Big East Tournament: Butler vs. Xavier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Butler vs. Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The ninth-seeded Butler Bulldogs (13-18) and eighth-seeded Xavier Musketeers (18-12) battle Wednesday in a Big East Tournament first-round game. Tip-off from Madison Square Garden in New York is slated for 4:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Butler vs. Xavier odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Butler went 6-14 over 20 Big East games. The Bulldogs faced Xavier twice (Jan. 7, Feb. 2) and dropped both games. Slow-tempo BU is solid on defense, especially along the perimeter, but has struggled down the stretch. The Bulldogs are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.

Xavier shot a combined 50.5% over its regular-season victories against Butler. The fast-paced Musketeers are solid at both ends of the floor and usually leverage an advantage in free-throw attempts.

However, XU also scuffled over the final weeks of the regular season as it went 2-7 over its last nine outings. Xavier went 8-11 in Big East play.

See alsoFerris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

Butler vs. Xavier odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Butler +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Xavier -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Butler +5.5 (-120) | Xavier -5.5 (-113)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 131.5 (O: -113 | U: -120)

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Butler vs. Xavier odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 70, Butler 60

Money line

Don’t be fooled by the close seeds here — Xavier is the much better team. The second meeting in the regular season saw XU defeat BU 68-66, but Xavier led that game by 15 midway through the second half.

Xavier is the better shooting team and does better in denying good looks at the other end. However, even with slumps in those areas, the Musketeers figure to have an advantage in just about any other key area of comparison. Differences in rebounds, turnovers and free throws add up.

Do they add up to a 75% win expectancy, thereby creating some profit margin on this ML tag? Yes. It’ll take a certain bankroll level to leverage the value, but that value is there. BACK XAVIER (-270).

Against the spread

Butler is 1-3 against Quad 1 opponents; Xavier is 5-9. The Musketeers are the team that is more March-ready.

TAKE XAVIER -5.5 (-113).

Over/Under

STEER CLEAR of a well-made number.

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Butler vs. Xavier odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Butler Bulldogs vs. Xavier Musketeers odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 10-seed Butler Bulldogs (9-14, 8-12 Big East) meet the No. 7-seed Xavier Musketeers (13-7, 6-7) in the first round of the Big East Tournament at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday for a 6 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Butler-Xavier odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Butler vs. Xavier: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Butler +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Xavier -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Butler +6.5 (-110) | Xavier -6.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Butler vs. Xavier: Three things to know

  1. Butler was humbled at Creighton Saturday, falling 93-73, in its worst loss of the season. Still, they’re 2-1 SU/ATS across the past three, including a win at home over Villanova. The Bulldogs are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS across the past five away from home, however.
  2. Xavier is also looking to bounce back after a pair of road losses to Georgetown and Marquette. The last time these teams met in Cincinnati, the Musketeers picked up a 63-51 win against the Bulldogs as 11-point favorites. XU also won 68-55 at Butler on Jan. 30 as two-point underdogs.
  3. The Under is 3-1-1 in Butler’s past five games against teams with a winning overall record, while Xavier is 3-1-1 in its past five overall and 3-1-1 in the past five following a straight-up loss. The Under cashed in both regular-season meetings between these teams, too.

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Butler vs. Xavier: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Xavier 67, Butler 63

Money line (ML)

While Xavier (-300) picked up wins and covers in each of the two regular-season meetings against Butler (+240), the Musketeers have won just twice in the past seven games overall. You cannot risk three times your potential return on a team that is ice-cold, especially in a game that isn’t on their home court. PASS.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BUTLER +6.5 (-110) is worth a looking catching three buckets from skidding Xavier -6.5 (+110) in this neutral-site affair. Butler has covered two of the past three outings, and they’re 5-4 ATS across the past nine. Xavier is 2-7 ATS during the same stretch.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 133.5 (-110) is the best play on the board in this Big East first-round matchup. Neither of these teams are playing with a lot of confidence at the offensive end, and the Under cashed in each of the two regular-season meetings. There are very few reasons to go with the Over.

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