Tag: Brunson Holland odds picks predictions spread betting line UFC on ESPN+ 52 UFC Vegas 22 UFC Fight Night 188

UFC on ESPN+ 52: Derek Brunson vs. Kevin Holland odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 52 fight between Derek Brunson and Kevin Holland, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout in Saturday’s main event, Derek Brunson and Kevin Holland meet at UFC on ESPN+ 52 – also known as UFC Fight Night 188 or UFC Vegas 22 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and then the main card on ESPN+ at 10 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 52 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

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UFC on ESPN+ 52 Brunson vs. Holland: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Brunson +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Holland -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -105 | Under -115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +175 | No -225)

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UFC on ESPN+ 52 Brunson vs. Holland: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Brunson 21-7 | Holland 21-5

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

HOLLAND (-175) is a moderate favorite and a solid play. He is the bigger fighter standing two inches taller than Brunson (+145) while possessing a four-inch reach advantage. He also carries a 4.74-to-3.77 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and he is much more accurate landing 68.58% of those strikes to just 47.90% for Brunson. The last time he fought, Holland dropped Jacare Souza in Round 1 at UFC 256 Dec. 12. Five of his past six fights have finished inside the distance with three knockouts and a 1-1 record via submission.

Brunson is on a three-bout win streak, topping Edmen Shahbazyan in the third round Aug. 1. However, he has won just five of his past nine bouts, and he has beaten the guys he should beat and looked very bad in the bouts when he was an underdog. That trend should continue.

In addition, play HOLLAND BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+115) for a good value at plus-money on the 5-way method of victory line.

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Over/Under (O/U)

The best play here, which won’t cost you too much, is UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (-160). Brunson has had finishes in five of his past seven events while Holland has had five stoppages in the past six. This one won’t be over in the first or second round, but it’s a very good bet that it doesn’t go into the fourth round or beyond either.

To watch the early prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

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