Villanova at Butler odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Villanova Wildcats at Butler Bulldogs sports odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 6 Villanova Wildcats (15-3 overall, 10-2 Big East) face-off with Butler Bulldogs (8-13, 7-11) Sunday in a Big East battle at Hinkle Fieldhouse. The tip-off is set for noon ET. Below, we analyze the Villanova-Butler odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Villanova at Butler: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:51 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Villanova -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Butler +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Villanova -11.5 (-110) | Butler +11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 128.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Villanova at Butler: Three things to know

  1. The Wildcats avenged one of their conference losses by routing St. John’s 81-58 as 11-point home favorites Tuesday to win their second straight and fourth out of five games (2-2-1 ATS).
  2. Butler snapped a three-game losing skid by upsetting Seton Hall 61-52 as a 7.5-point home favorite and is 2-3 overall (2-3 ATS) in its last five games. The Bulldogs are in the basement of the Big East in several team categories including points per game, rebounds per game and field-goal percentage.
  3. Villanova has won six of its last seven (6-1 ATS) against Butler, including an 85-66 beatdown as a 12.5-point home favorite earlier this season.

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Villanova at Butler: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Villanova 79, Butler 62

Money line (ML)

PASS because Villanova (-800) is the right side, but you’d have to be insane to pay that kind of vig for an outright victory. Just bet the spread instead of risking eight times your return.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Villanova is one of the most efficient offenses (fifth in offensive rating) and best shooting teams in the country (38th in true shooting percentage). The only reason Butler isn’t giving up more points per game is that it uses ultra-slow pace (332nd in pace of play) to hide a weak defense.

It makes sense—fewer possessions for the offense should equal fewer points—and this is all because Butler ranks 218th in defensive rating and 272nd in opponent’s true shooting percentage.

All the basketball edges Villanova has means Butler would need really poor effort and execution by the Wildcats for the Bulldogs to even cover here. TAKE VILLANOVA -11.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

As ridiculous as this sounds, it would appear as bookmakers aren’t adjusting the recent results between Villanova-Butler. The Over has cashed in three straight meetings and seven of the past eight contests.

Also, my read is that the Wildcats are motivated to finish their regular season strong after recent conference upsets, so I am expecting Villanova won’t take its foot off the gas. BET OVER 128.5 (-115) for a half-unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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St. John’s at Butler odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s St. John’s Red Storm at Butler Bulldogs odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Butler Bulldogs (6-10, 5-8 Big East) host the St. John’s Red Storm (13-7, 7-6) in a Big East battle at Hinkle Fieldhouse Tuesday. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the St. John’s-Butler college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

St. John’s at Butler: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: St. John’s +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Butler -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: St. John’s +1.5 (-110) | Butler -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

St. John’s at Butler: Three things to know

  1. The Johnnies are playing their best basketball in years under second-year head coach Mike Anderson. St. John’s is on a six-game winning streak, including a 70-59 victory over then-No. 3 Villanova as a 9-point home underdog Wednesday. The Johnnies have won four road games against conference opponents during their win streak.
  2. Butler snapped a three-game losing skid by beating and covering 68-58 at home against DePaul Saturday. The Bulldogs are 3-3 straight up and 4-2 ATS in their last six games but have shot below 40% from the field in those games.
  3. St. John’s-Butler was originally scheduled for mid-December but was postponed due to COVID-19 issues. These teams met Jan. 12 and the Johnnies clocked the Bulldogs 69-57 as 1.5-point home favorites.

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St. John’s at Butler: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

St. John’s 72, Butler 60

Money line (ML)

Butler plays at one of the slowest tempos in the nation and its assist percentage is mediocre, which tells me there isn’t a lot of ball movement for the offense. A slow-paced, methodical offense isn’t a good fit against the Johnnies’ aggressive on-the-ball defense that includes full-court presses.

In their first matchup, the Bulldogs lost the turnover battle 16-8 and connected on just 25% of their 3-point attempts compared to the Johnnies’ 35% 3-point percentage. These aren’t random occurrences as much as it’s how St. John’s has played recently.

Over their six-game winning streak, the Johnnies are forcing 15.3 turnovers per game and opponents are shooting just 30.5% from 3-point range. St. John’s freshman PG Posh Alexander leads the Big East in steals per game (2.6) and has been on a tear lately, menacing the opposing team’s point guards.

Each team is going in a different direction and I’m heading toward the Red Storm Tuesday. TAKE ST. JOHN’S (+105) for 1.5 units.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS ON THE SPREAD unless it gets up to St. John’s +2.5.

Over/Under (O/U)

St. John’s games were going Over regularly but over the past 10 games, the Johnnies are 4-5-1 O/U. A lot of it has to do with St. John’s defense but its half-court offense is starting to gel.

The market is hammering the Under currently and I’d rather follow the money than fade it. Butler’s offense cannot take advantage of an aggressive St. John’s defense and the Johnnies’ offense goes missing for stretches.

