Cavaliers at Hawks key injuries

Cavaliers

  • PF Evan Mobley (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Isaac Okoro (health and safety protocols) out

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) questionable
  • PG Trae Young (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

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Cavaliers at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 112, Hawks 104

Money line

“LEAN” to the CAVALIERS (+120) just because I think Cleveland plus the points has slightly better value. But, I’ll “sprinkle” on the underdog’s money line in this spot.

Trae Young is the centerpiece of Atlanta’s offense and grades in the 86th percentile in non-garbage time on/off net rating and 100th percentile in offensive efficiency at plus-16.7 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

Furthermore, the Cavs have the second-best non-garbage time net rating on the road (plus-7.2 points per 100 possessions) and the best spread differential (plus-12.4) per CTG. Also, Cleveland’s second-best defensive efficiency should have an easier team vs. Atlanta’s offense sans Trae.

I’d actually argue that the “wrong team is favored”. We’re getting value solely based on the Cavs playing the second of a back-to-back and the gambler’s fallacy of “Cleveland can’t cover its 15th straight, right?”

However, I still prefer Cleveland getting points, but I’ll “LEAN” to the CAVALIERS (+120) for a quarter-unit.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the CAVALIERS +2.5 (-107) heavier than, or instead of, Cleveland’s money line. Especially if you’re betting earlier in the day, which I’d advise against.

The NBA-COVID outbreak has been the league’s main storyline this week, and I propose waiting until you actually see who’s on the floor for each team before making a wager.

That said, I think we’ll get line value with the CAVALIERS +2.5 (-107) even if Bogdanovic plays because Cleveland is ballin’ lately.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 220.5 (-112) because the Under has cashed in five consecutive Cavaliers-Hawks meetings and Atlanta is missing its offensive focal point. Plus, as previously mentioned, Cleveland has one of the best defenses in the NBA and the Cavs are 11-20 O/U this season.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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