Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-4) welcome the Milwaukee Bucks (7-0) to Target Center Friday. Tip is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Timberwolves odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks are the last undefeated team in the NBA and are coming off a blowout 116-91 win over the Detroit Pistons Wednesday, covering as 11.5-point favorites. They’ve won 4 of their 7 games by 10 or more.

Milwaukee is led by two-time MVP F Giannis Antetokoumpo. Antetokounmpo is averaging 33.6 points and 12.7 rebounds per game and has led the Bucks to an undefeated record without G Khris Middleton.

The Timberwolves are riding a 2-game losing skid, 107-98 at the San Antonio Spurs Saturday and 116-107 at the Phoenix Suns Tuesday. They are 3-2 at home.

The Wolves are led G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 23.1 points per game. C Karl-Anthony Towns is also a high-impact player, scoring 21.6 per game.

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Bucks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Timberwolves +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -3.5 (-115) | Timberwolves +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Bucks at Timberwolves key injuries

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokoumpo (knee) probable
  • Pat Connaughton (calf) out
  • G Khris Middleton (wrist) out

Timberwolves

  • G Anthony Edwards (illness) questionable
  • C Rudy Gobert (illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 116, Bucks 113

Moneyline

PASS.

With the Wolves getting points here, I would rather take their spread.

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES +3.5 (-105).

If Gobert and Edwards play, the Wolves have a defense that should be able to counter Milwaukee well. KAT and Gobert’s length would work well preventing the straight drives of Giannis.

The Wolves have the 11th-best net rating, have played better than their record indicates and have the scoring to be able to keep pace with Milwaukee.

A weakness for Minnesota is on the fast break. The Wolves have allowed the 6th-most fast breakpoints. The Bucks sit 16th and don’t play at a breakneck pace either which should play to the Wolves’ strength in the halfcourt.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 226.5 (-115).

Both teams rank in the top half of the league in pace with Minnesota 4th and Milwaukee 15th. Expect this to be an exciting game, one in which the Wolves look to up the tempo.

Minnesota has high-level scorers in Edwards and KAT, players that can get hot and score in bunches.

The Timberwolves have a 2-6 O/U record after a similar roster was a league-best 52-37 O/U last season, back the OVER 226.5 (-115) here as the Wolves should get back to their typical scoring selves at home.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (41-30) host the Milwaukee Bucks (44-26) Saturday at the Target Center for a 5 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Milwaukee has won 8 of its last 9 – 7-2 against the spread (ATS), which includes back-to-back road victories at the Utah Jazz Monday (117-111) and the Sacramento Kings Wednesday (135-126).

Minnesota has won 9 of its last 10 (9-1 ATS) and is on a 3-game winning streak with wins over the Miami Heat last Saturday (113-104), the San Antonio Spurs Monday (149-139) and the Los Angeles Lakers Wednesday (124-104).

The T-Wolves snapped a 6-game losing skid to the Bucks, Oct. 27, with a 113-108 in Milwaukee as 6-point road underdogs. The Bucks are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the T-Wolves.

Bucks at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Bucks -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Timberwolves +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread: Bucks -2.5 (-120) | Timberwolves +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Bucks at Timberwolves key injuries

Bucks

  • SG Pat Connaughton (finger) out

Timberwolves

  • SF Anthony Edwards (knee) probable
  • PF Jarred Vanderbilt (quad) questionable

[tipico]

Bucks at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 129, Timberwolves 119

Money line

LEAN to the BUCKS (-150) because I prefer laying the points and paying less juice, but there’s an argument for Milwaukee’s ML being the sharper play.

Either way, the Bucks are the right side because they have a couple of edges in rebounding and getting to the charity stripe.

For instance, Milwaukee has a plus-2.3 rebound-per-game differential whereas Minnesota has a minus-1.2 rebound-per-game differential.

Also, the Bucks are eighth in non-garbage time offensive free-throw attempt rate (FTr) and the T-Wolves are dead-last in non-garbage time defensive FTr, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Furthermore, Milwaukee was without PG Jrue Holiday in the Bucks-Timberwolves meeting Minnesota won earlier this season. The Bucks score 9.4 more points per 100 possessions when Holiday is on the floor, per CTG.

Again, it’s only a LEAN to the BUCKS (-150) since I’m confident enough in Milwaukee to lay the points.

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Against the spread

BET the BUCKS -2.5 (-120) for 1 unit because they have a higher differential in three of the “four factors”, and Milwaukee should be motivated by its loss to the Timberwolves +2.5 (-105) in October.

Plus I’m okay fading Minnesota here because several of its recent wins were against chumps.

The T-Wolves are 7-1 overall in their last eight games. But, four of those wins came against tanking teams — two versus the Portland Trail Blazers and two versus the Oklahoma City Thunder — and the other two victories were against the slumping Lakers and Spurs.

The BUCKS LAYING POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS because this is a sharp total.

I lean to the Over 244.5 (-108) because the Bucks should get a ton of easy points on free throws, and both teams play at a fast pace and chuck a bunch of 3-pointers.

However, Milwaukee’s rebounding and transition defense could cause troubles for Minnesota’s offense. Also, just one bad shooting quarter puts any Over wager in peril.

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