It’s only a lean but, I’d BET UNDER 138.5 (-110) for a tiny wager if any on the total.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Butler at St. John’s odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Butler Bulldogs at St. John’s Red Storm sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The St. John’s Red Storm (6-6, 1-5 Big East) host the Butler Bulldogs (3-6, 2-4) Tuesday at Carnesecca Arena for a Big East battle. The tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Butler-St. John’s college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Butler at St. John’s: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Butler +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | St. John’s -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Butler +1.5 (-110) | St. John’s -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Butler at St. John’s: Three things to know

  1. Butler has lost three of four including a 72-60 loss at home to UConn its last time out Jan. 9. The Bulldogs have an anemic offense that ranks 312th in points per game and 254th in field-goal percentage despite being an above-average 3-point shooting team (89th in 3-point percentage).
  2. St. John’s has lost four of its last five games with the previous two coming on the road, and the latest was a 97-79 beatdown by Creighton this past Saturday. The Johnnies have Swiss cheese defense: 326th in opponent’s points per game, 334th opponent’s field-goal shooting and 318th opponent’s 3-point shooting.
  3. The Bulldogs beat the Johnnies in both St. John’s-Butler games last season (1-1 ATS)—a 77-55 win at home in March 2020 and a 60-58 win at St. John’s in Dec. 2019—and have won five of their last seven meetings (4-3 ATS).

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Butler at St. John’s: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

St. John’s 79, Butler 71

Money line (ML)

St. John’s has one of the worst defenses in the country, however, Butler doesn’t have an offense that can take advantage of that.

The Bulldogs have the worst effective field-goal percentage in the Big East, the 270th ranked true shooting percentage (which takes into account free throw shooting), the 244th-highest offensive rating and their defensive rating is even worse.

When you look under the Johnnies’ hood it’s not much prettier but, St. John’s is a perfect 5-0 at home and Butler is 0-3 in road games. That’s enough for me to BACK ST. JOHN’S (-125) for 1 unit to win outright.

Against the spread (ATS)

PASS ON THE SPREAD. I’d rather spend extra for a straight-up St. John’s win than fuss with them covering any number.

Two readily available ATS trends I’ve seen can give us confidence backing St. John’s: The home team has covered 10 of the last 11 Butler-St. John’s meetings, and the favorite is 8-3 ATS in those games (Covers.com).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS ON THE TOTAL with a lean on the OVER 142.5 (-110). The O/U trends point in opposite directions for both teams with Butler games trending Under and St. John’s games trending Over.

Furthermore, these teams play at completely different paces: Butler plays at the 335th-fastest pace while St. John’s pace ranks at 12th. Since I’m on St. John’s to win outright, I figure the game will be played at the Johnnies’ tempo but, I don’t have a strong enough feel to put cash on it.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Butler at Villanova odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Butler Bulldogs at Villanova Wildcats sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Butler Bulldogs (1-0 overall, 0-0 Big East) visit the Villanova Wildcats (5-1, 1-1) in a 7 p.m. ET Big East battle at Finneran Pavilion Wednesday. Below, we analyze the Butler-Villanova college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Villanova is No. 6 in the Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Butler at Villanova: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Butler +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Villanova -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Butler +12.5 (-110) | Villanova -12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 131.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Butler at Villanova: Three things to know

  1. Butler escaped its Nov. 25 opener vs. Western Michigan with a 4-point 66-62 win. The Bulldogs were nearly undone by a 55% shooting performance (effective field-goal percentage) by the Broncos and failed to cover an 18.5-point spread. The Bulldogs have had their last four games wiped out after a player tested positive for COVID-19, so the Bulldogs come into this one on a 20-day layoff.
  2. Villanova’s 5-1 start has included four against the spread wins, and that includes three in a row. The Wildcats have displayed solid ability to score inside and out and with notable contributions from veterans and youngsters alike. ‘Nova ranks in the top-third of all teams on both offense (77.2 points per game) and defense (67.0 PPG allowed), and four players are averaging over 12 PPG.
  3. The ‘Cats and ‘Dogs split a pair of games last season, with each side winning at home. Villanova beat Butler 76-61 in last year’s game at Finneran Pavilion (Jan. 21). Since 2018, VU is 5-1 straight up and 5-0-1 against the spread against BU.

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Butler at Villanova: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Villanova 68, Butler 64

Money line (ML)

With Butler having a 20-day layoff, there is no direct comparison, of course. The Bulldogs were solid last season on long-ish layoffs (6-plus days). Under head coach LaVall Jordan, Butler has been a decent early-season team. BU’s struggles against Western Michigan — especially on the glass and in field-goal defense — pop as uncharacteristic. In that game, BU was just 5-for-20 from distance, while the Broncos were a robust 9-for-18.

A straight up win isn’t likely, but the price here has some value: BACK BUTLER (+650).

Against the spread (ATS)

Las year’s meeting at VU was a closer game than what was indicated by the final score. This 12.5-point tag is the largest in the series since 2014. Let’s peg it as out of bounds by a possession or more.

Prior to its shaky game against WMU, Butler had been 9-3-2 ATS over its previous 14 November-December games. TAKE THE BULLDOGS +12.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Both of last year’s meetings played to the Over, and the Over is 7-1 in the last eight series meetings.

PASS ON THIS 131.5 TOTAL. The Over is the lean and 130 would be the trigger, but there’s likely no value on the current tag.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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