We get an IBF World Super Middleweight title bout between Caleb Plant and Caleb Truax at Shrine Auditorium and Expo Hall in Los Angeles Saturday. The card is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET in the first FOX PBC Fight Night of 2021. Below, we break down the Plant-Truax odds, with boxing picks and predictions.
Plant vs. Truax: Fight odds
Caleb Plant: -3500 (bet $3,500 to win $100) | Caleb Truax: +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)
Plant vs. Truax: Tale of the tape
Caleb Plant
Plant (20-0) puts his unblemished record on the line against Truax (31-4-2) in a battle of 168 pounders. Both stand 6-foot-1, with Truax holding a one-inch reach advantage. Plant might have the advantage in age, as he is a youthful 28 as opposed to Truax, who enters at 37 and supposedly in the twilight of his career. In 20 career pro bouts Plant has 12 KOs, or a 60% clip, while Truax has 19 knockouts to his name, or 51.3%.
“Sweethands” Plant, took care of Vincent Feigenbutz via TKO in Round 10 at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville last time we saw him Feb. 15, 2020. Before that was a third-round TKO against Mike Lee July 20, 2019. The last time he went the distance was Jan. 13, 2019, when he snagged the belt from Jose Uzcategui, winning the 12-round bout by unanimous decision. Five of his previous seven fights went the distance.
Caleb Truax
Truax picked up a majority decision win over David Basajjamivule in Minneapolis Jan. 25, 2020. He won this IBF super middleweight belt Dec. 9, 2017, in London against James DeGale, but had it taken back by DeGale April 7, 2018. This might be the 37-year-old’s last chance at a strap, and he enters as a decisive underdog against Plant. Truax has gone 2-1 across his past three fights with a no-contest against Peter Quillin. Four of his past five bouts have gone the distance, with his only stoppage against Fabiano Pena Aug. 24, 2018.
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Plant vs. Truax odds, predictions and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
Plant (-3500) as a humongous favorite, and there is never any way to justify risking 35 times your potential return. You also can’t take the heavy underdog Truax (+1000) on the 3-way line. He is at the tail end of his career and will be put out to pasture by the rising star Plant. Let’s get more specific and pinpoint the method of victory, as well as round-block betting.
PLANT BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-250) will cost you a pretty penny, but that’s as good a bet as any in terms of method of victory. This one isn’t going the distance, and Plant is very confident of an early finish.
Truax is a veteran, and he’ll make Plant work for it. As such, I do not expect an early bow out from the 37-year-old, so I generally like to do a three-block wager in fights like these. PLANT IN ROUND 7 (+900), PLANT IN ROUND 8 (+900) and PLANT IN ROUND 9 (+1000) is a good way to go.
Yes, you will lose two of those ends, but if the fight finishes in Plant’s favorite in Rounds 7-9, you will be well ahead.
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