The Buffalo Bills (15-3) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) in the AFC Championship Sunday. Kickoff is set for 6:40 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. Below, we highlight five Bills-Chiefs player prop bet predictions from the BetMGM game menu.
Also see: Bills at Chiefs odds, picks and prediction
5 Bills at Chiefs prop bet predictions for AFC Championship
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 1:20 p.m. ET.
Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill’s longest reception OVER 25.5 yards (-125)
One of our favorite bets each week is for Hill to catch at least one pass over 25.5 yards and it seems like he always comes through. With his speed and QB Patrick Mahomes‘ arm strength, they are the perfect pairing. While he may not have a big day overall against this Bills’ secondary, look for him to make at least one splash play in the passing game.
Chiefs TE Travis Kelce to score a touchdown (-115)
When the Chiefs get into the red zone, Kelce is the first option for Mahomes. His combination of size and physicality make him the perfect red-zone weapon. Kelce has caught at least one touchdown in four of his last five playoff games and he should be able to accomplish that mark again in this contest.
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Bills QB Josh Allen UNDER 2.5 passing touchdowns (-150)
Despite being one of the league’s best offenses during the regular season, the Bills have seen their offense struggle in the postseason. Against the Baltimore Ravens, they scored just one touchdown on offense and Allen struggled to throw the ball downfield. While they should have more success today, they aren’t a lock to score 3 or 4 touchdowns. That’s why we like Allen to throw fewer than 2.5 touchdowns in this game.
The Bills like to use their quarterback as a runner near the end zone, so don’t be surprised if he scores that way. Just don’t anticipate him throwing 3 or more touchdowns against the Chiefs.
Bills WR John Brown UNDER 52.5 receiving yards (-110)
Since Brown returned to the field for the Bills, he has been a nice addition to the offense. His speed and ability to run deeper routes give this offense more depth; however, his receiving yardage is just far too high. Look for Allen to focus on Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley today and for Brown to be the one left out on targets.
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley to all catch 6 or more passes (+575)
Want a fun long-shot parlay to bet on this game? Take the three best receivers in Hill, Diggs and Beasley to all catch at least 6 passes. Each of these receivers are nearly impossible to stop 1 on 1 and they create separation with ease. At +575, this is just too good of a bet to ignore given the possible game script between these two squads.
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