Bucks Grizzlies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (20-7) and Memphis Grizzlies (18-9) meet Thursday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks covered the spread as 3-point home favorites 128-111 vs. the Golden State Warriors Tuesday. F Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 30 points and 12 rebounds, both game-highs, as Milwaukee bounced back from an embarrassing 97-92 loss as 10-point favorites at the Houston Rockets Sunday.

The Bucks are 4-0-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record.

The Grizzlies covered as 9.5-point home favorites 128-103 vs. the Atlanta Hawks Monday. G Tyus Jones finished with game-highs in points (22) and assists (11) in the absence of All-Star G Ja Morant (thigh soreness).

Memphis is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games.

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Bucks at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:35 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bucks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Grizzlies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +2.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bucks at Grizzlies key injuries

Bucks

G Jrue Holiday (illness) out

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (toe) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Bucks 105

Moneyline

PASS.

Memphis (-135) should win, but I don’t see a need to pay the extra juice on the ML in this spot. Either lay the points with the Grizzlies or bet the total instead.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -2.5 (-110).

The line is telling you that the market believes this is a bad spot for the Bucks. The Grizzlies have been exceeding expectations in their last 6 games, and Milwaukee is due for a let-down after a dominant win over the defending champs on national television.

Plus, Morant, who didn’t play Monday, is expected to return for this one. Lay the points.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 226.5 (-110).

The Under is 7-0 in the Bucks’ last 7 road games. Milwaukee is last in the NBA in team shooting percentage on the road (42.7%). Look for the Bucks to struggle to score Thursday against a Memphis team that is playing its best basketball of the season.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (51-23) host the Milwaukee Bucks (46-27) Saturday at the FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Milwaukee has won 4 of the last 5 games — 4-1 against the spread (ATS) — including back-to-back home wins versus the Chicago Bulls Tuesday (126-98) and the Washington Wizards Thursday (114-102).

Memphis has won 7 of the last 8 games (5-3 ATS) and rides a 3-game winning streak with victories over the Houston Rockets Sunday (122-98), the Brooklyn Nets Wednesday (132-120) and the Indiana Pacers Thursday (133-103).

The Bucks beat the Grizzlies 126-114 in Milwaukee Jan. 19 but Memphis was without guards Dillon Brooks and Desmond Bane and the Bucks had their Big 3 (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton).

Bucks at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:53 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Bucks +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Grizzlies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread: Bucks +1.5 (-108) | Grizzlies -1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Bucks at Grizzlies key injuries

Bucks

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) questionable
PG Jrue Holiday (ankle) out
SF Khris Middleton (wrist) probable

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (hip) out
PG Ja Morant (knee) out

[tipico]

Bucks at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Bucks 114

Money line

LEAN GRIZZLIES (-125). Their injury report is less concerning than the Bucks’, but I’d wait until Giannis’ official game status is announced before betting Memphis.

The Bucks score 8.7 fewer points per 100 possessions with Holiday off the floor, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), and Holiday is the centerpiece of Milwaukee’s perimeter defense.

Holiday’s absence is key even though the Grizzlies will be without Morant because Brooks and Bane can make up for Morant’s missing production.

Also, Milwaukee has struggled in road games against good teams. The Bucks are 3-7 overall on the road versus teams with a top-10 net efficiency with the 21st-ranked adjusted net rating (minus-11.2) and the worst ATS margin (minus-11.1), per CTG.

MEMPHIS (-125) is the right side, but again, I’d wait until the official starting 5’s are announced before wagering on this game.

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Against the spread

PASS. I’d rather play Memphis’s ML since it’s only 13 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Grizzlies -1.5 (-112).

Furthermore, the same rationale above applies here in that I wouldn’t lay points with Memphis until we know what’s up with Giannis. The Grizzlies’ spread will definitely get cheaper if Giannis is in the lineup.

Over/Under

PASS since my prediction is in line with the market’s projected total, so there’s no value in this number for me.

For what it’s worth, the Bucks are 36-37 O/U, including 18-17 O/U on the road, while the Grizzlies are 38-32-4 O/U overall and 18-16-2 O/U at home.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Milwaukee Bucks (21-14) travel to the FedExForum Thursday to play the Memphis Grizzlies (16-15) at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Bucks-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Milwaukee got routed by Denver, 128-97, at home at 8-point favorites Tuesday, snapping a 5-game winning streak (4-1 ATS). If the Bucks ain’t covering then they are getting crushed: Five of Milwaukee’s previous six ATS losses have been by at least an 11.5-point ATS margin.

The Grizzlies have won two straight and three of their last four games with each win being by at least 14 points and a 15-point ATS margin. Over those four games, Memphis is shooting 40.6% from three and winning the turnover battle 18-11 on average.

These teams split last season’s series 1-1 overall and ATS. Milwaukee’s win came in Memphis, and the Grizzlies beat the Bucks without MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo during the NBA restart in the Orlando bubble.

Bucks at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Bucks -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Grizzlies +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread/ATS: Bucks -6 (-110) | Grizzlies +6 (-110)
Over/Under: 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Bucks at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Bucks

Nothing affecting the betting odds.

Grizzlies

SG Grayson Allen (concussion) out
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

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Bucks at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bucks 121, Grizzlies 108

Money line (ML)

PASS since I’m on Milwaukee to win and cover, but the Bucks (-275) is too expensive for them or any NBA regular-season favorite for that matter.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Grizzlies thrive off of production NBA’s “miscellaneous” metrics such as points off of turnover (1st), fast-break points (2nd) and paint points per game (1st).

However, Milwaukee’s defense is essentially the best in the Association in these metrics—top-6 in each category—and Memphis’s 3-point shooting isn’t good enough to take advantage of the Bucks’ 23rd ranked 3-point defense.

Also, first-year Bucks guard Jrue Holiday is back in the lineup after missing time with COVID-19, and Holiday neutralized Grizzlies 2019-20 Rookie of the Year guard Ja Morant when they went head-to-head last season.

Morant scored just 14.3 points per game on .362/.200/.750 shooting whereas Holiday gave him 23.0 points per game on .556/.556/.818 shooting in their three meetings last year.

GIMME BUCKS -6 (-110) for 1 unit.

(Let me caveat this handicap with a reminder to wait as close to tip-off as possible to wager because star players could be held out of the game since it’s the final day before the All-Star break).

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE UNDER 233.5 (-110) for 1 unit because this is a Pros vs. Joes situation within the betting market. Meaning more money is on the Under while more bets have been placed on the Over.

Because the money column of the betting splits usually indicates sharp money and the tickets column is square money, we should follow the money in Bucks-Grizzlies.

Furthermore, if both teams send out the projected lineups, I don’t see the Grizzlies being able to uphold its end of the scoring margin.

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Also see:

2021 NBA Mock Draft consensus 2.0: The updated first round (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Bucks | Grizzlies

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