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The Buffalo Bulls (3-5, 3-1 MAC) and Toledo Rockets (7-1, 4-0) meet Tuesday at the Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Buffalo vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Bulls opened by losing the first 4 games of the season, but Buffalo has won 3 of the past 4 games overall to keep hope alive for bowl eligibility. UB has covered 4 of the past 5 games, too, while hitting the Under in each of the past 4 games.
The Buffalo defense allowed 38 or more points in the first 4 games, hitting the Over in each outing. However, the Bulls have allowed just 13.3 PPG in the past 4 outings, all Unders.
The Rockets have won 7 in a row since a 30-28 loss at Illinois in the opener on Sept. 2. Toledo covered at Miami (Ohio) on Oct. 21, winning 21-17 as a 2.5-point favorite as the Under (46.5) cashed. The cover snapped an 0-5 ATS skid.
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Buffalo at Toledo odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Buffalo +490 (bet $100 to win $490) | Toledo -710 (bet $710 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Buffalo +15.5 (-110) | Toledo -15.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)
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Buffalo at Toledo picks and predictions
Prediction
Toledo 31, Buffalo 19
Moneyline
Toledo (-710) will cost you more than 7 times your potential return, and that’s quite a bit of risk against a Buffalo (+490) team playing very well right now.
The Bulls likely aren’t going to the Glass Bowl and snapping the 7-game winning streak of the Rockets, but it isn’t going to be a blowout, either.
PASS.
Against the spread
BUFFALO +15.5 (-110) is a strong play, as the Bulls look to improve on a 4-1 ATS mark in the past 5 outings.
Conversely, Toledo -15.5 (-110) has won 7 in a row, but it is just 1-5 ATS in the past 6 outings. The Rockets have posting an 0-3 ATS mark in 3 tries at home against FBS opponents this season, too, with its only cover against Texas Southern of the FCS back on Sept. 9.
Over/Under
UNDER 51.5 (-118) is the lean in this Tuesday MAC battle.
The total has gone low in the past 2 games for Toledo, averaging 17.0 PPG on offense, while allowing just 11.5 PPG.
For Buffalo, the Bulls are on a 4-game Under run, averaging 22.0 PPG, while allowing 13.3 PPG. This will be an interesting game, and points should be at a premium.
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