Bucks Cavaliers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (29-16) battle the Cleveland Cavaliers (28-19) Saturday. Tip from Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Cavaliers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Cavaliers lost 120-114 to the Golden State Warriors Friday, losing outright as 10.5-point home favorites. Cleveland is on a 2-game losing skid but has covered the spread in 3 of its last 5 and is 23-21-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. The Cavs are No. 1 in opponents’ points per game (107.4).

The Bucks beat the Toronto Raptors 130-122 Tuesday, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. Milwaukee has covered 2 straight contests and 4 of its last 6. The Bucks are 11-11 straight up on the road this season, holding teams in check with the league’s 4th best opponents’ field goal percentage (45.4%).

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Bucks at Cavaliers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bucks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cavaliers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +1.5 (-108) | Cavaliers -1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Bucks at Cavaliers key injuries

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) questionable
F Khris Middleton (knee) out

Cavaliers

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 113, Bucks 109

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Cavaliers (-125) here, and their strength at home should be reassuring enough to play the spread and not the juiced moneyline odds.

Against the spread

BET CAVALIERS -1.5 (-112).

The Cavaliers have the Eastern Conference’s best home record at 19-5. They also have the length in F Evan Mobley and C Jarrett Allen to tame how effective Antetokounmpo is at attacking the glass.

The Warriors beat Cleveland on Friday but only because they shot 53% from deep. The Bucks are unlikely to post those types of numbers. The Cavs are 15-8-1 ATS this season at home while Milwaukee is 8-11-3 ATS on the road. Considering the Cavs’ style of play and the season-long trends, back the CAVALIERS -1.5 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 220.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers are 23-24 O/U this season with the Bucks 22-23 O/U. Cleveland just allowed 120 points to the Warriors without G Stephen Curry and has gone Over in 4 of its last 6 games, so despite a strong defense, betting the Over recently has been profitable.

The Bucks have gone Over in their last 2 as well, scoring at least 130 points in both games. The Bucks rank 15th in pace and should try to speed up this tempo.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (51-30) meet the Cleveland Cavaliers (43-38) Sunday at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse for both teams’ regular-season finales. Tip-off is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Milwaukee won the Central Division and can lock up the 2-seed for the Eastern Conference playoffs with a victory Sunday.

Cleveland is the 8-seed and clinches the 7-seed with a win against the Bucks and Brooklyn Nets loss. But, a loss for the Cavs means they could fall to the 9-seed if the Atlanta Hawks win their game.

The Cavs are 2-1 straight up (SU) and 3-0 against the spread (ATS) versus the Bucks this season, which includes two straight victories following an 8-game losing skid to Milwaukee.

Bucks at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Bucks +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Cavaliers -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread: Bucks +7.5 (-102) | Cavaliers -7.5 (-122)
Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Bucks at Cavaliers key injuries

Bucks

SG Grayson Allen (hip) out
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) doubtful
C Brook Lopez (back) out
SF Khris Middleton (wrist) doubtful
PF Bobby Portis (shoulder) doubtful

Cavaliers

C Jarrett Allen (finger) out

[tipico]

Bucks at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 118, Bucks 109

Money line

PASS.

Cleveland should win easily since the Bucks (+300) are resting their starters, but the Cavaliers (-400) are out of my price range for a ML favorite in the NBA. Also, Cleveland lost outright as 8-point favorites against the Magic Tuesday.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the CAVALIERS -7.5 (-122) since this game means so much more to them, and the Bucks +7.5 (-102) is 4-8 ATS as road underdogs with a minus-5.6 ATS margin.

Furthermore, Cleveland should absolutely dominate the glass considering Milwaukee will be without its entire starting frontcourt.

However, I’m hesitant to get down on the Cavs because they are just 12-12-1 ATS as home favorites and Cleveland is just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games.

Also, the Bucks have no pressure here so Milwaukee will probably chuck 3s. Any team can get hot behind the arc in the NBA. But, the Bucks are sixth in 3-point shooting percentage, and the Cavs are just 17th in defensive 3-point shooting.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 223.5 (-112).

Milwaukee should push the pace and randomize this game by putting up a ton of transition 3s since the Bucks will be without their three best half-court scorers. Plus Cleveland’s defense ranks 25th in non-garbage time efficiency over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

On top of that, I’m assuming there’ll be more money on the Under 223.5 (-108) because of Milwaukee’s aforementioned absences combined with Cleveland’s 6-18-1 O/U record as home favorites.

For what it’s worth, my LEAN to the OVER 223.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (30-19) meet Cleveland Cavaliers (29-19) in a Central Division showdown Wednesday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Milwaukee won its third straight game Saturday by beating the Sacramento Kings, 133-127, but failed to cover as 8-point home favorites. The Bucks are 5-5 straight-up (SU) and 3-7 against the spread (ATS).

Cleveland has won seven of its past eight games including two straight with the latest being a 95-93 victory over the New York Knicks. But, the Cavs have lost ATS in their last three games and are just 4-5-1 ATS in the last 10.

The Cavs are 1-1 straight-up (SU) but 2-0 ATS in their two meetings with the Bucks this season. Cleveland’s 119-90 victory, Dec. 18, snapped Milwaukee’s 8-game winning streak in their head-to-head series (6-2 ATS).

However, the Bucks were without all of their Big 3 (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday) in the Cavs’ victory.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 26 breakdown

Bucks at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

Money line: Bucks -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Cavaliers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -4.5 (-110) | Cavaliers +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Bucks at Cavaliers key injuries

Bucks

SF Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
SG Grayson Allen (league suspension) out

Cavaliers

C Jarrett Allen (illness) questionable
SF Lauri Markkanen (ankle) out

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Bucks at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 115, Cavs 107

Money line

PASS even though I have Milwaukee winning this one handily because the Bucks (-190) is just too far out of my price range. Typically, -150 is the most I’d pay for an outright winner in NBA regular-season action.

Against the spread

BET the BUCKS -4.5 (-110) because this line feels cheap for a Milwaukee team that’s at full health and well-rested.

In fact, Milwaukee has been at least a double-digit favorite in seven of the last nine meetings with Cleveland. Granted, the Cavs are one of the surprise teams through the first half of the season.

But, Milwaukee hasn’t played since Saturday, and the main reason they didn’t beat the Kings worse was Giannis took the night off.

When Giannis, Middleton and Holiday are all on the floor, Milwaukee has a plus-10.9 adjusted net rating, which would grade in the 95th percentile of lineups (CTG).

Furthermore, Giannis and Middleton are having their best months of the season in Jan. Giannis is averaging 31.6 points per game (PPG) on 52.6% shooting with 10.9 rebounds, 6.8 assists and a plus-17 net rating this month.

While Middleton is averaging 23.5 PPG on 63.5% true shooting (.486/.457/.902) with 6.7 rebounds, 5.9 assists and a plus-9 net rating.

Finally, Cleveland could be missing two frontcourt starters and will definitely be without Markkanen, who is third on the Cavs with a plus-4.5 adjusted on/off net rating. If Allen misses Wednesday’s game, the Bucks will dominate the Cavs on the boards.

BET the BUCKS -4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 218.5 (-107) for a tiny wager, if at all, because the Bucks scored at least 123 points in two of their three meetings with the Cavs last season.

Milwaukee’s lineup Wednesday will closely resemble last season’s squad more so than the Bucks team that played Cleveland earlier this season.

However, both teams rank in the top-seven in defensive rating, Cleveland is 1-6 O/U in its last seven versus teams with a 60.0% winning rate or better and the Under is 3-1-1 in the last five Bucks-Cavaliers meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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