Milwaukee Bucks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (35-37) will continue to try to fight their way into playoff position when they host the Milwaukee Bucks (52-20) Friday. Tip-off from Vivint Arena will be at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Jazz odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks blew out the visiting San Antonio Spurs 130-94 Wednesday, easily covering the spread as 19-point favorites as they recorded a 2nd straight win. They’re now 7-3 in their last 10 games, have taken over the top spot in the Eastern Conference and have the best record in the NBA.

The Jazz are coming off a 127-115 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday despite being 5-point favorites. It snapped their 2-game win streak and they’re now a half-game out of the 10th spot in the congested Western Conference.

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Bucks at Jazz odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Jazz +325 (bet $100 to win $325)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -9.5 (-102) | Jazz +9.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Bucks at Jazz key injuries

Bucks

  • F Jae Crowder (calf) out
  • F Khris Middleton (knee) out

Jazz

  • G Jordan Clarkson (hand) out
  • F Rudy Gay (back) out
  • G Johnny Juzang (hip) questionable
  • F Lauri Markkanen (hand) out
  • G Collin Sexton (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Jazz picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 122, Jazz 115

Moneyline

The Bucks (-400) are far and away the better team than the Jazz, but they’re not worth betting on at this number. The Bucks were favored by 12 against the Indiana Pacers last week and wound up losing outright. There isn’t enough reward to make the risk worth it here.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Jazz are one of the best teams in the NBA when it comes to covering the spread as underdogs. They’re 27-10-1 ATS as underdogs, including a 7-2 mark when getting at least 7.5 points.

This is another matchup with a large spread favoring the Bucks, but I don’t think Milwaukee will cover, especially with Middleton out. BET JAZZ +9.5 (-118) to cover, as they have in 6 of their last 7 games.

Over/Under

The Jazz have cashed the Over in 6 straight games and are 8-1-1 O/U in their last 10 games, so they’ve been scoring at a high clip lately. Even as short-handed as they are right now, I still like the trend of the Over to continue.

The Over is 3-1 in the Bucks’ last 4 road games.

BET OVER 236.5 (-105).

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Milwaukee Bucks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (42-26) travel to Salt Lake City Monday to play the Utah Jazz (42-25). Tip-off at the Vivint Smart Home Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Milwaukee had its 6-game winning streak — 5-1 against the spread (ATS) — snapped Saturday with a 122-109 loss at the Golden State Warriors as 2.5-point road favorites.

Utah has alternated between winning and losing over its past seven games (1-5-1 ATS) with the latest being a 134-125 victory versus the Sacramento Kings, pushing as 9-point home favorites.

The Jazz beat the Bucks 105-97 in Milwaukee Oct. 31 as 4.5-point road favorites but the Bucks were without SF Khris Middleton and PG Jrue Holiday.

Utah is 6-1 straight up (SU) and ATS in the last seven meetings with Milwaukee.

Bucks at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Bucks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Jazz +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread: Bucks -2.5 (-108) | Jazz +2.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Bucks at Jazz key injuries

Bucks

  • SG Pat Connaughton (finger) out

Jazz

  • Rudy Gobert (foot) questionable
  • PG Trent Forest (wrist) questionable

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Bucks at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 122, Bucks 116

Money line

LEAN JAZZ (+110) because I don’t think Utah will win if Gobert misses Monday’s game. Also, I prefer the Jazz plus the points but there isn’t much difference between Utah’s spread and ML.

However, since the beginning of 2019, Utah is 4-1 SU as home underdogs with a plus-5.8 margin of victory. It’s remarkable the Jazz have only been home underdogs five times over the past four seasons which indicates how tough it is to play in Utah.

Also, the Jazz play better against quality competition. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Utah has a plus-1.6 adjusted net rating (ranked fourth) versus teams in the top-10 of net efficiency. While Milwaukee has a minus-4.8 adjusted net rating (ranked 15th) and the worst ATS margin (minus-7.5) versus top-10 teams.

Furthermore, Utah matches up well with Milwaukee, stylistically, because the Jazz have the best effective field goal percentage (eFG%) and highest 3-point attempt rate whereas the Bucks allow the most 3-point attempts per game.

That said, I prefer Utah plus the points, especially with Gobert’s questionable game status, but LEAN JAZZ (+110).

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Against the spread

The JAZZ +2.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game because they are 5-0 ATS as home underdogs with a plus-8.3 ATS margin and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games at home versus the Bucks -1.5 (-112).

On top of that, this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game in the betting market with more money being on Utah but more bets have been placed on Milwaukee, per VegasInsider.com. Since wiseguys wager put up more cash than the public, the money column is considered the sharp side of the market.

The JAZZ PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS with a lean toward the Over 232.5 (-110) because both teams are in the top-10 in free-throw attempt rate, 3-point attempt rate and offensive eFG%.

But the assigned officiating crew has a combined 57-69 O/U record this season and the Jazz are 1-4 O/U as home underdogs since 2019 with a minus-5.5 total margin.

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